Trump tops Harris by 8 points in Florida: Poll

Former President Trump is leading Vice President Harris by 8 percentage points in Florida, according to a survey released Wednesday.

The Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll shows Trump with 52 percent support to Harris's 44 percent. Another 3 percent say they are still undecided, and 1 percent say they plan to vote for someone else.

The survey also noted that the former president's support increased by 2 points since a similar poll in September, while the Democratic nominee dropped 1 point.

Florida marks the second competitive state — after battleground Arizona — breaking for Trump among female voters, according to Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling. In the latest poll, the former president garnered 49 percent support among Sunshine State female voters, to Harris's 47 percent.

Kimball added that key voting blocs in the state, including Hispanic voters and women, went for President Biden in the 2020 election, but are more split among whom to support this election, now less than two weeks away.

Hispanic voters in the survey favored the vice president over Trump by a thin margin — 48 percent to 47 percent.

Florida Democrats have launched several advertisements targeting these key groups in Florida, Trump's home state.

Floridians Protecting Freedom launched ads in favor of the abortion ballot initiative in the state, which have led to legal challenges. The Florida Democratic Party also put forth ads looking to turn out Haitian voters for Harris after Trump and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), made insensitive comments about migrants in Ohio.

A Democratic presidential candidate has not won the state since then-President Obama in 2012. Harris has an uphill climb to get Florida voters to turn out for her, but some think she may be able to flip it blue.

The same survey found incumbent Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) leading his Democratic challenger, former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (Fla.), in the state's Senate race by 4 points.

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s aggregate of polls shows Trump with a 6.1-point lead over Harris in the state — 51.6 percent to her 45.5 percent. Nationally, the race is neck and neck.

The Emerson College/Hill survey was conducted Oct. 18-20 among 860 likely voters and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.