Latest in Markets Bet Trump
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Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.Top stories - The New York Times - October 25 -
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets
Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.Top stories - CBS News - October 29 -
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds
Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...World - The Guardian - Yesterday -
Dollar soars as markets bet that Trump has won US election
Currency on course for best day since March 2020, while bitcoin also climbs. Business live – latest updates US election 2024 – live news updates Donald Trump’s almost certain victory in the ...World - The Guardian - 6 hours ago -
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.Business - MarketWatch - October 16 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - 6 days ago -
Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets
Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago -
Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead
Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago -
Take political betting markets literally, not seriously
Or is it the other way around?World - Financial Times - October 21 -
The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election
The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?Business - Inc. - 6 days ago -
Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility
Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential voteWorld - Financial Times - 5 days ago -
Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously
This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...Politics - The Hill - 3 days ago -
The Other Trump Trade That Worries Markets
Robert Lighthizer, who was a huge influence on Donald Trump’s protectionist trade policy, is again a candidate for a top role if the Republican wins next week.Business - The New York Times - 6 days ago -
Does the Stock Market Want Trump to Be President?
Election odds favor Trump over Harris, but investors actually care about the Fed and economic data more than the White House.Business - Inc. - October 17 -
Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets
Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.Business - The New York Times - October 24 -
Stocks and the Dollar Jump After Trump Wins Presidential Election
Bitcoin hit a record, the dollar strengthened and stocks around the world rose as former President Donald J. Trump approached victory.Business - The New York Times - 1 hour ago -
Elon Musk’s riskiest bet yet: Donald Trump
The billionaire entrepreneur has gone all-in behind the Republican candidate. If he wins, the prize could be substantial influence over the administrationBusiness - Financial Times - October 21 -
Dollar weakens as investors rein in bets on Trump victory
Markets move after poll shows unexpected groundswell of support for Kamala Harris ahead of Tuesday’s electionBusiness - Financial Times - Yesterday -
Trump Is Betting Big on Musk’s Swing-State Moonshot
The candidate is leaning on an unusual canvassing effort funded by Elon Musk. If successful, it could usher in a new era when billionaires dominate ground campaigns.Business - The New York Times - 4 hours ago -
Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.
Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird
“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”Tech - The New York Times - 5 days ago -
Economists warn that Trump policies will trigger inflation
US president-elect won on claims he could rid America of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the oppositeWorld - Financial Times - 50 minutes ago -
How to devalue the dollar (a guide for Trump)
Greenback attackWorld - Financial Times - 28 minutes ago -
Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said Wednesday that the market is “very convinced” of an election victory for former President Trump. “I must say, in the last 12 days, the market and the ...Politics - The Hill - October 17 -
Donald Trump has a new crypto venture. The industry is not impressed
Industry executives worry World Liberty Financial will undermine painstaking efforts to rebuild trust after scandalsBusiness - Financial Times - October 17 -
Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets
Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based PolymarketBusiness - Financial Times - October 18 -
Trump’s tariffs pose a greater risk to markets than his tax cuts
They pose a significant threat to the global economy because of how far-reaching they are, the odds of implementation and the potential for widespread retaliation.Politics - The Hill - October 18 -
Trump tariffs would hit these stock-market sectors the hardest
S&P 500 could see a 4.7% decline next year, according to a Barclays analysis.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
Here's what a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win would mean for the stock market
The stock market has soared during the presidential campaign. Will it continue?Top stories - ABC News - October 23 -
‘King of debt’ Donald Trump needs to reassure the bond markets — now
Millions of investors are watching the value of their bond funds sag almost daily as concerns about the impact of Trump’s policies on the national debt grow.Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election
As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Trump tariffs: Why stock-market investors are underrating impact
Donald Trump’s most unconventional policy proposal is also one he’s been most consistent in promoting: universal tariffs.Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Trump Versus Harris: How the U.S. Election Is Fueling Stock Market Returns
The S&P 500 has only seen two negative election years in the last seven decades.Business - Inc. - October 28