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Take political betting markets literally, not seriously
Or is it the other way around?World - Financial Times - October 21 -
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.Top stories - The New York Times - October 25 -
Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.Business - The New York Times - 2 days ago -
The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election
The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets
Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.Top stories - CBS News - October 29 -
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?Business - Inc. - October 30 -
Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility
Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential voteWorld - Financial Times - November 1 -
Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously
This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.Business - MarketWatch - 5 days ago -
Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...Politics - The Hill - 6 days ago -
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds
Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...World - The Guardian - 4 days ago -
Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election
Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...World - The Guardian - 2 days ago -
Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election
Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the raceBusiness - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Billions were bet on election odds using online markets
Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.Top stories - NBC News - 7 hours ago -
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.Business - MarketWatch - October 16 -
Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.
Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - October 31 -
Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird
“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”Tech - The New York Times - November 1 -
Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets
Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago -
Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead
Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago -
Economists warn Trump’s policies will trigger inflation
US president-elect won on claims he could rid of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the oppositeWorld - Financial Times - 3 days ago -
The inflation risk for emerging markets
Fiscal indiscipline looms as the biggest threat after central bank battles to slow rising pricesWorld - Financial Times - October 15 -
Emerging markets are having a moment
US interest rate cuts spur reassessment of asset class and bolster its allureBusiness - Financial Times - October 18 -
ESG Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on energy demand in Southeast Asia, Australia’s net zero target and more in the latest Market Talks covering ESG Impact Investing.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 22 -
A November Surprise That’s Jostling the Markets
The dollar, Treasury yields and crypto currencies have fallen, reversing some elements of the so-called Trump trade after an unexpected poll result.Business - The New York Times - 5 days ago -
US election betting is on a roll
In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American presidentWorld - Financial Times - October 30 -
Musk's big bet
Welcome to The Hill's Technology newsletter {beacon} Technology Technology The Big Story Elon Musk's big bet pays off Elon Musk's massive bet on former President Trump appears to have paid off, ...Politics - The Hill - Yesterday -
Energy & Utilities Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on TotalEnergies, Woodside Energy and more in the latest Market Talks covering Energy and Utilities.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 16 -
Auto & Transport Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on United Airlines, J.B. Hunt and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Auto and Transport sector.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 16 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Royal Bank of Canada, RHB Bank, Bank of Queensland and more.in the latest Market Talks covering Financial Services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 16 -
Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Mondi, BHP, International Paper and more in the latest Market Talks covering Basic Materials.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 17 -
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insights on UnitedHealth Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Zealand Pharma’s Petrelintide, and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Health Care sector.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 15 -
Energy & Utilities Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Woodside Energy, Mercury NZ, Contact Energy and more in the latest Market Talks covering Energy and Utilities.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 17 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, St. James’s Place, Man Group and more in the latest Market Talks covering Financial Services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 17