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The ‘foolproof’ election forecaster who predicted Trump would lose – what went wrong?
Allan Lichtman’s forecast model was meant to be foolproof. He explains to David Smith what was different this time. Surely not even Nostradamus could get it right all of the time.. Allan Lichtman ...World - The Guardian - 8 hours ago -
Rain forecasted in key swing states on Election Day
Rain is threatening to disrupt Election Day in several key swing states. A cold front is slicing through the middle of the country, bringing a threat of rain showers and thunderstorms from the ...Politics - The Hill - November 4 -
Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, predicted Monday that this year’s elections will result in a House divided by one vote. “Just like the presidential race, the battle for the ...Politics - The Hill - November 5 -
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House.Top stories - ABC News - November 5 -
Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up
538's 2024 presidential election forecast shows a very close, toss-up race, with Trump taking a small lead.Top stories - ABC News - October 18 -
Election forecaster moves Nebraska Senate race slightly toward independent challenger
An election forecaster moved Nebraska’s contentious Senate race slightly toward Sen. Deb Fischer’s (R) challenger, Independent candidate Dan Osborn. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the Senate contest ...Politics - The Hill - October 24 -
UBS smashes forecasts with bumper profit, warns of volatility around U.S. elections
The Swiss bank’s profits were boosted by the ongoing integration of wealth management accounts previously run by its main rival Credit SuisseBusiness - MarketWatch - October 30 -
Trump overtakes Harris for first time in Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this story misstated the chances of Harris winning the election in the latest forecast from Decision Deck HQ/The Hill. The correct number is 48 percent. Former ...Politics - The Hill - October 20 -
US presidential election updates: Campaigning ends with celebrity endorsements, and Nate Silver’s forecast
Kamala Harris is joined by Oprah and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia, while Trump celebrates an endorsement from podcaster Joe Rogan hours before polls open on 5 November. US election 2024 live: latest ...World - The Guardian - November 5 -
Election Day forecast: Heavy rain, snow, record heat could impact voters
As millions of Americans head to the polls, thunderstorms are forecast from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast, with the potential to cause inconveniences to voters.Top stories - ABC News - November 5 -
IMF raises 2025 growth forecast
Welcome to The Hill's Business & Economy newsletter {beacon} Business & Economy Business & Economy The Big Story IMF sounds death knell over inflation, raises 2025 outlook International Monetary ...Politics - The Hill - October 22 -
Airbus Revenue, Earnings Beat Forecasts
Airbus posted earnings and revenue above analysts’ expectations, highlighting diverging fortunes with Boeing a week after the beleaguered company reported a multibillion-dollar loss.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 30 -
UK public borrowing exceeds official forecast in September
Data comes as chancellor Rachel Reeves prepares to raise taxes in next week’s BudgetBusiness - Financial Times - October 22 -
IMF upgrades UK growth forecast in boost to Reeves
Fund’s chief economist sees chance of more ‘aggressive’ Bank of England rate cuts as chancellor prepares for BudgetBusiness - Financial Times - October 22 -
Reeves welcomes IMF's improved UK economic forecast
The global financial institution predicts stronger UK growth of 1.1% this year and 1.5% next year.Top stories - BBC News - October 22 -
Lloyds beats earnings forecasts as lending rises
Mortgage book grows as customers take advantage of fall in interest ratesBusiness - Financial Times - October 23 -
A Trump victory would end ‘normal’ politics between UK and US
Keir Starmer defends Labour activists helping Kamala Harris but if former US president wins, such activity could become diplomatic liabilityBusiness - Financial Times - October 23 -
Heathrow says resumed dividends ‘probable’ as it raises forecasts
Airport’s peak summer season boosted by passengers transiting to Paris for OlympicsBusiness - Financial Times - October 23 -
American Airlines lifts 2024 profit forecast after sales strategy shift, posts third-quarter loss
American Airlines raised its profit forecast for the year as CEO Robert Isom said the company's sales strategy shift earlier this year is paying off.Business - CNBC - October 24 -
What's the mortgage interest rate forecast for November 2024?
After falling in September, mortgage interest rates rose again in October. Here's what could happen this November.Top stories - CBS News - October 28 -
AMD reports record revenue but Q4 forecast disappoints
Advanced Micro Devices reported record Q3 revenue of $6.8 billio, up 18%. But the shares fell due to a disappointing forecast for Q4.Tech - VentureBeat - October 29 -
Halloween forecasts predict record temperatures in parts of the U.S.
East Coast and southern U.S. states experienced high temperatures this Halloween, with the heat forecast set to break records. CBS News 24/7 anchor Lana Zak reports on the weather and how New ...Top stories - CBS News - October 31 -
Ryanair profit drops as airline cuts passenger forecast
European low-cost carrier blames pressure on consumers for fall in faresBusiness - Financial Times - November 4 -
Honda Motor Cuts Forecasts for Car Sales, Profit
The Japanese automaker cut its annual forecasts for car sales and net profit after posting a drop in first-half earnings due partly to weakness in its auto business in China.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 6 -
What's the CD interest rate forecast for November 2024?
Interested in putting some money into a CD account this November? Here's what could happen with the rates on CDs.Top stories - CBS News - November 6 -
Goldman slashes European growth forecasts on Trump trouble
Elections have consequencesWorld - Financial Times - November 7 -
What's the gold price forecast for November 2024?
Planning to add gold to your portfolio soon? Here's where gold prices could be headed this month.Top stories - CBS News - November 8 -
Babcock Results Beat Forecasts on Strong Defense Demand
The defense company—a major contractor for the U.K. government—posted higher revenue and operating profits for the first half of its financial year fueled by geopolitical tensions.Business - The Wall Street Journal - 3 days ago -
Foxconn reiterates forecasts after record profits
Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn on Thursday said it was reiterating its outlook but with better visibility after record earnings and profit.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Brussels downgrades Eurozone growth forecast to 1.3%
Germany’s economic struggles weigh down on region as US continues to outpace EuropeBusiness - Financial Times - Yesterday -
Victoria at risk of tornadoes as thunderstorms and giant hail lash Australia’s south-east
Bureau of Meteorology warns parts of Victoria to brace for ‘dangerous’ storm and intense rainfall that could lead to ‘life-threatening flash flooding’. Follow our Australia news live blog for ...World - The Guardian - October 18 -
British retail sales beat forecasts to rise for third straight month
Tech purchases fuel unexpected growth of 0.3%Business - Financial Times - October 18 -
Tariff surge would damage global growth, IMF warns
In a forecast two weeks before US election the fund says greater protectionism would drag down world economyBusiness - Financial Times - October 22 -
Heineken Sales Miss Forecasts as Consumers Shy Away From Beer
The Dutch brewer posted sales below analysts’ expectations in the third quarter as the group grappled with challenging consumer and industry trends in some markets, particularly the Americas and ...Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 23 -
Thales Orders Beat Forecasts Amid Defense-Spending Surge
Thales posted orders above analysts’ expectations for the first nine months of the year as its defense and security business continued to benefit from robust military spending amid high ...Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 23 -
U.S. Remains Engine of Global Growth in New IMF Forecasts
The International Monetary Fund issued its latest World Economic Outlook report, saying American economic resilience should buoy worldwide growth.Business - Inc. - October 23 -
Tesla shares leap 22% after Musk predicts sales rebound
EV maker adds more than $150bn in market value after billionaire says sales may increase as much as 30% next yearBusiness - Financial Times - October 24 -
Equinor's Key Profit Measure Lags Forecasts on Lower Oil Prices and Volumes
The Norwegian energy major reported a sharper-than-expected decline in underlying profit for the third quarter as a drop in oil prices and sales volumes offset resilient gas production.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 24