Election Trigger Market

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - 6 hours ago

Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever

Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.

Business - Inc. - 2 days ago

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets

Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based Polymarket

Business - Financial Times - October 18

A messy election could end market’s era of ‘American exceptionalism’

“We can envision a post-election scenario where uncertainty rises and trust in U.S. institutions declines,” Macquarie strategist Thierry Wizman said.

Business - MarketWatch - October 23

‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election

As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.

Business - The New York Times - October 25

Markets set for rally after U.S. elections, Barclays says

Markets will likely experience a ‘mild relief rally’ in the wake of the vote as a smooth transition starts to come into sight

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

Trump Versus Harris: How the U.S. Election Is Fueling Stock Market Returns

The S&P 500 has only seen two negative election years in the last seven decades.

Business - Inc. - 3 days ago

The bond market is rarely this volatile outside of a crisis. Blame the U.S. election.

Options that expire soon after the Nov. 5 point to election jitters roiling bonds

Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

U.S. election won't be an 'uneventful event' for global markets, UBS chief says

Ermotti forecasts "market movements" will take place in the wake of the upcoming U.S. elections, no matter who wins leadership of the world's largest economy.

Business - CNBC - Yesterday

GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy

The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former ...

Politics - The Hill - October 19

A strike by Greek teachers triggers a broader labor dispute

Striking Greek public school teachers have marched in protest through central Athens as tensions grow between labor organizations and the center-right government over workers’ rights

World - ABC News - October 23

Secretary of State triggers protocol vote process

Controversially unlike other Stormont votes, there is no requirement for cross-community support.

Paul Tudor Jones says market reckoning on spending is coming after election: 'We are going to be broke'

Hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones told CNBC that government spending could cause a major sell-off in the bond market.

Business - CNBC - October 22

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

Stock-market investors have ‘no clear playbook’ for Harris election win. Here’s why.

A victory by Vice President Kamala Harris over Donald Trump next week might leave investors temporarily lost, says a closely followed Wall Street research analyst.

Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - Yesterday

Echoes of U.K.’s 2022 bond crisis weigh on Treasury market ahead of U.S. election

A selloff in the U.K. bond market on Thursday, triggered by concerns about planned government borrowing, sent the country’s yields higher in a manner slightly reminiscent of the 2022 gilt crisis ...

Business - MarketWatch - 14 hours ago

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - 25 minutes ago

Would Trump's tariffs trigger a global trade war? Experts weigh in.

The Republican presidential candidate has proposed tariffs as high as 20% on all imported goods.

American Airlines Cracks Down on ‘Gate Lice’ With New Boarding System

American Airlines is testing a technology platform that will produce a sound when a passenger attempts to board a flight ahead of the assigned group.

Business - The New York Times - October 24

A woman is fatally shot in her bathroom. Who pulled the trigger?

After Minnesota nurse Alex Pennig was found dead in her bathroom, her friend Matthew Ecker told investigators she shot herself. But evidence at the scene left detectives with some big questions ...

Poland's leader defends his decision to suspend the right to asylum

Human and civil rights groups are expressing concern after Poland's leader said he would suspend the right to asylum because of its alleged abuse by eastern neighbors Belarus and Russia

World - ABC News - October 14

Polish government's decision to suspend asylum law triggers concerns from civil society

World - Yahoo News - October 14

Trump Media shares fall nearly 10% after DJT plunge triggers trading halt

Trading in Trump Media shares was briefly halted due to volatility, after the Truth Social owner's stock suddenly plunged in price.

Business - CNBC - October 15

England’s Ben Duckett hits ton before Pakistan’s Sajid Khan triggers collapse

Second Test, day two: Pakistan 366, England 239-6 Duckett’s 114 was not enough against Pakistan’s attack Sajid Khan is a player who demands attention, a character whose moustache, however ...

World - The Guardian - October 16

Storm-triggered floods in Philippines spark frantic calls to rescue trapped people, some on roofs

Torrential rain set off by an approaching storm has swamped eastern Philippine cities and towns in widespread floods that trapped people, some on their roofs, and sparked frantic appeals for rescue ...

World - ABC News - October 23

A key change to 529 plans this year is already triggering parents to save more for college

This year, in part because of the added flexibility, more parents are utilizing 529 college savings plans.

Business - CNBC - 6 days ago

Tyler, the Creator: Chromakopia review – early midlife crisis triggers a freaked-out psychodrama

(Columbia Records) Full of switchback turns, the rapper’s unsettled and unsettling seventh album zaps from Beach Boys harmonies to G-funk synths – and from boasts to self-loathing. News of Tyler, ...

World - The Guardian - 3 days ago

Sporting confirm Man United plan to trigger Ruben Amorim's $10.8 million exit clause as Ten Hag replacement

Ten Hag was fired on Monday after overseeing the team's worst start to a season in 35 years

Sports - CBS Sports - 2 days ago

The inflation risk for emerging markets

Fiscal indiscipline looms as the biggest threat after central bank battles to slow rising prices

World - Financial Times - October 15

Emerging markets are having a moment

US interest rate cuts spur reassessment of asset class and bolster its allure