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The ‘foolproof’ election forecaster who predicted Trump would lose – what went wrong?
Allan Lichtman’s forecast model was meant to be foolproof. He explains to David Smith what was different this time. Surely not even Nostradamus could get it right all of the time.. Allan Lichtman ...World - The Guardian - 8 hours ago -
Rain forecasted in key swing states on Election Day
Rain is threatening to disrupt Election Day in several key swing states. A cold front is slicing through the middle of the country, bringing a threat of rain showers and thunderstorms from the ...Politics - The Hill - November 4 -
Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, predicted Monday that this year’s elections will result in a House divided by one vote. “Just like the presidential race, the battle for the ...Politics - The Hill - November 5 -
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House.Top stories - ABC News - November 5 -
Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up
538's 2024 presidential election forecast shows a very close, toss-up race, with Trump taking a small lead.Top stories - ABC News - October 18 -
Election forecaster moves Nebraska Senate race slightly toward independent challenger
An election forecaster moved Nebraska’s contentious Senate race slightly toward Sen. Deb Fischer’s (R) challenger, Independent candidate Dan Osborn. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the Senate contest ...Politics - The Hill - October 24 -
UBS smashes forecasts with bumper profit, warns of volatility around U.S. elections
The Swiss bank’s profits were boosted by the ongoing integration of wealth management accounts previously run by its main rival Credit SuisseBusiness - MarketWatch - October 30 -
Trump overtakes Harris for first time in Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this story misstated the chances of Harris winning the election in the latest forecast from Decision Deck HQ/The Hill. The correct number is 48 percent. Former ...Politics - The Hill - October 20 -
US presidential election updates: Campaigning ends with celebrity endorsements, and Nate Silver’s forecast
Kamala Harris is joined by Oprah and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia, while Trump celebrates an endorsement from podcaster Joe Rogan hours before polls open on 5 November. US election 2024 live: latest ...World - The Guardian - November 5 -
Election Day forecast: Heavy rain, snow, record heat could impact voters
As millions of Americans head to the polls, thunderstorms are forecast from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast, with the potential to cause inconveniences to voters.Top stories - ABC News - November 5 -
A look at the swing voters who will decide the presidential election
Our poll suggests that despite Harris having a narrow lead (34 percent to 29 percent) over Trump among these voters, it would be a mistake to consider them solid Harris voters.Politics - The Hill - October 21 -
14 days until the election... Who's winning?
With election day just two weeks away, Americast looks at the approaches being taken by both candidates.Top stories - BBC News - October 21 -
U.S.-China relations expected to be strained no matter who wins the White House
As Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris face off in the presidential election, China’s President Xi Jinping has not expressed a preference for either.Top stories - NBC News - October 22 -
Who will decide this election — does it even matter?
The game of deciding who decides elections is a complex one, with no clear definition of who decides the outcome, and the interaction of all individuals in groups is what ultimately decides the ...Politics - The Hill - October 30 -
The 2024 presidential election will be historic no matter who wins
Kamala Harris would be the first woman to serve as commander in chief while Trump would be the second president in history to win a non-consecutive term.Top stories - ABC News - November 3 -
Pundit predictions for 2024 elections: Who will win?
Every election cycle The Hill asks people who they think will win the races for the White House, House and Senate. Here are this year’s predictions for what looks like it could be one of the ...Politics - The Hill - November 5 -
Who might fill President-elect Trump's Cabinet?
President-elect Trump will take office with Republicans in control of the Senate, making confirmations easier.Top stories - CBS News - November 9 -
Raffensperger: Georgia will audit election ballots so there’s no ‘denying who the winner is’
A record number of ballots have already been cast in Georgia with just two weeks until the election. Georgia’s Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger discusses how the state is ramping up security ...Politics - NBC News - October 22 -
When will we know who won Pennsylvania? Ex-election chief explains
Under Pennsylvania state law, mail-in ballots cannot be opened or tallied before Election Day. Election experts say that could delay projecting the state's winner. Kathy Boockvar, former Secretary ...Top stories - CBS News - October 22 -
7% mortgage rates are a warning about who will win the election, economist says
Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics says rising mortgage rates offer clues about how investors are considering the postelection future of the U.S. economyBusiness - MarketWatch - October 30 -
Europe prepares for 'America First' push no matter who wins the U.S. election
Trump's first tenure at the White House was a challenging time for some European leaders.Business - CNBC - October 30 -
The Big Question: who do you think will win the US election?
Harris and Trump are neck and neck as the campaign reaches its closing days. Can you see a winner — and why?World - Financial Times - November 1 -
Why we probably won’t know who the next president is on election night
There are 17 states that accept mail ballots that arrive after Election Day. Some even accept ballots that arrive up to two weeks late.Politics - The Hill - November 4 -
Election Day Is Here for Elon Musk---Who Isn't on the Ballot
The billionaire’s era as a political operative faces its biggest test in the battle between Trump and Harris.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 4 -
When will we know who is the next US president?
Calling the Harris-Trump race could take days – here’s what to know about the presidential and congressional races. US election 2024 – latest updates US election results 2024: live map and ...World - The Guardian - November 5 -
8 women who made history in the 2024 election: ‘It’s humbling to win’
Although fewer women ran for Congress this year, female candidates notched historic wins across the U.S.Business - CNBC - November 6 -
The megadonors who fueled Trump and the GOP and what's behind their giving
Who are the high rollers who bankrolled Trump and Republicans in the 2024 election, and what do they want in return for their generosity?Politics - CBS News - 2 days ago -
Georgia’s ruling party leads election race, according to election body, but it's unclear who will form next government
Georgia’s ruling party leads election race, according to election body, but it's unclear who will form next governmentWorld - ABC News - October 26 -
IMF raises 2025 growth forecast
Welcome to The Hill's Business & Economy newsletter {beacon} Business & Economy Business & Economy The Big Story IMF sounds death knell over inflation, raises 2025 outlook International Monetary ...Politics - The Hill - October 22 -
Airbus Revenue, Earnings Beat Forecasts
Airbus posted earnings and revenue above analysts’ expectations, highlighting diverging fortunes with Boeing a week after the beleaguered company reported a multibillion-dollar loss.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 30 -
Jan. 6 rioter who assaulted police says she was 'duped' by Trump's election lies
Dana Jean Bell who was sentenced to prison for assaulting law enforcement on Jan. 6 now says she was "duped" by Donald Trump's 2020 election lies.Top stories - NBC News - October 18 -
Arizona Republican official who refused to certify 2022 midterm election pleads guilty
Cochise county supervisor Peggy Judd agrees to plead guilty to misdemeanor charge . A Republican county supervisor in rural Arizona who refused to certify the 2022 midterm election has agreed to a ...World - The Guardian - October 21 -
U.S. will be ‘more pro-crypto’ after this election, no matter who wins, says Ripple CEO Garlinghouse
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is a big cynic on U.S. crypto regulation, but highly optimistic about the post-election environment around the corner.Business - CNBC - October 24 -
Meet the voters who skipped the last election but are jumping in this time: From the Politics Desk
The latest NBC News Deciders Focus Group included voters who did not participate in the 2020 election but plan to cast a ballot in 2024 for Trump or Harris.Politics - NBC News - October 25 -
Trump supporters who bought his lies about the last election face reality in court
Days before the 2024 election, the FBI continues to arrest alleged Jan. 6 rioters who stormed the Capitol because of Donald Trump's lies about the last election.Politics - NBC News - October 26 -
Do we have any idea who will win the US election? No. Uncertainty is sky-high | Cas Mudde
Not only do we have no idea who will win, we also may not get a result till days after the election. It is generally believed that Americans only start to care about presidential elections one ...World - The Guardian - October 28 -
2024 election updates: Biden angers GOP associating 'garbage' with Trump supporters
Biden is under fire for turning a comment about "garbage," first used to disparage Puerto Ricans at a Trump rally Sunday, back toward his supporters.Top stories - ABC News - October 30