Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - 2 hours ago

Harris, Trump both see paths to victory as election nears

The presidential race is tight, and neither candidate has a clear lead. But in the final weekend before Election Day, both Vice President Harris and former President Trump are ready to declare ...

Politics - The Hill - 2 days ago

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - 1 hour ago

How Trump’s Victory Grants Election Betting Platforms a Promising Future

Long prohibited by regulators, U.S. forecasting sites recently won the right to offer bets on national elections—a liberty Trump is unlikely to roll back after they bettors backed him to win.

Business - Inc. - 5 hours ago

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - 6 days ago

Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead

Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.

Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago

Trump Claims Victory: What It Means for Global Markets

Investors poured into stocks, crypto, and meme tokens overnight to position for a second Trump White House.

Business - Inc. - 8 hours ago

Trump, Senate GOP victories send markets soaring

Stocks roared out of the gate Wednesday morning following news that former President Trump has secured a second term in the White House and Republicans won a majority in the Senate. The Dow Jones ...

Politics - The Hill - 6 hours ago

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 25

Dollar weakens as investors rein in bets on Trump victory

Markets move after poll shows unexpected groundswell of support for Kamala Harris ahead of Tuesday’s election

Business - Financial Times - Yesterday

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - 5 days ago

Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously

This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.

Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...

Politics - The Hill - 3 days ago

Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory

Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said Wednesday that the market is “very convinced” of an election victory for former President Trump. “I must say, in the last 12 days, the market and the ...

Politics - The Hill - October 17

Here's what a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win would mean for the stock market

The stock market has soared during the presidential campaign. Will it continue?

Stock market opens with record highs after Trump’s 2024 victory

The Dow Jones opened with record highs Wednesday after Donald Trump won back the White House. NBC’s Christine Romans joins TODAY to discuss how Trump’s stance on the economy and support from Tesla ...

Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive

Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds

Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Trump victory bets and strong US economy power dollar gains

Greenback enjoys strongest month in two years ahead of presidential election

Business - Financial Times - 4 days ago

How the markets are reacting to Trump's 2024 election win

The markets are reacting to former President Donald Trump's presidential election win after his 2024 race against Vice President Kamala Harris. CBS News business analyst Jill Schlesinger has more.

Trump claims victory in the 2024 presidential election

Former President Trump claimed victory in the 2024 presidential election while flanked by his family and supporters. He also congratulated Sen. JD Vance and claimed Republicans would gain control ...

Trump claims 2024 election victory in speech to supporters

Former President Donald Trump claimed victory in the 2024 presidential election during an address to his supporters early Wednesday morning. The speech occurred as CBS News rated Wisconsin leaning ...

Trump declares victory at election watch party

Former President Donald Trump took the stage at West Palm Beach County Convention Center to speak to supporters and declare victory.

Phunware’s stock soars on Donald Trump’s election victory

Shares of mobile-advertising company Phunware have soared in recent weeks.

Business - MarketWatch - 8 hours ago

The books to read now Trump has won

A selection of the best titles to shed light on America’s decision to return the former president to power

World - Financial Times - 7 hours ago

Watch the world react to Trump's election victory

The U.S. election was a spectacle around the world, as people gathered to watch rolling coverage at parties from Bangkok to London.

Politics - NBC News - 5 hours ago

Trump tops list of crypto election victories

The cryptocurrency world is celebrating a successful operation to oust its critics and usher in a new cohort of allies up and down the ballot just two years after several scandals roiled the ...

Politics - The Hill - 1 hour ago

Election 2024 live updates: Harris congratulates Trump on election victory

Former President Trump has won the election in key swing states such as Georgia and Pennsylvania, and is projected to win the necessary 270 Electoral College votes, while Republicans have taken ...

Politics - The Hill - 1 hour ago

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - 5 days ago

Dems say they will certify a Trump victory — even the ones who think the 14th Amendment disqualifies him

If Trump wins at the polls, Democratic leaders are hoping to prevent Jan. 6 drama, despite past claims that he is constitutionally barred from office.

Politics - Politico - 5 days ago

Why software stocks could see fresh shine after Trump’s presidential victory

Analysts see the potential for a friendlier merger climate and growth in IT budgets.

Business - MarketWatch - 4 hours ago

The market could get hit hard on a Harris win — but also drop on a Trump victory, says Morgan Stanley

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. stock market, explains why markets prefer a Trump victory, and the risks from either result in the 2024 election.

Business - MarketWatch - October 21

‘Trump trades’ accelerate as Dow, dollar and bond yields soar. What’s next for markets.

The question for investors is what happens once the postelection euphoria wears off.

Business - MarketWatch - 1 hour ago

Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism

Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.

Business - MarketWatch - October 16

Latest in Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory