Latest in Election Betting Markets
Sort by
2,653 items
-
The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election
The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility
Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential voteWorld - Financial Times - 4 days ago -
Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously
This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.Business - MarketWatch - 19 hours ago -
Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...Politics - The Hill - Yesterday -
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.
Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - 5 days ago -
Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird
“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”Tech - The New York Times - 3 days ago -
Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead
Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Take political betting markets literally, not seriously
Or is it the other way around?World - Financial Times - October 21 -
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.Top stories - The New York Times - October 25 -
US election betting is on a roll
In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American presidentWorld - Financial Times - 6 days ago -
How will the US election affect markets?
Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week aheadWorld - Financial Times - Yesterday -
Concerns over 2024 election betting
New data shows more than $100 million has been legally wagered on the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential race. Koleman Strumpf, the Burchfield Presidential Chair of Political Economy at ...Top stories - CBS News - 4 days ago -
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets
Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.Top stories - CBS News - 6 days ago -
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?Business - Inc. - 5 days ago -
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds
Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...World - The Guardian - 11 hours ago -
Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever
Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.Business - Inc. - 6 days ago -
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.Business - MarketWatch - October 16 -
Forget betting on Trump vs. Harris. These people are wagering that Costco will raise the price of its $1.50 hot dog–and–soda deal.
Kalshi, a New York-based exchange platform, is letting traders predict what the future holds for the famed Costco combo.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets
Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets
Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based PolymarketBusiness - Financial Times - October 18 -
A messy election could end market’s era of ‘American exceptionalism’
“We can envision a post-election scenario where uncertainty rises and trust in U.S. institutions declines,” Macquarie strategist Thierry Wizman said.Business - MarketWatch - October 23 -
‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election
As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Markets set for rally after U.S. elections, Barclays says
Markets will likely experience a ‘mild relief rally’ in the wake of the vote as a smooth transition starts to come into sightBusiness - MarketWatch - October 28 -
Trump Versus Harris: How the U.S. Election Is Fueling Stock Market Returns
The S&P 500 has only seen two negative election years in the last seven decades.Business - Inc. - October 28 -
The bond market is rarely this volatile outside of a crisis. Blame the U.S. election.
Options that expire soon after the Nov. 5 point to election jitters roiling bondsBusiness - MarketWatch - 6 days ago -
U.S. election won't be an 'uneventful event' for global markets, UBS chief says
Ermotti forecasts "market movements" will take place in the wake of the upcoming U.S. elections, no matter who wins leadership of the world's largest economy.Business - CNBC - 5 days ago -
Stock-market investors should treat Trump and Harris election playbooks with caution
Wall Street makes trading elections sound as easy as falling off a log. Reality often disappoints.Business - MarketWatch - 18 hours ago -
Election-week Fed meeting won’t give markets the roadmap they want
Next Thursday, economists expect broad agreement among Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues on a decision to reduce the benchmark interest rate by a quarter-percentage point to a range of ...Business - MarketWatch - 14 hours ago -
Bond-market Trump trades suddenly at risk amid tight election race
Bond-market participants scaled back on so-called Trump trades Monday, ahead of a too-close-to-call presidential election.Business - MarketWatch - 9 hours ago -
Bond-market ‘vigilantes’ appear to be in ‘driver’s seat’ before election, Fed meeting
Ahead of U.S. Election Day and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, “bond vigilantes” appeared to be in “the driver’s seat” for the market, according to Yardeni Research.Business - MarketWatch - 9 hours ago -
What the stock market typically does after the U.S. election, according to history
Stocks typically rise after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term choppiness first, history shows.Business - CNBC - 10 hours ago -
As the election winds down, worries of 'bond vigilantes' and inflation hit markets
Investors are preparing for a conflicting scenario in the event that Donald Trump prevails in the presidential race.Business - CNBC - 10 hours ago