Betting Markets See - QuikReader

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - 4 hours ago

Take political betting markets literally, not seriously

Or is it the other way around?

World - Financial Times - October 21

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 25

Cramer sees 'nirvana moment' for the market and sorts through the big stock movers

The Investing Club holds its "Morning Meeting" every weekday at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Business - CNBC - October 18

Big Tech Sees AI Bets Starting to Pay Off

Microsoft, Google and Amazon all reported strong quarterly growth in cloud revenue but warned of increased capital spending.

Business - The Wall Street Journal - 5 days ago

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive

Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?

Business - Inc. - October 30

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - 5 days ago

Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously

This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.

Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...

Politics - The Hill - 3 days ago

Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds

Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - 3 hours ago

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Nokia sees improved Q3 profit but reports 8% sales dip mainly due to weaker India market

Wireless and fixed-network equipment maker Nokia has reported better-than-expected third quarter earnings, mainly on the back of cost cutting measures, but saw its sales dive 8% largely due to a ...

Tech - ABC News - October 17

Nvidia’s stock sets one record but falls short of another

While TSMC issued upbeat commentary on the state of the AI market, Wall Street perhaps already had that confidence.

Business - MarketWatch - October 17

‘You can see the money on screen’: why Hollywood is betting on Gladiator II not being another Folie à Deux

From the 1:1 scale Colosseum to the marauding model rhino, Ridley Scott’s forthcoming sequel screams conspicuous spending – but how bullish is Hollywood feeling, and what do we know about the film ...

World - The Guardian - October 18

Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism

Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.

Business - MarketWatch - October 16

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - 6 days ago

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - 5 days ago

Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead

Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.

Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago

Economists warn Trump’s policies will trigger inflation

US president-elect won on claims he could rid of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the opposite

World - Financial Times - 8 hours ago

How to devalue the dollar (a guide for Trump)

Greenback attack