Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

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  Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site

  Business - The New York Times - October 25

• Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive

  Business - MarketWatch - October 19

• DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

  Top stories - CBS News - 2 days ago

• Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

  Business - MarketWatch - October 24
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  Trump is favored to win, despite his campaign

  Politics - The Hill - 20 hours ago
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  Bellway says Budget ‘mixed messages’ hurting UK property market

  Business - Financial Times - October 15

• S&P 500 looks solid here — but the VIX is sending mixed signals

  Business - MarketWatch - October 17

• Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism

  Business - MarketWatch - October 16

• Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

  Business - MarketWatch - Yesterday

• Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

  Business - CNBC - Yesterday
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  More Americans favor Trump for their personal finances and the economy: Poll

  Politics - The Hill - October 15
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  Harris, Trump favorability ratings among lowest for nominees since 1956: Gallup

  Politics - The Hill - October 22
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  Arab Americans slightly favor Trump over Harris, says new poll

  World - The Guardian - October 22
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  More Republicans Appear to Be Voting Early, Despite Trump’s Mixed Messages

  Top stories - The New York Times - October 23

• Take political betting markets literally, not seriously

  World - Financial Times - October 21

• Trump cuts short his town hall Q&A in favor of songs from rally playlist

  Top stories - CBS News - October 15

• The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

  Business - MarketWatch - October 19
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  Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

  Business - Inc. - Yesterday

• Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

  World - Financial Times - 6 hours ago
• 

  The Other Trump Trade That Worries Markets

  Business - The New York Times - 22 hours ago

• Nvidia closes at record as AI chipmaker's market cap tops $3.4 trillion

  Business - CNBC - October 14

• This stock market rotation is the ‘lifeblood’ of the bull market as S&P 500 logs record

  Business - MarketWatch - October 20
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  GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy

  Politics - The Hill - October 19
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  Does the Stock Market Want Trump to Be President?

  Business - Inc. - October 17
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  Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets

  Business - The New York Times - October 24
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  Elon Musk’s riskiest bet yet: Donald Trump

  Business - Financial Times - October 21

• Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

  Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

• Will Costco raise the price of its $1.50 hot dog and soda? This betting market is heating up over the question.

  Business - MarketWatch - 20 hours ago
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  Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

  Tech - The New York Times - 27 minutes ago
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  Trump recording podcast with Joe Rogan this week

  Politics - The Hill - October 22

• Nvidia’s stock sets one record but falls short of another

  Business - MarketWatch - October 17
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  35 percent in new survey not confident in accuracy of voting in November

  Politics - The Hill - October 16
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  Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory

  Politics - The Hill - October 17
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  Donald Trump has a new crypto venture. The industry is not impressed

  Business - Financial Times - October 17
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  Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets

  Business - Financial Times - October 18

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