ACC Tournament - North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Stats
The first ACC Tournament semifinal features one of the most storied rivalries in college sports as the Duke Blue Devils (29-3, 20-1) take on the Tar Heels of North Carolina (22-12, 15-7).
Storylines abound but the largest is Cooper Flagg's availability. The favorite for Player of the Year in College Basketball sprained his ankle in the first half of yesterday's win over Georgia Tech. There are rumblings out of Charlotte that the All-America will not play again in this tournament
Duke rallied against the Yellowjackets without him winning 78-70 yesterday. Kon Knueppel picked up the slack in Flagg's absence scoring 28 and dishing out 8 assists in the win.
UNC rallied late against Wake Forest winning 68-59. The Tar Heels shot just 34% from the field but it was ultimately good enough to knock off the Demon Deacons.
Duke won both meetings between these schools this season. Although UNC blew a second half lead in the game last weekend, the Blue Devils ultimately cruised to comfortable wins in each game.
Lets dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the opening tip, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Game details & how to watch North Carolina vs. Duke
- Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM EST
- Site: Spectrum Center
- City: Charlotte, NC
- Network/Streaming: ESPN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest scores and player news. Check out our day-by-dayNCAA Basketball Schedule Page that includes live game updates.
Game odds for UNC vs. Duke
The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of BetMGM:
- Odds: UNC Tar Heels (+240), Duke Blue Devils (-300)
- Spread: Blue Devils -7.5
- Total: 152.5 points
Expert picks & predictions for North Carolina vs. Duke
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) expects points to be at a premium in this one: Game Total Under 154.5 (-115)
"Cooper Flagg being out 100-percent impacts both sides of the ball, but more importantly, the offensive end. North Carolina has played extremely stingy defense over the past two games and have a opportunity to knock off Duke after losing both meetings this year. I like the Under in what should be the most competitive matchup of the year between Duke and UNC."
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, injuries, and the schedule.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Tar Heels & Blue Devils game:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play ATS on North Carolina +7.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the under on the Game Total of 152.5.
North Carolina vs. Duke: Top betting trends and recent stats
- UNC has covered the spread in each of their last 2 and in 7 of their last 8 games
- The lone game they did not cover in that stretch was against Duke
- Duke did not cover against GA Tech yesterday (-23 favorites) which snapped a streak of 7 straight covers for the Blue Devils
- Duke has covered the spread in 21 of 31 games this season
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out ourNCAA Basketball Top Trends Toolon NBCSports.com!
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
Topics
-
ACC Tournament - Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Stats
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Game PreviewYahoo Sports - 2d -
Duke vs. North Carolina odds, prediction: 2025 ACC Tournament semifinal picks, best bets from proven model
SportsLine's model just revealed its college basketball picks for the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils in the ACC Tournament semifinals on Friday nightCBS Sports - 5h -
ACC Tournament - Clemson vs. Louisville Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends and Stats
Clemson Tigers vs. Louisville Cardinals Game PreviewYahoo Sports - 4h -
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest odds, prediction, line: 2025 ACC Tournament picks, best bets from proven model
SportsLine's model just revealed its college basketball picks for the Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels in the ACC Tournament on Thursday afternoonCBS Sports - 1d -
North Carolina vs. Notre Dame prediction, odds, time: 2025 ACC Tournament picks, best bets by proven model
SportsLine's model simulated Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. UNC Tar Heels in the second round of the 2025 ACC Tournament on Wednesday 10,000 timesCBS Sports - 2d -
Duke vs. Georgia Tech odds, prediction, start time: 2025 ACC Tournament picks, best bets from proven model
SportsLine's model revealed its college basketball predictions for Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Duke Blue Devils on Thursday in the 2025 ACC TournamentCBS Sports - 1d -
Big Ten Tournament - Indiana vs. Oregon Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Stats
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Oregon Ducks Game PreviewYahoo Sports - 1d -
Big Ten Tournament - Northwestern vs. Wisconsin Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Stats
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers Game PreviewYahoo Sports - 1d -
SEC Tournament - Texas vs. Tennessee Predictions: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Recent Stats
Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteers Game PreviewYahoo Sports - 8h
More from Yahoo Sports
-
Georgia Bulldogs football spring practice injury report
The Georgia Bulldogs have nine players out for spring practice and two players limited. Dawgs have several injuries at running back and defensive lineYahoo Sports - 9m -
U.S. takes team pursuit gold, Jordan Stolz silver, Cooper McLeod bronze at speed skating worlds
The U.S. won three medals on the second day of the World Single Distances Speed Skating Championships.Yahoo Sports - 11m -
Marquette vs. St. John's: Starters, injury updates and prediction for Big East semifinal
The Red Storm swept the two regular-season meetings with the Golden Eagles, including a thriller at Fiserv Forum on Saturday.Yahoo Sports - 13m -
Projecting Colts' cornerback depth chart after 2 free agent signings
Following two free agent signings at cornerback by the Indianapolis Colts, let's project what that depth chart looks like.Yahoo Sports - 13m -
Ex-Rams OLB Michael Hoecht hit with 6-game PED suspension after signing with Bills
Michael Hoecht, who left the Rams to join the Bills this week, will be suspended for the first 6 games of the seasonYahoo Sports - 13m
More in Sports
-
Georgia Bulldogs football spring practice injury report
The Georgia Bulldogs have nine players out for spring practice and two players limited. Dawgs have several injuries at running back and defensive lineYahoo Sports - 9m -
U.S. takes team pursuit gold, Jordan Stolz silver, Cooper McLeod bronze at speed skating worlds
The U.S. won three medals on the second day of the World Single Distances Speed Skating Championships.Yahoo Sports - 11m -
Marquette vs. St. John's: Starters, injury updates and prediction for Big East semifinal
The Red Storm swept the two regular-season meetings with the Golden Eagles, including a thriller at Fiserv Forum on Saturday.Yahoo Sports - 13m -
Projecting Colts' cornerback depth chart after 2 free agent signings
Following two free agent signings at cornerback by the Indianapolis Colts, let's project what that depth chart looks like.Yahoo Sports - 13m -
Ex-Rams OLB Michael Hoecht hit with 6-game PED suspension after signing with Bills
Michael Hoecht, who left the Rams to join the Bills this week, will be suspended for the first 6 games of the seasonYahoo Sports - 13m