No NY Republican House candidates in key contests speaking at Trump MSG rally
There are no New York Republican candidates in pivotal House races speaking at former President Trump's rally in Madison Square Garden on Sunday, a list of speakers released by his campaign showed.
Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) is the only lawmaker from the Empire State in the lineup, though a polling forecast from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) shows her at a 99 percent chance of winning District 21 in the state.
Although New York as a whole will likely vote comfortably for Vice President Harris in November, there are six important House races — Districts 1, 4, 17, 18, 19 and 22 — that could determine whether Democrats or Republicans control the lower chamber after November, per The New York Times.
A recent poll showed Harris with a double-digit lead over Trump among likely voters in the Empire State, 58 percent to 39 percent. The 6 points mark an increase from September.
Though, Trump has seemingly set his sights on the deep blue state, making multiple campaigns stops to New York, which has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Republicans have pointed to underlying reasons for his visits there, namely to boost four Republicans locked in crucial House races: Reps. Mike Lawler, Anthony D’Esposito, Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams.
Earlier this week, in District 17, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted the race toward incumbent Lawler, who has been locked in an expensive race against Democratic Rep. Mondaire Jones, who has raised more money than any other Democratic candidate in New York.
In District 17, a polling forecast from The Hill/DDHQ has Jones and Lawler each with a 50 percent chance of winning. But some of the New York House races aren't nearly as close.
Incumbent Rep. Nick Lalota (R) in District 1 has an 80 percent chance of winning, compared to John Avlon's 20 percent, The Hill/DDHQ's polling forecast shows.
In District 4, D'Esposito's chances of winning sit at 40 percent compared to his competitor Laura Gillen who's chances are 60 percent, a polling forecast from The Hill/DDHQ shows.
Incumbent Pat Ryan (D) has a 90 percent chance of winning New York's District 18, compared to Republican Alison Esposito's 10 percent, The Hill/DDHQ's polling forecast showed.
In District 19, incumbent Marc Molinaro (R) has a 44 percent chance of winning, compared to Josh Riley who has a 56 percent chance, The Hill/DDHQ's polling forecast showed.
Republican incumbent Brandon Williams of New York's 22nd District has a 44 percent chance of winning, compared to John Mannion (D), who has a 56 percent chance, a polling forecast from The Hill/DDHQ showed.
Harris campaign rapid response adviser James Singer was quick to note the absences in the rally's list.
"Not a single swing district New York or New Jersey Republican," Singer wrote in a post on the social platform X on Saturday.
The Hill has contacted the Trump campaign for comment.
Topics
-
Tech - The New York Times
Bots Linked to China Target Republican House and Senate Candidates, Microsoft Says
3 days ago -
Top stories - CBS News
Man arrested outside Trump California rally speaks out
October 15 -
Politics - Politico
Congressional leaders negotiating potential lame-duck deal to address AI concerns
October 18 -
Politics - Politico
What if it's President Harris, but a GOP Senate? That's her allies' fear.
6 days ago -
Politics - Politico
Law enforcement missed ‘pivotal moments’ to engage Trump gunman, House panel finds
5 days ago -
Politics - Politico
House GOP braces for bitter fight over the power to oust a speaker
4 days ago -
Top stories - The New York Times
In Heated House Race, a Moderate Republican Goes Full Trump
October 14 -
Business - Inc.
A Key Corner of Wall Street Is Pricing in a Trump White House and No Recession
3 days ago -
Top stories - NBC News
No 'victim mentality' or rainbow flags: Gay Republicans rally for Trump
2 days ago
More from The Hill
-
Politics - The Hill
Walz, AOC to play Madden on Twitch in an appeal to young men
30 minutes ago -
Politics - The Hill
RFK Jr.'s presence on Michigan, Wisconsin ballots raises concerns for Trump
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
Texas man charged for punching election worker after asking to remove Trump hat
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
Watch live: Harris, Michelle Obama rally voters in 'blue wall' Michigan
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
‘It’s astonishing:’ Fetterman likens Trump’s impact in Pennsylvania to Taylor Swift
2 hours ago
Latest in Politics
-
Politics - The Hill
Walz, AOC to play Madden on Twitch in an appeal to young men
30 minutes ago -
Politics - The Hill
RFK Jr.'s presence on Michigan, Wisconsin ballots raises concerns for Trump
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
Texas man charged for punching election worker after asking to remove Trump hat
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
Watch live: Harris, Michelle Obama rally voters in 'blue wall' Michigan
1 hour ago -
Politics - The Hill
‘It’s astonishing:’ Fetterman likens Trump’s impact in Pennsylvania to Taylor Swift
2 hours ago