Nate Silver calls Marist 'blue wall' polls 'reassuring' for Harris

Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until the election.

Silver, the founder of ABC's 538, took to social media to share his opinion, suggesting the lead in the "blue wall" states — or those that went for former President Trump in 2016 and flipped to President Biden in 2020 — could be encouraging for Harris.

“Reassuring polls for Harris in the sense that the race is likely to remain toss-up-ish,” he posted on social platform X. “Unless the final NYT/Siena state polls all tilt in the same direction I guess.”

The Marist poll found the vice president is leading Trump by 3 points in Michigan and 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, an increase from similar Marist polls released in September.

In his Silver Bulletin Substack, Silver forecasted that Harris would have an advantage in the three critical swing states. In his polling index, using similar methods to 538, he found the Democratic nominee leading her GOP rival by 1.1 points nationally. It also shows Harris ahead in Michigan by 1.2 points and Wisconsin by 0.8 points.

“Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know,” his post reads.

“Stranger things have happened than a candidate who was behind in the polls winning,” Silver wrote.

With less than a week until Election Day, The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling index shows Harris with a razor-thin lead over Trump in the race — 48.2 percent to 47.9 percent.