Harris, Trump tied in swing states: Poll
Vice President Harris and former President Trump are essentially tied in swing states, according to a new poll of battleground states released on Thursday.
The YouGov poll, conducted for the London-based The Times and SAY24, found that Harris led in four swing-states, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Pennsylvania. On the other hand, Trump had the advantage in three, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina. All leads were within the poll's margin of error.
Harris's lead in Michigan was five points (48 percent to 43 percent). She led by three points in both Nevada (49 percent to 46 percent) and Wisconsin (47 percent to 44 percent). In Pennsylvania, the lead was one point (46 percent to 45 percent) among registered voters, the poll found.
Trump had a 2-point lead in Arizona, getting 47 percent to Harris’s 45 percent. The ex-president had the same gap in Georgia, garnering 47 percent while the vice president got 45 percent. In North Carolina, the state the former president won in 2020 by less than 2 percent, he received 47 percent support, being slightly ahead of Harris’s 46 percent, according to the survey.
“Even compared to March, a better time for the Biden campaign, Harris is running ahead or even in each state,” said Carl Bialik, the vice-president of data science and U.S. politics editor at YouGov, told The Times. “She is running ahead of, or even with, Biden’s 2020 performance in five of the seven states.”
“In 2020, Biden won six of them and the election,” Bialik added. “If the leads in these states hold up and the remaining states vote the same way they did in 2020, then Kamala Harris would win the electoral college vote by 276 to 262.”
Recent polling from CNN showed that in Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, no candidate had a decisive lead. The vice president led 50 percent to 44 percent in Wisconsin. In Michigan, she was up 48 percent to Trump’s 43 percent. The former president had a 5-point lead in Arizona (49 percent to 44 percent).
In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s aggregate of polls, Harris bests Trump by 4 percent, getting 49.7 percent to the ex-president’s 45.7 percent.
The polling was conducted Aug. 23-Sept. 3. The sample size in Arizona and Wisconsin was 900. It was 800 in Nevada, while in the remaining states, it was 1,000 each. The margin of error was between approximately 3 and 5 percent.
Date: | |
Tag: | Donald Trump |
Topics
-
Financial Times - World
Why Harris is still at risk in swing states
The vice-president is not saying enough about re-industrialisation and protecting factory jobs6 hours ago - Kamala Harris -
The Hill - Politics
Harris pulls closer to Trump in Iowa: Poll
Vice President Harris narrowed former President Trump’s lead in Iowa to just 4 points, down from the Republican’s 18-point lead over President Biden in June, according to a poll released Sunday. ...Yesterday - Donald Trump -
The Hill - Politics
Over half of Americans say Harris won debate against Trump: Poll
More than half of Americans believe Vice President Harris won last week's presidential debate against former President Trump, according to a new poll. An ABC/Ipsos poll, released Sunday, found 58 ...16 hours ago - Kamala Harris -
The New York Times - Top stories
Harris Shows Signs of Gains in Post-Debate Polls
It could be another week until the full scope of possible gains is evident.3 hours ago - Kamala Harris -
CBS Sports - Sports
AP Top 25 poll: Texas No. 1 for first time since 2008, Miami jumps Penn State in college football rankings
The Longhorns vault to the top spot after a trio of impressive performances to start the yearYesterday - College Football -
NBC News - Top stories
Ad launched in swing New York district highlighting Trump's lie about Haitian immigrants
The Congressional Black Caucus Political Action Committee has launched a five-figure digital advertising campaign on Monday in New York’s fourth congressional district urging Haitian Americans to ...10 hours ago - New York -
Financial Times - World
Where does President Macron get his ties?
Cinabre in Paris has a feast of clothing and accessories available, and not just in the president’s favoured navy-blue15 hours ago -
The Wall Street Journal - World
An unfounded GOP claim about immigrants eating pets in Springfield, Ohio, shadowed the Trump campaign as the state's Republican governor called the rumor "garbage."
An unfounded GOP claim about immigrants eating pets in Springfield, Ohio, shadowed the Trump campaign as the state’s Republican governor called the rumor “garbage.”20 hours ago - Donald Trump
More from The Hill
-
The Hill - Politics
'Hamilton' cast records 'Election of 2024' to urge voter registration
The cast of “Hamilton” has posted a video urging people to check their voter registration status ahead of National Voter Registration Day, which takes place on Tuesday. The artists performed a song ...8 minutes ago -
The Hill - Politics
China releases jailed American pastor after 18 years in prison
An American pastor jailed in China for more than 18 years was released this week, the State Department said on Monday. David Lin, 68, was arrested in China in 2006 and sentenced to life in prison. ...14 minutes ago - China -
The Hill - Politics
Pennsylvania Supreme Court affirms Cornel West will not appear on state ballots
Academic and activist Cornel West, who is running for president as an independent candidate, won't be on the ballot in Pennsylvania, the state Supreme Court decided on Monday in upholding a lower ...16 minutes ago -
The Hill - Politics
Amazon requiring workers to return to office
Amazon will require workers to return to the office five days a week starting next year, marking the company’s latest shift in its in-office working policy following the pandemic. In a memo on ...24 minutes ago - Amazon -
The Hill - Politics
It took years, but elite colleges are learning the value of institutional neutrality
Whatever one thinks of the war in Gaza, divestment should be avoided because it violates institutional neutrality and thereby damages the college or university as an institution.1 hour ago