Harris holds 1-point lead over Trump nationally: poll
Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Trump by one point nationally, according to an Emerson College survey released on Friday.
The national survey found 49 percent of voters said they supported Harris while 48 percent said they backed Trump. Harris’s narrow lead falls well within the survey’s three point margin of error. One percent of voters surveyed said they will support someone other than the major nominees, while another two percent said they were undecided.
However, when undecided voters were asked which candidate they leaned toward, support for Harris increased to 50 percent and Trump’s went to 49 percent.
The poll also showed Harris leading Trump in terms of favorability. Fifty-three percent of voters said they had a favorable view of Harris while 47 percent said they had an unfavorable view of her. Trump holds a 49 percent favorable rating and a 51 percent unfavorable rating.
The gender gap between Harris and Trump’s supporters, which has received a fair amount of attention in recent weeks, was evident in the poll’s findings. Trump led Harris with men 56 percent to 42 percent while Harris led with women 55 percent to 41 percent.
The latest poll comes less than three weeks out from Election Day and as early voting has kicked off in a number of states. Eighty percent of voters said they had made up their minds about who they would vote for over a month ago, while 11 percent said they made their decisions in the last month and six percent in the past week. Three percent said they were still undecided.
“Voters who made their decision on who to support over a month ago break for Trump, 52 percent to 48 percent, while voters who made up their mind in the last month or week break for Harris, 60 percent to 36 percent,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “The 3 percent of voters who said they could still change their mind currently favor Harris, 48 percent to 43 percent."
The findings are illustrative of the tightening race between Harris and Trump. The Hill’s Decision Desk HQ average shows Harris leading Trump by just under three points. Polling out of the battleground states also shows razor thin margins as well.
The Hill Decision Desk HQ average shows Harris leading Trump by less than a percentage point in Michigan, while in Arizona Trump leads 1.5 points. Harris leads by 0.2 points in Nevada, while in Wisconsin Trump is up by 0.5 points. And in Pennsylvania, the battleground state with the most Electoral College votes, Harris leads Trump by a narrow 0.3 points.
The Emerson College poll was conducted Oct. 14-16, 2024 among 1,000 likely voters. The margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.
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Tag: | Donald Trump |
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