Tumble Betting Markets

Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead

Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.

Business - MarketWatch - November 3

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 25

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - November 6

Why Trump’s Victory Is Fueling a Market Frenzy

Investors have been comforted by a clear election result and are anticipating tax cuts and deregulation from a second Trump administration.

Business - The New York Times - November 12

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?

Business - Inc. - October 30

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - November 1

Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously

This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.

Business - MarketWatch - November 4

Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...

Politics - The Hill - November 3

Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds

Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...

World - The Guardian - November 4

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - November 6

Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election

Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the race

Business - MarketWatch - November 7

Billions were bet on election odds using online markets

Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - October 31

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - November 1

Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.

Business - MarketWatch - November 2

Economists warn Trump’s policies will trigger inflation

US president-elect won on claims he could rid of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the opposite

World - Financial Times - November 6

How to devalue the dollar (a guide for Trump)

Greenback attack

World - Financial Times - November 6

It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Business - MarketWatch - November 14

Microsoft Cloud revenue rises on AI boom but softer outlook weighs on shares

Warnings of slowing Azure growth and rising data centre costs damp initial optimism on tech giant’s quarterly earnings

Business - Financial Times - October 31

WATCH: Chris Martin takes a tumble

Fans gasped as Coldplay front man Chris Martin tumbled into an open trapdoor while on stage in Australia. Martin got up and continued the show.

Target Shares Tumble on Earnings Miss

The stock fell 21% after the retailer posted disappointing quarterly results and lowered its guidance for the full year.

Business - The Wall Street Journal - 3 days ago

AbbVie shares tumble after schizophrenia drug disappoints

US pharma group says patients who took Emraclidine in clinical trials failed to show a significant decline in symptoms

Business - Financial Times - November 11

Dollar hits six-month high as Trump tariff talk fuels inflation fears

US Treasury yields rise as traders scale back expectations for interest rate cuts

Business - Financial Times - November 12

Tennessee and B.Y.U. Tumble in A.P. Poll After Losses

The Volunteers dropped four spots to No. 10, and the Cougars fell seven places to No. 14.

Sports - The New York Times - 6 days ago

Target shares tumble as retailer’s holiday forecast disappoints

US retailer blames muted sales of non-essential items and rising costs

World - Financial Times - 3 days ago

‘There was so much promise’: How Northvolt tumbled into bankruptcy

Battery champion became a symbol of Europe’s ambitions and then its failings on its way to Chapter 11 proceedings

Business - Financial Times - Yesterday

England on brink of series defeat as wickets tumble after Pakistan fightback

Third Test, day two: England 267 & 24-3; Pakistan 344 Tourists still trail by 53 with openers and Ollie Pope gone Welcome to the house of Saud. England crossed the threshold on Friday hoping to ...

World - The Guardian - October 25

Electrolux Shares Tumble After North America Weakness Weighs on Results

Electrolux shares fell sharply after the company reported third-quarter profit that missed analysts’ expectations on continued weakness in North America, where it is turning to promotions to entice ...

Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 25

Oil tumbles after Israel refrains from attacking Iran’s refining facilities

Brent crude drops more than 6% as Tehran gives measured response to strikes

World - Financial Times - October 28

JetBlue’s stock tumbles as downbeat revenue outlook raises risk of more losses

JetBlue’s stock sinks after Q3 results beat expectations but the Q4 revenue outlook disappointed.

Business - MarketWatch - October 29

Shares in weight-loss drugmaker Eli Lilly fall on disappointing sales

US group revises down upper end of full-year revenue estimates

Business - Financial Times - October 30

Lilly’s Mounjaro, Zepbound drugs see strong demand. So why did sales disappoint?

Eli Lilly’s stock heads for biggest selloff in more than three years after sales of anti-obesity drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound came up well short of forecasts.

Business - MarketWatch - October 30

Super Micro’s troubles build as auditor resigns, sending stock tumbling 33%

Super Micro filing indicates Ernst & Young flagged governance concerns back in July, which was before a short seller’s report put them on the minds of investors.