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Elon Musk’s riskiest bet yet: Donald Trump
The billionaire entrepreneur has gone all-in behind the Republican candidate. If he wins, the prize could be substantial influence over the administrationBusiness - Financial Times - October 21 -
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.Top stories - The New York Times - October 25 -
Dollar weakens as investors rein in bets on Trump victory
Markets move after poll shows unexpected groundswell of support for Kamala Harris ahead of Tuesday’s electionBusiness - Financial Times - 5 days ago -
Trump Is Betting Big on Musk’s Swing-State Moonshot
The candidate is leaning on an unusual canvassing effort funded by Elon Musk. If successful, it could usher in a new era when billionaires dominate ground campaigns.Business - The New York Times - 3 days ago -
Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.Business - The New York Times - 3 days ago -
These two crypto funds will likely do better if Trump wins. Here’s why.
Grayscale Investments’ Digital Large Cap Fund and Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund could provide attractive opportunities to bet on Donald Trump’s victory in next month’s ...Business - MarketWatch - October 18 -
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites
Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter {beacon} Campaign Report Campaign Report The Big Story Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites Voters aren’t just casting ...Politics - The Hill - October 22 -
Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets
Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.Business - The New York Times - October 24 -
Polymarket says the whale betting heavily on Trump is a French individual
The mystery bettor making large trades on former President Donald Trump to win the election on a cryptocurrency site is a French national who is doing so based on personal belief, the site ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Robinhood is joining the election-betting party by offering wagers on Harris and Trump
With the U.S. presidential election a week away, another brokerage is letting people bet on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win.Business - MarketWatch - October 28 -
DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets
Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.Top stories - CBS News - October 29 -
Trump Media Stock Jumps Again as Traders Bet on Election
Shares of the Truth Social parent company continue to soar, pushing the market value of the firm above $10 billion.Business - The New York Times - October 29 -
Trump victory bets and strong US economy power dollar gains
Greenback enjoys strongest month in two years ahead of presidential electionBusiness - Financial Times - November 2 -
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds
Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...World - The Guardian - 5 days ago -
Bitcoin surges 10% to a record above $76,000 as Trump victory heralds wider crypto adoption and weaker regulation
Crypto assets rose as investors bet that a second Trump administration will widen fiscal deficits and boost bitcoin as a hedge against higher inflation.Business - CNBC - 3 days ago -
Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election
Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...World - The Guardian - 3 days ago -
Bank stocks jump almost 12% as traders bet on less regulation in a Trump presidency
A handful of well-known bank names jumped as traders ready for a second Trump term.Business - CNBC - 3 days ago -
How Trump’s Victory Grants Election Betting Platforms a Promising Future
Long prohibited by regulators, U.S. forecasting sites recently won the right to offer bets on national elections—a liberty Trump is unlikely to roll back after the bettors backed him to win.Business - Inc. - 3 days ago -
Netanyahu bets war strategy on ‘bulldozer’ Katz as Israel waits for Trump
Appointment of less-experienced defence minister will leave prime minister unencumbered as White House lurches rightWorld - Financial Times - 2 days ago -
'A star is born:' Elon Musk's big bet on Trump pays off
Elon Musk’s massive bet on President-elect Trump appears to have paid off, as the billionaire owner of Tesla and SpaceX looks ahead to an administration likely to boost his companies and his own ...Politics - The Hill - 2 days ago -
Trump Media stock surges as election betting odds shift, Truth Social launches streaming site
The DJT surge came as some election betting markets shifted in favor of Donald Trump over Kamala Harris, and as Trump Media launched a Truth+ streaming site.Business - CNBC - October 14 -
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.Business - MarketWatch - October 16 -
How Trump proxy stock ‘DJT’ has come to reflect election-betting data
Trump Media & Technology Group shares extended their recent rally Wednesday, as the stock continues to reflect betting data ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election.Business - MarketWatch - October 23 -
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts
Supporters of Donald Trump, including Elon Musk, have touted shifting election odds on Polymarket even as polls largely show a tight race with Kamala Harris.Business - CNBC - October 24 -
French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts
A stark shift toward former President Donald Trump on the political gambling platform Polymarket this month stoked scrutiny about four accounts that have collectively spent over $28 million betting ...Top stories - NBC News - October 24 -
Elon Musk hopes Trump victory will help his $44bn Twitter bet pay off
The platform’s billionaire owner has seen its value plunge as advertisers run shy, revenues drop and user numbers fall. Two years ago, there was some trepidation among advertisers, anti-hate-speech ...World - The Guardian - October 27 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - October 31 -
Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets
Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.Business - MarketWatch - November 2 -
Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead
Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago -
Trump Media closes in the red on Election Day, giving up earlier rally
Shares of retail trader favorite Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) were active as Election Day is finally here.Business - CNBC - 4 days ago