Presidential Election Betting

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option

After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.

Business - Inc. - October 28

Brokerages are raking in millions from your presidential election bets

There’s a lot of money to be made off of election betting, and brokerages are cashing in.

Business - MarketWatch - Yesterday

Here’s how much was wagered on the 2024 presidential election on these betting markets

Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the race

Business - MarketWatch - 6 hours ago

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - October 31

US election betting is on a roll

In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American president

World - Financial Times - October 30

Uruguay’s Presidential Election Is Headed to a Runoff

Yamandú Orsi, a center-left former mayor, finished first on Sunday but fell short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid another round of voting.

World - The New York Times - October 28

Looking back at the 2020 presidential election

Americans went to the polls under very different circumstances in 2020. CBS News chief Washington correspondent Major Garrett takes a look back ahead of Election Day on Nov. 5.

Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?

Business - Inc. - October 30

Concerns over 2024 election betting

New data shows more than $100 million has been legally wagered on the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential race. Koleman Strumpf, the Burchfield Presidential Chair of Political Economy at ...

In Rural Wisconsin, Race Is an Undercurrent of the Presidential Election

Former President Donald Trump’s recent attacks on his opponent could affect the vote. “It’s a stirring of the pot,” one voter said.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 14

A look at the swing voters who will decide the presidential election

Our poll suggests that despite Harris having a narrow lead (34 percent to 29 percent) over Trump among these voters, it would be a mistake to consider them solid Harris voters.

Politics - The Hill - October 21

Possible paths to a win in the 2024 presidential election

With the election right around the corner, NBC News’ Tom Llamas outlines the potential pathways that both candidates have to a 2024 presidential win.

Politics - NBC News - October 23

TikTok election: Trump and Harris vie for younger voters

Both campaigns are using the short-video platform to try to reach Gen Z

Business - Financial Times - October 24

Here's when past presidential elections were called

With Election Day less than two weeks away, the public has refocused their attention on some of the logistical aspects of the election, with many wondering when they can expect to know the winner – ...

Politics - The Hill - October 25

When will we know the results of the presidential election?

Voters may not have to wait quite as long after Election Day as four years ago to know who the next president will be. The public needed to wait almost five days in 2020 before most major news ...

Politics - The Hill - October 28

Robinhood launches contracts to wager on presidential election

The trading platform is the latest to offering investors the option to bet on outcome of the November 5 presidential election.

How Russia, China and Iran Are Interfering in the Presidential Election

Eight years after Russia interfered in the 2016 presidential election, foreign influence with American voters has grown more sophisticated. That could have outsize consequences in the 2024 race.

Tech - The New York Times - October 29

Missing From the 2024 Presidential Election: Feminist Media

The robust feminist blogosphere of 2016 is all but gone. Some of the creators are missing its perspective.

Tech - The New York Times - October 29

What's at stake for Elon Musk in the presidential election?

Musk, the world's richest person, has sought to help elect Donald Trump.

The 2024 presidential election will be historic no matter who wins

Kamala Harris would be the first woman to serve as commander in chief while Trump would be the second president in history to win a non-consecutive term.

Ben Jennings on the US presidential election – cartoon

Discover and buy more of Ben’s cartoons here Order your own print of this cartoon from the Guardian Print Shop Continue reading...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Live results map: US presidential election 2024

Full live details of the election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris from every state and county in the US

World - Financial Times - 2 days ago

What you need to know about the US 2024 presidential election

Trying to understand it for the first time or need a refresher? This guide can help.

The twists and turns of the US presidential election 2024

From courtroom drama to a shock exit, the campaigns have been another remarkable ride for American democracy

World - Financial Times - Yesterday

When will we know who is the next US president?

Calling the Harris-Trump race could take days – here’s what to know about the presidential and congressional races. US election 2024 – latest updates US election results 2024: live map and ...

World - The Guardian - Yesterday

How close does the presidential election have to be for a recount?

The race has been tight, but how close does it have to be for a recount?

Politics - The Hill - Yesterday

Georgia live election results for the 2024 presidential race

Georgia is a key battleground state in the 2024 presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with 16 electoral votes at stake. See live results here.