Latest in Presidential Betting Markets
Sort by
1,227 items
-
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?Business - Inc. - October 30 -
Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election
Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the raceBusiness - MarketWatch - November 7 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - October 31 -
Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.Business - The New York Times - November 6 -
Why Trump’s Victory Is Fueling a Market Frenzy
Investors have been comforted by a clear election result and are anticipating tax cuts and deregulation from a second Trump administration.Business - The New York Times - November 12 -
What one stock market gauge is predicting about the presidential race
One market strategist notes a pattern based on whether the S&P 500 rises or falls between the end of July and Halloween.Top stories - CBS News - November 5 -
Why the stock market failed to see that Trump would win the presidential election
The Dow’s strong gain this year favored the Democrats and Kamala Harris. But Wall Street is increasingly disconnected from Main Street.Business - MarketWatch - November 8 -
Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option
After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.Business - Inc. - October 28 -
Brokerages are raking in millions from your presidential election bets
There’s a lot of money to be made off of election betting, and brokerages are cashing in.Business - MarketWatch - November 5 -
DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets
Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.Top stories - CBS News - October 29 -
Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility
Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential voteWorld - Financial Times - November 1 -
Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously
This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.Business - MarketWatch - November 4 -
Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...Politics - The Hill - November 3 -
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds
Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...World - The Guardian - November 4 -
Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election
Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...World - The Guardian - November 6 -
Billions were bet on election odds using online markets
Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.Top stories - NBC News - November 9 -
What top financial advisors are telling investors about the market impact of the U.S. presidential election
Many investors worry the election may shake up their investments. Top financial advisors say it's best to take a long-term view on Election Day and beyond.Business - CNBC - November 5 -
Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.
Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird
“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”Tech - The New York Times - November 1 -
Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets
Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.Business - MarketWatch - November 2 -
Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead
Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.Business - MarketWatch - November 3 -
Economists warn Trump’s policies will trigger inflation
US president-elect won on claims he could rid of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the oppositeWorld - Financial Times - November 6 -
It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks
Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.Business - MarketWatch - November 14 -
Uruguay’s Presidential Election Is Headed to a Runoff
Yamandú Orsi, a center-left former mayor, finished first on Sunday but fell short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid another round of voting.World - The New York Times - October 28 -
Looking back at the 2020 presidential election
Americans went to the polls under very different circumstances in 2020. CBS News chief Washington correspondent Major Garrett takes a look back ahead of Election Day on Nov. 5.Top stories - CBS News - October 30 -
Winners and losers from the presidential election
The 2024 presidential election is in the books after a tumultuous campaign culminated in a stunning political comeback for former President Trump. Trump will take office again in January, a little ...Politics - The Hill - November 7 -
A look into the history of presidential cabinet scandals
As President-elect Donald Trump continues to fill out his cabinet selections, NBC News' Gadi Schwartz takes a look back at previous cabinet scandals and problematic nominees.Politics - NBC News - Yesterday -
A November Surprise That’s Jostling the Markets
The dollar, Treasury yields and crypto currencies have fallen, reversing some elements of the so-called Trump trade after an unexpected poll result.Business - The New York Times - November 4 -
US election betting is on a roll
In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American presidentWorld - Financial Times - October 30 -
Musk's big bet
Welcome to The Hill's Technology newsletter {beacon} Technology Technology The Big Story Elon Musk's big bet pays off Elon Musk's massive bet on former President Trump appears to have paid off, ...Politics - The Hill - November 7 -
Washington Post Says It Won’t Endorse a Presidential Candidate
The decision was made by Jeff Bezos, the paper’s owner, according to a person with knowledge of the talks. Will Lewis, the chief executive, said the paper was “returning to our roots” of not making ...Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
The Washington Post ends backing presidential candidates as paper says Bezos axed Harris endorsement
The Washington Post's editorial board will not make a presidential endorsement this year or "in any future presidential election," the newspaper's publisher and chief executive announced Friday.Top stories - NBC News - October 25 -
Here's when past presidential elections were called
With Election Day less than two weeks away, the public has refocused their attention on some of the logistical aspects of the election, with many wondering when they can expect to know the winner – ...Politics - The Hill - October 25 -
Inside The Washington Post’s Decision to Stop Presidential Endorsements
Post owner Jeff Bezos ended the decades-long practice, weeks after a discussion at a meeting in Miami. The move has drawn criticism in and outside the newsroom.Business - The New York Times - October 27