Polls Underestimated

2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

How accurate were polls of the 2024 election?

Polls underestimated Trump support for third election in a row

Chance, demographics or even people reluctant to voice support for Trump could all be reasons for discrepancy. In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, Guardian polling averages ...

World - The Guardian - 8 hours ago

Former Pence adviser: Don't underestimate Hegseth

Former Vice President Pence's adviser Marc Short affirmed President-elect Trump’s decision to appoint Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense. “Pete served 20 years, he was awarded the Bronze Star ...

Politics - The Hill - November 13

DOGE is no joke — don’t underestimate Trump’s attack on government inefficiency

How entertaining it will be in coming months to watch Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy take a hatchet to our bloated, inefficient federal government — but shrinking our government and cutting ...

Politics - The Hill - November 15

Don’t underestimate the Rogansphere. His mammoth ecosystem is Fox News for young people | Sam Wolfson

Podcasts like Joe Rogan’s and Theo Von’s aren’t on the fringes. Their blend of off-the-cuff, Trump-leaning commentary blurs traditional lines between left and right – and offers listeners ...

World - The Guardian - November 20

Americans go to the polls

Plus, Fed and BoE rate-setting meetings, Hungary’s informal EU summit and the Berlin Wall anniversary

World - Financial Times - November 3

Who is ahead in the polls?

An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election.

The Polls Are Close. The Results Might Not Be.

We are just a very normal polling error away from either candidate landing a decisive victory on Tuesday.

Top stories - The New York Times - November 5

What is the point of polling?

Voters want precision — unfortunately, political surveys can’t deliver it

Business - Financial Times - November 8

Were the polls right? It’s complicated.

Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.

Politics - The Hill - November 20

Early exit poll results show what issues are driving voters to polls

Early exit polls found Democrats' top concern was the state of democracy and Republicans' key issue was the economy. CBS News 24/7 anchor Vladimir Duthiers analyzes the top issues on voters' minds.

Top stories - CBS News - November 5

Harris, Trump deadlocked in Pennsylvania poll

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are neck-and-neck in battleground Pennsylvania with less than a week to go until Election Day, a new poll shows. The survey, released Wednesday by ...

Politics - The Hill - October 30

Surprise polling! Is Harris pulling ahead?

What new data from Iowa could mean for the race... and Harris on the iconic SNL

Americans vote in neck and neck race

Voters head to the polls for Election Day

Did the US election polls fail?

Polls predicted a tight race - then Donald Trump won a commanding victory. So what went wrong?

Harris tops Trump by 5 points in Michigan: Poll

Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in battleground Michigan by 5 points, a new survey found. The poll from Susquehanna University Polling and Research shows Harris garnering ...

Politics - The Hill - October 29

Harris, Trump tied in key swing state: Poll

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are tied in Pennsylvania, a key swing state, with less than 7 days before Election Day, according to a new poll released on Tuesday. The new survey ...

Politics - The Hill - October 30

Harris, Trump tied in battleground Michigan polling

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are tied in the battleground state of Michigan, according to a poll released Wednesday. The USA Today/Suffolk University poll released Wednesday ...

Politics - The Hill - October 30

Teen with machete arrested for voter intimidation at polling place

An 18-year-old was arrested outside a Florida polling location Tuesday after police said he wielded a machete in order to intimidate voters.

Harris campaign hopes to drive young voters to the polls

In her third battleground stop of the day on Wednesday, Vice President Kamala Harris campaigned in Madison, Wisconsin, focusing on young voter turnout. Polls show Harris has a 23-point advantage ...

Harris widens lead on Trump in Virginia: Poll

Vice President Harris widened her lead over her opponent former President Trump in Virginia, with less than 3 days left before Election Day, according to a poll released on Friday. The survey, ...

Politics - The Hill - November 2

Harris takes lead over Trump in Iowa: Poll

Vice President Harris has taken a 3-point lead over her opponent, former President Trump, in red-leaning Iowa, according to a new poll released on Saturday. The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom ...

Politics - The Hill - November 3

Shock poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa

Neither Kamala Harris nor Donald Trump has campaigned in Iowa since the presidential primaries. It is not considered a swing state in the election.

Business - CNBC - November 3

Some Surprises in Last Battleground Polls, but Still a Deadlock

A rise for Kamala Harris in the Sun Belt, and a dip in the Northern swing states.

Top stories - The New York Times - November 3

Oregon unanimous No. 1 in AP poll ahead of UGA

Oregon is No. 1 in the AP Top 25 for the third straight week, and unanimous for the first time, following its 21-point road win against Michigan.

Sports - ESPN - November 3

The dark last days of Donald Trump’s campaign

If the Republican loses, it will reflect his reluctance to appeal to the centre. But if he wins, he will feel emboldened to implement a radical agenda

Business - Financial Times - November 4

Interactive: pick the pathways for Harris and Trump to the presidency

The FT tracks polling in every state and the possible paths to electoral college victory for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump

World - Financial Times - November 5

When do polls open and close on Election Day?

Millions of Americans have voted early, but millions more will vote in person on Election Day 2024. Here's what time the polls open and close in each state.

What time do polls close on Election Day?

Election Day just a day away, and many voters have already cast their ballots in what polls show could be one of the closest presidential elections of all time. Former President Trump and Vice ...

Politics - The Hill - November 4

Missouri sues DOJ in effort to block poll monitors

The Republican-led state of Missouri on Monday asked a judge to block the Justice Department from dispatching lawyers to St. Louis to monitor adherence to federal voting rights laws on Election ...

Politics - The Hill - November 4

States tighten security at polls amid threats

Officials in just about every state have been working to ensure that this year's election is the most secure ever. But it's not just the ballots that they're concerned about, it's the polling ...

Americans head to polls with historic election on a knife edge

With no clear swing-state advantage for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, the US is poised for a long – and tense – wait for results. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates ...

World - The Guardian - November 5

These countries have the most at stake as the U.S. heads to the polls

The world is watching the presidential election as voters go to the polls Tuesday, but the vote is more consequential for some countries than for others.

Business - CNBC - November 5

Iowa Poll's independent women rattle Trump supporters

The latest Des Moines Register poll showing skyrocketing enthusiasm for Vice President Harris among Iowa's independent women set off alarm bells for former President Trump and his allies, as both ...

Politics - The Hill - November 5

How your favorite social media apps are preparing for election conspiracies

Social media companies are under intense pressure to squash the spread of disinformation on their platforms during the 2024 elections

Business - CNBC - November 5

US stocks stage rally as global markets await election result

Wall Street prepares for ‘a long night for volatility’ as investor mood remains febrile

Business - Financial Times - November 5

Polls open in Pennsylvania, voters line up in Pittsburgh

Election Day is upon us and voters have begun to line up in the important battleground state of Pennsylvania. CBS News campaign reporter Allison Novelo reports from a polling place in Pittsburgh ...

Top stories - CBS News - November 5

Election Day 2024: Americans head to the polls

With the nation deeply divided, millions of voters are casting ballots in a high-stakes election. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in key ...

Top stories - CBS News - November 5

Philadelphia voters head to the polls in battleground Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania is one of the key battleground states this Election Day, evidenced by the multiple stops Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump made there throughout their ...

Top stories - CBS News - November 5

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