Latest in Market Trump Risk
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Business - The New York Times
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.11 hours ago -
Business - The New York Times
‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election
As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.11 hours ago -
Business - The New York Times
Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets
Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.Yesterday - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Trump tariffs: Why stock-market investors are underrating impact
Donald Trump’s most unconventional policy proposal is also one he’s been most consistent in promoting: universal tariffs.4 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Treasury market under Trump at risk from inflation, not larger fiscal deficit, says analyst
The danger to the Treasury market from a second Donald Trump presidency comes not from a sharp increase in bond issuance but revived price pressures6 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Foreign appliance maker on Trump tariffs: Risks, opportunities, ‘but mostly uncertainty’
A Swedish appliance maker with factories in the U.S. doesn’t know quite what to make of the possibility of new tariffs in a second Trump presidency.8 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Top stories - The New York Times
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.11 hours ago -
Politics - The Hill
Ozempic lowers Alzheimer’s risk: Research
The diabetes and weight loss drug Ozempic could lower the risk of Alzheimer's disease among people with Type 2 diabetes, according to a new study published Thursday. Alzheimer’s disease is the ...Yesterday -
Business - MarketWatch
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Yesterday -
Business - MarketWatch
‘King of debt’ Donald Trump needs to reassure the bond markets — now
Millions of investors are watching the value of their bond funds sag almost daily as concerns about the impact of Trump’s policies on the national debt grow.Yesterday - Donald Trump -
Top stories - ABC News
Here's what a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win would mean for the stock market
The stock market has soared during the presidential campaign. Will it continue?2 days ago - Donald Trump -
Top stories - BBC News
Why Kompany managing Bayern is 'not a risk'
Nedum Onuoha discusses how his former Manchester City team-mate Vincent Kompany will lead Bayern Munich in this season's Champions League.2 days ago -
World - Financial Times
Policymakers should not exacerbate the risks of deglobalisation
A fragmented approach to rulemaking in banking around the world has the potential to be destructive2 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
The stock market is ready for its melt-up as investors ignore growing risks
Setting the stage for another show of irrational exuberance.3 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
The market could get hit hard on a Harris win — but also drop on a Trump victory, says Morgan Stanley
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. stock market, explains why markets prefer a Trump victory, and the risks from either result in the 2024 election.4 days ago - Donald Trump -
Top stories - The New York Times
There Is No Leadership Without Risk
Those in positions of leadership fear they will say the wrong thing, or say what they believe to be the right thing in the wrong way.5 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.6 days ago -
Top stories - The New York Times
American Business Cannot Afford to Risk Another Trump Presidency
Donald Trump is not running as a champion of business. He is running as a tribune of populist grievance.6 days ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Trump tariffs would hit these stock-market sectors the hardest
S&P 500 could see a 4.7% decline next year, according to a Barclays analysis.6 days ago - Donald Trump -
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Business - Financial Times
Emerging markets are having a moment
US interest rate cuts spur reassessment of asset class and bolster its allureOctober 18 -
Politics - The Hill
Trump’s tariffs pose a greater risk to markets than his tax cuts
They pose a significant threat to the global economy because of how far-reaching they are, the odds of implementation and the potential for widespread retaliation.October 18 - Donald Trump -
Business - Financial Times
Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets
Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based PolymarketOctober 18 - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
A French crypto whale backing Trump may be moving markets many times its size
There’s something funny going on in betting markets that seems to be leaking out into banking stocks, the dollar and Treasury yields.October 18 - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Dan Loeb’s Third Point says a Trump win would boost markets, drive up infrastructure spending
Third Point said it believes the Republicans will take control of both the White House and the Senate, leading to deregulation, an increase in U.S. manufacturing, and higher infrastructure spendingOctober 18 - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Ex-'Apprentice' marketing exec apologizes for promoting Trump: 'I helped create a monster'
A former NBC marketing executive who promoted "The Apprentice" is issuing an apology to America, saying he "helped create a monster" by casting former President Trump, at the time a New York real ...October 17 -
Business - Inc.
Does the Stock Market Want Trump to Be President?
Election odds favor Trump over Harris, but investors actually care about the Fed and economic data more than the White House.October 17 - Donald Trump -
Business - Financial Times
Donald Trump has a new crypto venture. The industry is not impressed
Industry executives worry World Liberty Financial will undermine painstaking efforts to rebuild trust after scandalsOctober 17 - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said Wednesday that the market is “very convinced” of an election victory for former President Trump. “I must say, in the last 12 days, the market and the ...October 17 - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.October 16 - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Morning Report — Trump, Harris take risks down the home stretch
In today’s issue: In the final weeks of the presidential campaign, Vice President Harris and former President Trump are ramping up efforts to reach voters where they’re at — and directly addressing ...October 16 -
Business - MarketWatch
The bond market may be at risk from inflationary forces beyond the Fed’s control
Investors remain nervous about upside risks to inflation, such as the outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election, that haven’t been priced into the bond market — and which policymakers may not be ...October 15 -
Business - MarketWatch
Uncertainty around the elusive ‘neutral’ interest rate could pose a real risk for markets
Nobody can say for sure where the “neutral” rate for the U.S. economy lies. As the Fed starts cutting, that’s making some on Wall Street nervous about a potential reacceleration of inflation.October 15 -
World - Financial Times
The inflation risk for emerging markets
Fiscal indiscipline looms as the biggest threat after central bank battles to slow rising pricesOctober 15 -
Business - MarketWatch
Hint of ‘very high’ consumer inflation expectations raises risks for Treasury market
Buried inside last Friday’s data from the University of Michigan was a shocking inflation outlook from a small segment of consumers — one that is causing some nervousness about whether ...October 14