Latest in Market Gauge Predicting
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What one stock market gauge is predicting about the presidential race
One market strategist notes a pattern based on whether the S&P 500 rises or falls between the end of July and Halloween.Top stories - CBS News - November 5 -
Treasury volatility gauge plunges as bond traders navigate election, the Fed
Yields on U.S. government debt finished mixed on Friday amid lower volatility as traders absorbed the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president and the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point ...Business - MarketWatch - November 8 -
Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever
Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.Business - Inc. - October 29 -
Inflation Cooled Further in September, PCE Index Shows
Overall inflation slowed in September from a year earlier, though some signs of stubbornness lingered under the surface.Business - The New York Times - October 31 -
Elon Musk predicts ‘hardship,’ economic turmoil and a stock-market crash if Trump wins
Musk’s agenda is like your new family doctor promising a major dose of brutal chemotherapy when you are perfectly healthy and cancer-free.Business - MarketWatch - October 31 -
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour On Prediction Markets’ Big Night: ‘We Even Overtook Pornhub’
Prediction markets like Kalshi beat pollsters in forecasting the 2024 US election. Mansour now says financial marketplaces are the future of political prognostication.Tech - Wired - November 6 -
It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks
Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.Business - MarketWatch - November 14 -
Inflation falls to lowest level since 2021 in Fed’s preferred gauge
Price increases have fallen to their lowest level in more than three years in the latest reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, strengthening the outlook for more interest rate ...Politics - The Hill - October 31 -
Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing gauge shows activity contracted in November
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve said Thursday its gauge of regional business activity stumbled to negative 5.5 in November from 10.3 in the prior month. Any reading below zero indicates ...Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
Economy on track to keep growing despite eighth straight decline in key gauge
The leading indicators of the U.S. economy fell for the eighth month in a row in October, but there’s still no sign the current four-year-old expansion is in trouble.Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago -
NFL trade deadline: Commanders gauging potential interest in deal for former first-round CB, per report
Could Washington make a move before the deadline?Sports - CBS Sports - November 5 -
Insider notebook: Gauging NFL's interest of college coaches, why Nico Iamaleava is likely to play vs. Georgia
Plus the latest on carousel openings at East Carolina and Fresno State.Sports - CBS Sports - November 15 -
A November Surprise That’s Jostling the Markets
The dollar, Treasury yields and crypto currencies have fallen, reversing some elements of the so-called Trump trade after an unexpected poll result.Business - The New York Times - November 4 -
Energy & Utilities Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on S-Oil, Strike Energy, Karoon Energy and more in the latest Market Talks covering Energy and Utilities.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 25 -
Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on copper mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Whitehaven, Regis Resources and more in the latest Market Talks covering Basic Materials.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 25 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Close Brothers, Intesa Sanpaolo, Bank Central Asia and more in the latest Market Talks covering Financial Services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 25 -
Auto & Transport Roundup: Market Talk
Read about UPS, Spirit Airlines, Norwegian Air and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Auto and Transport sector.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 25 -
Is the US jobs market still booming?
Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week aheadWorld - Financial Times - October 27 -
Auto & Transport Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on ArcBest, Air Canada and more in the latest Market Talks covering the auto and transport sector.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 1 -
Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Gold Road Resources, Mineral Resources, Capricorn Metals and more in the latest Market Talks covering Basic Materials.Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 31 -
Energy & Utilities Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Exxon, Enbridge and more in the latest Market Talks covering Energy and Utilities.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 1 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Brookfield, Secure Trust Bank and more in the latest Market Talks covering Financial Services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 1 -
The Other Trump Trade That Worries Markets
Robert Lighthizer, who was a huge influence on Donald Trump’s protectionist trade policy, is again a candidate for a top role if the Republican wins next week.Business - The New York Times - October 31 -
UK Budget spooks bond markets
UK borrowing costs hit the highest level this year after Budget announcements sink inWorld - Financial Times - November 1 -
Fears of Civil Unrest Stalk the Markets
Wall Street advisers say investors are increasingly anxious about the possibility of election-related violence.Business - The New York Times - November 2 -
How will the US election affect markets?
Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week aheadWorld - Financial Times - November 3 -
The bear market is coming — and it’s going to be painful
The stock market will not keep going up forever.Business - MarketWatch - November 5 -
Auto & Transportation Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Ford Motor, Ryanair and more in the latest Market Talks on the Auto and Transportation sectors.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 4 -
Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on American steel producers, Stella-Jones, Teck Resources and more in the latest Market Talks covering basic materials.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 6 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Read about U.S. clean tech companies, Fannie Mae, Credit Agricole, and more in the latest Market Talks covering financial services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 6 -
Energy & Utilities Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on crude oil futures, European wind-energy producers and more in the latest Market Talks covering energy and utilities.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 6 -
Stock market surges on Election Day
Major stock indexes and large tech firms showed gains on Tuesday.Top stories - ABC News - November 5 -
Auto & Transport Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Mobileye Global, Air France-KLM, Daimler Truck and more in the latest Market Talks covering the auto and transport sector.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 7 -
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Swiss Re, National Australia Bank, KBC Group and more in the latest Market Talks covering financial services.Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 7
