Election Forecaster Predicts

Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, predicted Monday that this year’s elections will result in a House divided by one vote. “Just like the presidential race, the battle for the ...

Politics - The Hill - November 5

The ‘foolproof’ election forecaster who predicted Trump would lose – what went wrong?

Allan Lichtman’s forecast model was meant to be foolproof. He explains to David Smith what was different this time. Surely not even Nostradamus could get it right all of the time.. Allan Lichtman ...

World - The Guardian - November 16

Halloween forecasts predict record temperatures in parts of the U.S.

East Coast and southern U.S. states experienced high temperatures this Halloween, with the heat forecast set to break records. CBS News 24/7 anchor Lana Zak reports on the weather and how New ...

Rain forecasted in key swing states on Election Day

Rain is threatening to disrupt Election Day in several key swing states. A cold front is slicing through the middle of the country, bringing a threat of rain showers and thunderstorms from the ...

Politics - The Hill - November 4

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House.

UBS smashes forecasts with bumper profit, warns of volatility around U.S. elections

The Swiss bank’s profits were boosted by the ongoing integration of wealth management accounts previously run by its main rival Credit Suisse

Business - MarketWatch - October 30

US presidential election updates: Campaigning ends with celebrity endorsements, and Nate Silver’s forecast

Kamala Harris is joined by Oprah and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia, while Trump celebrates an endorsement from podcaster Joe Rogan hours before polls open on 5 November. US election 2024 live: latest ...

World - The Guardian - November 5

Election Day forecast: Heavy rain, snow, record heat could impact voters

As millions of Americans head to the polls, thunderstorms are forecast from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast, with the potential to cause inconveniences to voters.

Uruguay’s 2024 Election: Candidates, Issues and Predictions

Crime, child poverty and an aging population are top issues as voters in one of Latin America’s most stable democracies head to the polls on Sunday.

World - The New York Times - October 25

Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever

Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.

Business - Inc. - October 29

Pundit predictions for 2024 elections: Who will win?

Every election cycle The Hill asks people who they think will win the races for the White House, House and Senate. Here are this year’s predictions for what looks like it could be one of the ...

Politics - The Hill - November 5

The missing key for Allan Lichtman's election prediction: Misogyny

With all due respect, Dr. Lichtman, I think I found your missing key.

Politics - The Hill - November 13

Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option

After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.

Business - Inc. - October 28

Maersk chief predicts intensifying trade tensions after US elections

Increasing gap between export growth from China and west could lead to increasing hostilities, says Vincent Clerc

World - Financial Times - October 31

"Mornings Memory": How the first computer predicted the 1952 election

On the eve of Election Day, we revisit the 1952 election, when CBS used the groundbreaking UNIVAC computer to accurately forecast Dwight D. Eisenhower's victory. It was a turning point in election ...

Lichtman blames bad election prediction on disinformation, Elon Musk

Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman is blaming disinformation and billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk for his incorrect prediction that Vice President Harris would win the presidency. ...

Politics - The Hill - November 12

Grover Norquist wins The Hill's 2024 elections prediction contest

Grover Norquist has won The Hill's 2024 elections contest, predicting that Republicans would control the White House, the House and the Senate next year. The president of Americans for Tax Reform ...

Politics - The Hill - November 12

Elon Musk claims Jeff Bezos predicted that Trump would lose election

Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos — the two richest people on the planet — are squabbling over social media. No, really.

Airbus Revenue, Earnings Beat Forecasts

Airbus posted earnings and revenue above analysts’ expectations, highlighting diverging fortunes with Boeing a week after the beleaguered company reported a multibillion-dollar loss.

Business - The Wall Street Journal - October 30

Disruptive snow to hit UK as weather warnings issued

Snow and ice warnings have been issued and disruption is possible as the weather turns colder across the UK.

Walz predicts women will send Trump a message on Election Day 'whether he likes it or not'

Vice President Harris’s running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), predicted Saturday that women will send former President Trump a message on Election “whether he likes it or not.” “Now here's ...

Politics - The Hill - November 2

It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Business - MarketWatch - November 14

What's the mortgage interest rate forecast for November 2024?

After falling in September, mortgage interest rates rose again in October. Here's what could happen this November.

AMD reports record revenue but Q4 forecast disappoints

Advanced Micro Devices reported record Q3 revenue of $6.8 billio, up 18%. But the shares fell due to a disappointing forecast for Q4.

Tech - VentureBeat - October 29

Ryanair profit drops as airline cuts passenger forecast

European low-cost carrier blames pressure on consumers for fall in fares

Business - Financial Times - November 4

Honda Motor Cuts Forecasts for Car Sales, Profit

The Japanese automaker cut its annual forecasts for car sales and net profit after posting a drop in first-half earnings due partly to weakness in its auto business in China.

Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 6

What's the CD interest rate forecast for November 2024?

Interested in putting some money into a CD account this November? Here's what could happen with the rates on CDs.

Goldman slashes European growth forecasts on Trump trouble

Elections have consequences

World - Financial Times - November 7

What's the gold price forecast for November 2024?

Planning to add gold to your portfolio soon? Here's where gold prices could be headed this month.

Babcock Results Beat Forecasts on Strong Defense Demand

The defense company—a major contractor for the U.K. government—posted higher revenue and operating profits for the first half of its financial year fueled by geopolitical tensions.

Business - The Wall Street Journal - November 13

Foxconn reiterates forecasts after record profits

Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn on Thursday said it was reiterating its outlook but with better visibility after record earnings and profit.

Business - MarketWatch - November 14

Brussels downgrades Eurozone growth forecast to 1.3%

Germany’s economic struggles weigh down on region as US continues to outpace Europe

Business - Financial Times - November 15

High energy prices predicted to be 'the new normal'

The energy price cap is predicted to edge up by 1% from January, according to analysis by Cornwall Insight.

Thanksgiving Travel Forecasts Hit Record 80 Million

Roads and airports could be jammed this holiday, according to estimates from AAA, which says this year’s total could be the highest ever.

Business - Inc. - 5 days ago

Target shares tumble as retailer’s holiday forecast disappoints

US retailer blames muted sales of non-essential items and rising costs

World - Financial Times - 3 days ago

UK government borrowing for October exceeds forecasts at £17.4bn

Data highlights challenges facing chancellor Rachel Reeves

World - Financial Times - 2 days ago

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