Latest in Election Betting One
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It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks
Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.Business - MarketWatch - 16 hours ago -
US election betting is on a roll
In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American presidentWorld - Financial Times - October 30 -
Concerns over 2024 election betting
New data shows more than $100 million has been legally wagered on the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential race. Koleman Strumpf, the Burchfield Presidential Chair of Political Economy at ...Top stories - CBS News - October 31 -
Coinbase's big election bet is about to be tested
Coinbase emerged as a top corporate donor this election cycle, backing candidates the company viewed as supporting its pro-crypto agenga.Business - CNBC - November 5 -
Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.Business - The New York Times - November 6 -
The good news no one is talking about this election season
The solution to climate change is to switch from fossil fuels to clean energy; thanks to the Biden administration and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), clean energy is putting down deep roots in ...Politics - The Hill - October 28 -
The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election
The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.Business - MarketWatch - October 19 -
These two crypto funds will likely do better if Trump wins. Here’s why.
Grayscale Investments’ Digital Large Cap Fund and Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund could provide attractive opportunities to bet on Donald Trump’s victory in next month’s ...Business - MarketWatch - October 18 -
Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Robinhood is joining the election-betting party by offering wagers on Harris and Trump
With the U.S. presidential election a week away, another brokerage is letting people bet on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win.Business - MarketWatch - October 28 -
Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option
After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.Business - Inc. - October 28 -
Trump Media Stock Jumps Again as Traders Bet on Election
Shares of the Truth Social parent company continue to soar, pushing the market value of the firm above $10 billion.Business - The New York Times - October 29 -
Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility
Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential voteWorld - Financial Times - November 1 -
Election betting is newly legal — and risks getting confused with polls
Wagers have been flooding in after a ruling opened the door to U.S. users placing bets on ballot outcomes, raising concerns that the lines between elections and sports would blur.Top stories - NBC News - November 1 -
Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously
This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.Business - MarketWatch - November 4 -
Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...Politics - The Hill - November 3 -
Brokerages are raking in millions from your presidential election bets
There’s a lot of money to be made off of election betting, and brokerages are cashing in.Business - MarketWatch - November 5 -
Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election
Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...World - The Guardian - November 6 -
How Trump’s Victory Grants Election Betting Platforms a Promising Future
Long prohibited by regulators, U.S. forecasting sites recently won the right to offer bets on national elections—a liberty Trump is unlikely to roll back after the bettors backed him to win.Business - Inc. - November 6 -
Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election
Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the raceBusiness - MarketWatch - November 7 -
Billions were bet on election odds using online markets
Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.Top stories - NBC News - 5 days ago -
Steve Kornacki explains how one district in Nebraska could decide the election
NBC News National Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki and WOTW NBC Omaha Anchor Brian Mastre join Meet the Press NOW to explain how pivotal Nebraska's second congressional district could be in ...Politics - NBC News - October 16 -
Watch Live: Harris barnstorms Michigan one week ahead of Election Day
Vice President Harris is barnstorming Michigan on Monday in one of her final swings through the critical battleground state ahead of Election Day. Harris is making three stops throughout the day. ...Politics - The Hill - October 28 -
What to know about the presidential race with Election Day one week away
Republican strategist and CBS News political contributor Leslie Sanchez breaks down the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump as the campaigns ...Top stories - CBS News - October 29 -
Harris makes closing argument one week before the election
Harris makes closing argument one week before the election With the White House as a backdrop, Vice President Kamala Harris delivers her closing argument on why she should be president, one week ...Politics - NBC News - October 30 -
Why inflation in one battleground state could sway the election
With a tight race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, the U.S. election could hinge on how voters choose to look at inflation. Here's why.Top stories - CBS News - October 30 -
How one congressional district in Nebraska could swing the election
Nebraska's allocation method, which was adopted before the 1992 election, was long seen as an innocuous curiosity.Politics - The Hill - November 4 -
Climate fight 'bigger than one election', says Biden’s top envoy
COP29 climate summit opens amid fears the US election will derail efforts to stop the planet heating up.Top stories - BBC News - 3 days ago -
Bluesky Adds One Million New Users After Election
With one million new accounts added since the U.S. elections, Bluesky has solidified itself as an option for people looking to change their social media service.Business - The New York Times - 9 hours ago -
Here’s Why Election Betting Activity Is Raising Eyebrows Ahead of the November 5 Vote
A sudden $30 million surge in election bets on a Trump win leads some observers to suspect an attempt to manipulate the election.Business - Inc. - October 21 -
How Trump proxy stock ‘DJT’ has come to reflect election-betting data
Trump Media & Technology Group shares extended their recent rally Wednesday, as the stock continues to reflect betting data ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election.Business - MarketWatch - October 23 -
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Business - MarketWatch - October 24 -
French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts
Supporters of Donald Trump, including Elon Musk, have touted shifting election odds on Polymarket even as polls largely show a tight race with Kamala Harris.Business - CNBC - October 24 -
French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts
A stark shift toward former President Donald Trump on the political gambling platform Polymarket this month stoked scrutiny about four accounts that have collectively spent over $28 million betting ...Top stories - NBC News - October 24 -
Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.
Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...Business - MarketWatch - October 26 -
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.Business - CNBC - October 31 -
Investors betting on Treasurys like it’s the 2016 election all over again could be making a big mistake
The market backdrop for this presidential election isn’t remotely like 2016, says Jamie Patton, co-head of global rates at TCWBusiness - MarketWatch - October 31 -
Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird
“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”Tech - The New York Times - November 1