Betting Markets Favor

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - November 6

Why Trump’s Victory Is Fueling a Market Frenzy

Investors have been comforted by a clear election result and are anticipating tax cuts and deregulation from a second Trump administration.

Business - The New York Times - November 12

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?

Business - Inc. - October 30

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - November 1

Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously

This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.

Business - MarketWatch - November 4

Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...

Politics - The Hill - November 3

Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds

Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...

World - The Guardian - November 4

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - November 6

Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election

Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the race

Business - MarketWatch - November 7

Billions were bet on election odds using online markets

Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - October 31

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - November 1

Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.

Business - MarketWatch - November 2

Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead

Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.

Business - MarketWatch - November 3

Economists warn Trump’s policies will trigger inflation

US president-elect won on claims he could rid of high prices yet many analysts think he will do the opposite

World - Financial Times - November 6

How to devalue the dollar (a guide for Trump)

Greenback attack

World - Financial Times - November 6

It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Business - MarketWatch - November 14

Jets are somehow favored on Thursday night vs. Texans

The 2-6 Jets host the 6-2 Texans on Thursday night.

Sports - Yahoo Sports - October 30

Trump is favored to win, despite his campaign

If Kamala Harris and the Democrats were ever thinking beating Trump would be easy, they were gaslighting themselves.

Politics - The Hill - October 31

Has the Electoral College ever favored Democrats?

Did you know there have been five U.S. Presidential Elections in which the winner lost the popular vote?

Politics - The Hill - November 3

Is the pendulum swinging back in favor of remote working?

People working in tech are watching nervously as return-to-office mandates roll in. Here's where the issue stands.

Tech - VentureBeat - 5 days ago

Gaetz favorability at 29 percent in new survey

Less than one-third of Americans view President-elect Trump's pick for attorney general, former Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), favorably, a new poll reveals. The survey, published Tuesday by ...

Politics - The Hill - 4 days ago

'Republicans are still favored' but Senate control hinges on ticket-splitters: analyst

NBC News Capitol Hill Correspondent Ali Vitali interviews Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) as he campaigns for re-election in a tight race. Jessica Taylor, Senate and Governors editor with the Cook ...

Politics - NBC News - October 30

Sierra Leone captures Breeders' Cup Classic victory, beating favored Fierceness

Sierra Leone finally becomes a winner, charging ahead of Fierceness to win the Breeders' Cup Classic on a day marred by the death of a horse in another race.

Sports - Yahoo Sports - November 2

Trump trades take off as voting results tilt in former president’s favor

Traders across an array of asset classes in financial markets were positioning in a way that made it clear they had come to the same assumption long before Tuesday evening’s election results are ...

Business - MarketWatch - November 6

Trump Is Expected to Upend Biden Labor Policies Favoring Unions

After gains by organized labor under President Biden, a second Trump administration is likely to change course on regulation and enforcement.

Business - The New York Times - November 10

Bills are favored Sunday, but Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes are 11-3 as underdogs

The Chiefs are also 12-1-1 against the spread as underdogs with Mahomes. The Bills are the only favorites who covered.

Sports - Yahoo Sports - November 14

Nate Silver says Biden did 'no favors' for 'replacement-level' candidate Harris

Pollster Nate Silver said he has "a lot of sympathy" for Vice President Harris after her loss to President-elect Trump because President Biden "did her no favors" before or after he dropped out of ...

Politics - The Hill - November 16

Gaetz among least favored Trump Cabinet nominees in new survey

President-elect Trump’s attorney general nominee, former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), is among the least favored of his Cabinet nominees, according to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris poll released ...

Politics - The Hill - 5 days ago

Jim Cramer wants to buy more shares of 2 portfolio companies with favorable catalysts

The Investing Club holds its "Morning Meeting" every weekday at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Business - CNBC - October 28

Argentina's president fires his foreign minister after vote in favor of ending US embargo on Cuba

Argentina’s President Javier Milei has dismissed his foreign minister hours after the country voted against the U.S. economic embargo of Cuba at the U.N. Argentine Foreign Minister Diana Mondino ...

World - ABC News - October 30

College football odds, lines, schedule for Week 11: Georgia, Alabama favored in key SEC showdowns

Here's an early look at the lines for the biggest college football games of Week 11

Sports - CBS Sports - November 3

10-year Treasury yield dives by most in a month after Iowa poll tilts in favor of Harris

Treasury yields finished broadly lower on Monday after a key poll gave Vice President Kamala Harris an edge over former President Donald Trump ahead of Tuesday’s election.