A.g.i Election Betting

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

“If I had $1 billion, how would I try to influence the results of this election?”

Tech - The New York Times - 6 hours ago

US election betting is on a roll

In the months leading up to election day, people from around the world have placed millions of dollars in wagers on who will be the next American president

World - Financial Times - 2 days ago

Concerns over 2024 election betting

New data shows more than $100 million has been legally wagered on the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential race. Koleman Strumpf, the Burchfield Presidential Chair of Political Economy at ...

Election betting: Appeals court fast-tracks CFTC challenge to Kalshi political bets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission opposes the offer of bets on political races offered in contracts by Kalshi and other event-based platforms.

Business - CNBC - October 14

US election bets surge after court lifts ban

Traders on prediction markets narrowly favour a Trump victory over Harris next month

World - Financial Times - October 15

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

These two crypto funds will likely do better if Trump wins. Here’s why.

Grayscale Investments’ Digital Large Cap Fund and Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund could provide attractive opportunities to bet on Donald Trump’s victory in next month’s ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 18

Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site

Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.

Business - The New York Times - October 25

Robinhood is joining the election-betting party by offering wagers on Harris and Trump

With the U.S. presidential election a week away, another brokerage is letting people bet on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win.

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option

After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.

Business - Inc. - 3 days ago

Trump Media Stock Jumps Again as Traders Bet on Election

Shares of the Truth Social parent company continue to soar, pushing the market value of the firm above $10 billion.

Business - The New York Times - 2 days ago

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - 12 hours ago

Trump Media stock surges as election betting odds shift, Truth Social launches streaming site

The DJT surge came as some election betting markets shifted in favor of Donald Trump over Kamala Harris, and as Trump Media launched a Truth+ streaming site.

Business - CNBC - October 14

Here’s Why Election Betting Activity Is Raising Eyebrows Ahead of the November 5 Vote

A sudden $30 million surge in election bets on a Trump win leads some observers to suspect an attempt to manipulate the election.

Business - Inc. - October 21

How Trump proxy stock ‘DJT’ has come to reflect election-betting data

Trump Media & Technology Group shares extended their recent rally Wednesday, as the stock continues to reflect betting data ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election.

Business - MarketWatch - October 23

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts

Supporters of Donald Trump, including Elon Musk, have touted shifting election odds on Polymarket even as polls largely show a tight race with Kamala Harris.

Business - CNBC - October 24

French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts

A stark shift toward former President Donald Trump on the political gambling platform Polymarket this month stoked scrutiny about four accounts that have collectively spent over $28 million betting ...

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you need to know.

Political betting markets aren’t new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has led Wall Street investors to look to the shifting ...

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - Yesterday

Investors betting on Treasurys like it’s the 2016 election all over again could be making a big mistake

The market backdrop for this presidential election isn’t remotely like 2016, says Jamie Patton, co-head of global rates at TCW

Business - MarketWatch - Yesterday

NBA betting: Three futures bets to make on all 30 teams this season

While not every team is a contender, each one offers a chance to make a bet

Sports - ESPN - October 21

The Magnificent 7: place your bets

And the sustainability of US growth outperformance

World - Financial Times - 3 days ago

Don’t bet on a taxing outcome for UK gambling companies

Fears that money would flow from the regulated sector has long deterred action against the industry

Business - Financial Times - October 14

Flutter chief warns on US betting tax rises

FanDuel owner says punitive duties could push customers towards unlicensed operators

Business - Financial Times - October 15

Polymarket and PredictIt Gain Bets and Split From Polls

Supporters say the platforms are better at predicting the election. But questions have arisen about recent big bets, as they show a big lead for Donald Trump.

Business - The New York Times - October 16

NBA's Silver: No regrets on backing legal betting

NBA commissioner Adam Silver says he does not regret a 2014 op-ed in which he supported changing U.S. law on sports betting, part of a movement that changed the sports landscape in the past decade.

Sports - ESPN - October 16

A Top University Bet on D.E.I. What Went Wrong?

We cover the impact of college diversity programs.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 16

Betting odds and lines for every NFL game

The updated lines -- ATS, money line and totals -- for all games in Week 7.

Sports - ESPN - October 17

Which team owns betting in the Big Apple?

How does the betting market compare between New York teams?

Sports - ESPN - October 17

Paquetá requests probe into alleged betting leaks

West Ham midfielder Lucas Paquetá has asked the Football Association to investigate how information from its case against him over alleged breaches of betting rules has been leaked to the media.

Sports - ESPN - October 18

NBA betting storylines: Money on Celtics, Knicks and ... Bronny?

How will load management impact lines? Who are bettors supporting most heading into the season?

Sports - ESPN - October 21

Take political betting markets literally, not seriously

Or is it the other way around?

World - Financial Times - October 21

Elon Musk’s riskiest bet yet: Donald Trump

The billionaire entrepreneur has gone all-in behind the Republican candidate. If he wins, the prize could be substantial influence over the administration

Business - Financial Times - October 21

The White House Bet Big on Intel. Will It Backfire?

A plan to revive U.S. chip manufacturing rests partly on a company that is firing workers and delaying factories, even as the government pushes for the opposite.

Business - The New York Times - October 24

Democrats bet on abortion rights to fire up voters

Also in today’s newsletter, Trump takes a slim lead on the economy, according to our latest poll

World - Financial Times - October 24

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 25

By the numbers: Commanders' Hail Mary 'not great' for sportsbooks

Washington's miraculous win, a pair of NCAA unbeatens and the rest of the biggest weekend betting storylines.

Sports - ESPN - 3 days ago

Halloween costume chain Spirit bet on the pop-up model and won

Spirit Halloween's success as a seasonal pop-up retailer is leading it to make a foray into Christmas with 10 temporary stores.

Latest in A.g.i Election Betting

Topics