It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Business - MarketWatch - 13 hours ago

Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.

Business - MarketWatch - November 2

Climate fight 'bigger than one election', says Biden’s top envoy

COP29 climate summit opens amid fears the US election will derail efforts to stop the planet heating up.

Why the stock market’s ‘Trump bump’ could become a ‘Trump dump’

Are you sure you know more about the stock market than Warren Buffett?

Business - MarketWatch - 13 hours ago

What one stock market gauge is predicting about the presidential race

One market strategist notes a pattern based on whether the S&P 500 rises or falls between the end of July and Halloween.

The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election

The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong

The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not ...

Politics - The Hill - November 3

Why the stock market failed to see that Trump would win the presidential election

The Dow’s strong gain this year favored the Democrats and Kamala Harris. But Wall Street is increasingly disconnected from Main Street.

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

Why it’s way easier to call US elections than pick stocks

Even so, I’m yearning to have a go if only to amuse my readers

World - Financial Times - 6 days ago

Why stocks are getting that same look they had just before the 2022 bear market

Key market indicators are breaking down, suggesting weakness ahead for stocks.

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Why investing in the market’s dogs can pay off more than today’s hot stock

How a contrarian bet vs. a sure thing can make you more money.

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Stock-market investors have ‘no clear playbook’ for Harris election win. Here’s why.

A victory by Vice President Kamala Harris over Donald Trump next week might leave investors temporarily lost, says a closely followed Wall Street research analyst.

Business - MarketWatch - October 29

Why it’s good for the stock market that retail investors didn’t chase the post-election rally

Analysts at Vanda Research, who track retail stock-market activity, found buying relatively muted compared to the gains in the stock market.

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

Stock market surges on Election Day

Major stock indexes and large tech firms showed gains on Tuesday.

Why Chinese Are Rushing Into a ‘Casino’ Stock Market

Steps to bolster the economy have set off a stock buying frenzy. Our columnist spoke to Chinese investors about why they are jumping in knowing the risks.

Business - The New York Times - October 21

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - November 6

Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive

Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

What a Republican sweep in Congress could mean for the stock market—in one chart

Stocks have posted a positive annual return in 13 consecutive years when control of Congress has been split between Democrats and Republicans.

Business - CNBC - November 7

This is what history shows after big stock-market jumps like this one

There have been eight instances of 36%+ S&P 500 rallies over 52 weeks since 1995

Business - MarketWatch - Yesterday

‘Two-stocks’ are better than one? Repacking ‘pair trades'

How two-stock ETFs could transform pair trading for investors.

Business - CNBC - 5 days ago

Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever

Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.

Business - Inc. - October 29

Billionaires like Elon Musk don’t just think they’re better than the rest of us – they hate us | Zoe Williams

The ultra-wealthy talk about solving the climate crisis or ending inequality. But what they’re really interested in is outliving or escaping anyone poorer than them. Nearly three years ago, I ...

World - The Guardian - 3 days ago

Why Einhorn says it’s the most expensive stock market in decades

One leading hedge fund says it’s not just tech stocks with nosebleed valuations.

Business - MarketWatch - October 16

Trump tariffs: Why stock-market investors are underrating impact

Donald Trump’s most unconventional policy proposal is also one he’s been most consistent in promoting: universal tariffs.

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Why the stock market can count on another Fed rate cut in December

The trend in short-term rates leading up to the U.S. presidential election usually persists.

Business - MarketWatch - 5 days ago

Why no more than 60% of your retirement money belongs in stocks

Bonds have kept pace with stocks throughout U.S. market history.

Business - MarketWatch - 5 hours ago

Are U.S. stocks really headed for a ‘lost decade’? Why one strategist disagrees.

Are U.S. stocks really headed for a “lost decade,” as several prominent Wall Street firms have warned? The founder of one eponymous research shop doesn’t think so.

Business - MarketWatch - October 23

Why Trump’s election will not tank European defence stocks

Europe still has decades of under-investment in security to address

World - Financial Times - 3 days ago

Why Aaron Judge has disappeared at exactly the wrong time for the Yankees

Judge has looked like anything but an MVP during this World Series. Let's go inside his issues.

Sports - ESPN - October 29

I’ve been to more than 100 Trump rallies since 2016. This is why I think he won | Oliver Laughland

Travelling many miles across multiple states, I saw Republicans united in their disdain for facts – and a Democratic party far too relaxed about challenging them. In the early hours of Wednesday ...

World - The Guardian - 19 hours ago

Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote

World - Financial Times - November 1

Don’t take the betting market odds on Tuesday’s U.S. election too seriously

This year’s U.S. presidential election has suddenly made betting on politics a topic of mainstream conversation.

Business - MarketWatch - November 4

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - November 6

Here’s how much money was bet on the 2024 presidential election

Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election; here’s how much people wagered on the race

Business - MarketWatch - November 7

Billions were bet on election odds using online markets

Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election.

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