Latest in Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
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Top stories - The New York Times
Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.6 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Top stories - The New York Times
Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.6 hours ago -
Business - The New York Times
‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election
As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.6 hours ago -
Business - The New York Times
Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets
Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.23 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Business - The New York Times
Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.6 hours ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Polymarket says the whale betting heavily on Trump is a French individual
The mystery bettor making large trades on former President Donald Trump to win the election on a cryptocurrency site is a French national who is doing so based on personal belief, the site ...Yesterday - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve
Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...Yesterday -
Business - MarketWatch
‘King of debt’ Donald Trump needs to reassure the bond markets — now
Millions of investors are watching the value of their bond funds sag almost daily as concerns about the impact of Trump’s policies on the national debt grow.Yesterday - Donald Trump -
Top stories - ABC News
Here's what a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win would mean for the stock market
The stock market has soared during the presidential campaign. Will it continue?2 days ago - Donald Trump -
Top stories - The New York Times
More Republicans Appear to Be Voting Early, Despite Trump’s Mixed Messages
In 2020, Donald Trump convinced his supporters that anything but a vote cast in person on Election Day could not be trusted — and lost. In response, Republicans shifted their stance.2 days ago - Republican Party -
Politics - The Hill
Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites
Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter {beacon} Campaign Report Campaign Report The Big Story Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites Voters aren’t just casting ...2 days ago - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Trump recording podcast with Joe Rogan this week
Former President Trump is planning to sit for an interview with podcaster Joe Rogan this week. The former president will record his conversation with Rogan at the media personalities' studio in ...2 days ago - Donald Trump -
World - The Guardian
Arab Americans slightly favor Trump over Harris, says new poll
Poll shows a deadlock in Michigan, a key state on the path to the White House with a large Arab American population. Arab Americans are slightly more likely to vote for Donald Trump than Kamala ...2 days ago - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Harris, Trump favorability ratings among lowest for nominees since 1956: Gallup
Vice President Harris and former President Trump have secured some of the worst favorability ratings for presidential nominees since 1956, a new survey found. Gallup has measured favorability of ...3 days ago - Donald Trump -
World - Financial Times
Take political betting markets literally, not seriously
Or is it the other way around?4 days ago -
Business - Financial Times
Elon Musk’s riskiest bet yet: Donald Trump
The billionaire entrepreneur has gone all-in behind the Republican candidate. If he wins, the prize could be substantial influence over the administration4 days ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
This stock market rotation is the ‘lifeblood’ of the bull market as S&P 500 logs record
The stock market’s performance beneath the surface of the S&P 500 is shifting lately.4 days ago -
Politics - The Hill
GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy
The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former ...5 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive
Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.5 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election
The Dow’s indication of who will win the U.S. presidency deserves to be taken seriously.6 days ago -
Business - MarketWatch
Trump tariffs would hit these stock-market sectors the hardest
S&P 500 could see a 4.7% decline next year, according to a Barclays analysis.6 days ago - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
These two crypto funds will likely do better if Trump wins. Here’s why.
Grayscale Investments’ Digital Large Cap Fund and Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund could provide attractive opportunities to bet on Donald Trump’s victory in next month’s ...6 days ago - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Trump’s tariffs pose a greater risk to markets than his tax cuts
They pose a significant threat to the global economy because of how far-reaching they are, the odds of implementation and the potential for widespread retaliation.October 18 - Donald Trump -
Business - Financial Times
Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets
Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based PolymarketOctober 18 - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
S&P 500 looks solid here — but the VIX is sending mixed signals
S&P 500 looks solid, and charts are positive for Amphenol, APA, wheat and Walgreens.October 17 -
Business - MarketWatch
Nvidia’s stock sets one record but falls short of another
While TSMC issued upbeat commentary on the state of the AI market, Wall Street perhaps already had that confidence.October 17 -
Business - Inc.
Does the Stock Market Want Trump to Be President?
Election odds favor Trump over Harris, but investors actually care about the Fed and economic data more than the White House.October 17 - Donald Trump -
Business - Financial Times
Donald Trump has a new crypto venture. The industry is not impressed
Industry executives worry World Liberty Financial will undermine painstaking efforts to rebuild trust after scandalsOctober 17 - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said Wednesday that the market is “very convinced” of an election victory for former President Trump. “I must say, in the last 12 days, the market and the ...October 17 - Donald Trump -
Business - MarketWatch
Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism
Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.October 16 - Donald Trump -
Politics - The Hill
35 percent in new survey not confident in accuracy of voting in November
More than a third of voters say they are not confident in voting accuracy heading into the Nov. 5 elections, according to a new survey. The Marquette University poll found a stark divide along ...October 16 -
Politics - The Hill
More Americans favor Trump for their personal finances and the economy: Poll
More Americans think the economy would fare better under former President Trump than Vice President Harris in a new survey, even as many economists say they expect higher inflation and slower ...October 15 - Donald Trump -
Top stories - CBS News
Trump cuts short his town hall Q&A in favor of songs from rally playlist
Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign seized on the moment with a social media post saying the former president looked "confused."October 15 - Donald Trump -
Business - Financial Times
Bellway says Budget ‘mixed messages’ hurting UK property market
Housebuilder expects to deliver more homes next year as borrowing costs easeOctober 15 - United Kingdom -
Business - CNBC
Nvidia closes at record as AI chipmaker's market cap tops $3.4 trillion
Nvidia shares closed at an all-time high on Monday as the chipmaker continues to ride a massive wave of demand for its artificial intelligence chips.October 14