538's Final Forecasts for the 2024 Election

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House.

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

538's 2024 presidential election forecast shows a very close, toss-up race, with Trump taking a small lead.

Meet the Election Denier Forecasting a Trump Win in the 2024 Election

Seth Keshel has become a darling among election deniers by factoring widespread voter fraud — the existence of which has been widely debunked — into his election predictions.

Tech - The New York Times - October 15

Why some 2024 final election results won't be in by end of Election Day

Some battleground states may not have their final election results until after Election Day 2024. Tom LoBianco, a national politics reporter and co-founder of 24sight News, joins CBS News with more ...

Political experts weigh in on the final stretch of 2024 presidential election

With just a week remaining until Election Day, CBS News polling shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump virtually tied nationwide and in key battleground states. ...

Chuck Todd: The 2024 election careens into its final, uncertain days

In many ways, the final week of a presidential campaign — for those of us who cover presidential politics — is akin to being in the eye of a hurricane.

Politics - NBC News - 6 days ago

Election 2024 live updates as Harris and Trump enter final campaign stretch

Follow live as Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump enter the final weekend of the campaign in the 2024 election, as polls remain tight.

2024 election updates: Trump, Harris split first votes counted in New Hampshire

With just hours left to Election Day, it's a neck-and-neck race to the finish.

Durbin on Election Day 2024, Harris campaign final message

Illinois Democrat Sen. Dick Durbin tells CBS News he is confident in Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign efforts. Durbin also weighed in on some key Senate races that could impact the balance of ...

Live Senate election results for 2024's high-stakes races

Democrats are facing strong headwinds as they seek to defend their narrow 51-49 majority in the Senate. Follow live 2024 election results here.

What's the mortgage interest rate forecast for November 2024?

After falling in September, mortgage interest rates rose again in October. Here's what could happen this November.

Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver's final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is "literally closer than ...

Politics - The Hill - 15 hours ago

Rain forecasted in key swing states on Election Day

Rain is threatening to disrupt Election Day in several key swing states. A cold front is slicing through the middle of the country, bringing a threat of rain showers and thunderstorms from the ...

Politics - The Hill - Yesterday

Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, predicted Monday that this year’s elections will result in a House divided by one vote. “Just like the presidential race, the battle for the ...

Politics - The Hill - Yesterday

Top crypto PAC targets close House races as 2024 election hits final stages

The pro-crypto PAC Fairshake disbursed nearly $29 million in September, with a big chunk targeting close House races.

Business - CNBC - October 20

Analysis of the 2024 presidential race as campaigns enter final stretch before Election Day

CBS News chief election and campaign correspondent Robert Costa breaks down the final week before the 2024 presidential election and what to expect from the campaigns.

Final push in 2024 election: Trump and Harris neck-and-neck with 8 days to go

With Election Day eight days away, the CBS News poll shows a close race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Both candidates delivered closing arguments, with ...

US election live updates: Harris and Trump hold duelling Pittsburgh rallies in final hours of campaigning

Harris says ‘momentum is on our side’ at Pennsylvania rally while Trump celebrates endorsement from podcaster Joe Rogan. Trump and Harris visit key states in final day of campaigning Don’t miss ...

World - The Guardian - Yesterday

US elections live: Harris makes unexpected stop at DNC headquarters as millions of Americans cast their votes

Harris thanks Democratic staffers in Washington DC and says ‘we have so much work to do’ during phone-banking session. US election results 2024: live map and tracker When will we know the ...

World - The Guardian - 7 hours ago

US election 2024 live: Republicans win Senate after taking key seats from Democrats; Trump wins swing state North Carolina

Latest results and reaction after Senate control flips and Trump wins first of several states critical to electoral success. US election results 2024: live map and tracker Senate and House ...

World - The Guardian - 19 minutes ago

American Airlines lifts 2024 profit forecast after sales strategy shift, posts third-quarter loss

American Airlines raised its profit forecast for the year as CEO Robert Isom said the company's sales strategy shift earlier this year is paying off.

Business - CNBC - October 24

What's the home equity loan interest rate forecast for November 2024?

Home equity loan interest rates could fall, but they might not be worth waiting for. Here's everything to know.

Election forecaster moves Nebraska Senate race slightly toward independent challenger

An election forecaster moved Nebraska’s contentious Senate race slightly toward Sen. Deb Fischer’s (R) challenger, Independent candidate Dan Osborn. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the Senate contest ...

Politics - The Hill - October 24

UBS smashes forecasts with bumper profit, warns of volatility around U.S. elections

The Swiss bank’s profits were boosted by the ongoing integration of wealth management accounts previously run by its main rival Credit Suisse

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

United shares hit pre-pandemic high after airline forecasts strong finish to 2024, plans buyback

United Airlines said it authorized a $1.5 billion share buyback, its first share repurchase since before the Covid-19 pandemic.

Business - CNBC - October 16

Ford guides to low end of 2024 earnings forecast as it slightly tops Wall Street's third-quarter expectations

Ford guides to low end of 2024 earnings forecast as it slightly tops Wall Street's Q3 expectations

Business - CNBC - October 29

Influencers Get Their Final Marching Orders for the Election

The Trump and Harris campaigns have built huge networks of influencers and content creators. They have one last job—getting people out to vote.

Tech - Wired - October 24

Lithuanians vote in the final round of parliamentary election

Lithuanians are voting in the second round of parliamentary elections, with the conservative governing party still in contention despite first-round gains two weeks ago for the left-leaning opposition

World - ABC News - October 27

Gov. Tim Walz on the final week of the election

Gov. Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, joins "CBS Mornings" to discuss the final week of the election, Biden's response to rhetoric at Trump's rally and the importance of unity in ...

12:30 Report — The final countdown to Election Day

{beacon} 12:30 REPORT Happy Friday and happy November! 🍂 Can you believe it’s only four days until Election Day? Try to do something relaxing this weekend to ease the tension. Go for a walk, maybe ...

Politics - The Hill - 4 days ago

Trump overtakes Harris for first time in Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast

CORRECTION: An earlier version of this story misstated the chances of Harris winning the election in the latest forecast from Decision Deck HQ/The Hill. The correct number is 48 percent. Former ...

Politics - The Hill - October 20

US presidential election updates: Campaigning ends with celebrity endorsements, and Nate Silver’s forecast

Kamala Harris is joined by Oprah and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia, while Trump celebrates an endorsement from podcaster Joe Rogan hours before polls open on 5 November. US election 2024 live: latest ...

World - The Guardian - 23 hours ago

Election Day forecast: Heavy rain, snow, record heat could impact voters

As millions of Americans head to the polls, thunderstorms are forecast from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast, with the potential to cause inconveniences to voters.

Latest in 538's Final Forecasts for the 2024 Election