While US bosses look terrified of being labelled unpatriotic over Trump’s tariffs, stock markets are trading on guesswork
What is the correct level of fall in the stock market if the US president declares economic war on the rest of the world even at the risk of causing a recession in his own country? Does 10% capture it? Or 12%, which was roughly the S&P 500 index’s three-day decline by the time the London market closed on Monday? Or 15%? How about 20%? More? A lot more?
During three straight days of heavy falls in the share prices everywhere, a striking feature has been the absence of wise old market heads popping up to argue that the panic is perhaps a little overdone and fair value is emerging. Instead, the collective mood is stuck in bewildered mode for understandable reasons.
Continue reading...
