Dollar Falls on Speculation of 50bp Fed Rate Cut Next Week
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Surprise fall in inflation boosts interest rate cut hopes
Inflation falls for the first time in three months, sparking expectations rates may be cut to 4.5% in February.BBC News - 11m -
A global bond sell-off is deepening as investors pare Fed rate-cut expectations
A sell-off in global bond markets is accelerating, fueling concerns over government finances and raising the specter of higher borrowing costs.CNBC - 21h -
Small-cap stocks face heightened risk with rate cuts in question, warns BofA
The recent selloff in small-cap stocks left the Russell 2000 index in correction territory.MarketWatch - 1d -
Wall Street stocks waver after robust US data puts brake on rate cut bets
Treasury yields rise to highest level since late 2023Financial Times - 1d -
Bitcoin accelerates its slide, falling toward $90,000 to start the week
Bitcoin at one point dropped to the $90,000 mark to start the week, extending weekend losses as investors continued to dump tech stocks.CNBC - 1d -
Will mortgage rates fall below 6% in 2025? What experts say
Rates could fall that low, but certain conditions must play out for that to happen this year, experts say.CBS News - 1d -
Stocks fall back to pre-Election Day levels amid renewed inflation and interest-rate concerns
The post-Election Day rally in stock prices is fading amid forecasts that the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates as much as expected.NBC News - 1d -
India's inflation slows to lower-than-expected 5.22% in December, boosting case for rate cuts
The full year inflation forecast for the RBI's 2024 fiscal year ending June 2025 is projected at 4.8%.CNBC - 2d -
FirstFT: Dollar hits 2-year high as interest rate assumptions change
Also in today’s newsletter, China’s trade surplus reached a new record and the reinvention of El SalvadorFinancial Times - 2d -
L.A.’s Private Firefighters, and U.S. Childhood Vaccination Rates Fall
Plus, remembering a civil rights Freedom Rider.The New York Times - 2d -
This is what it could take for the Fed to hike interest rates
Some economists are now contemplating what was previously unthinkable — and they are focused on the personal-consumption expenditures price indexMarketWatch - 3d -
Mortgage rates were expected to fall, but they’re surging. There’s a reason for that.
Rates were supposed to go down — but a strong U.S. economy is getting in the way.MarketWatch - 4d -
Los Angeles Will Remain at High Risk of Fire Into Next Week
The arrival of La Niña is starving California of rain, and more high Santa Ana winds could be on the way.Wired - 4d -
Dow sees worst start to a year since 2016 as Fed rate-cut hopes fade for 2025
U.S. stocks are down so far in 2025 as market volatility climbs.MarketWatch - 4d -
Stocks and Bonds Fall After Strong Jobs Report Fuels Interest Rate Concerns
Stronger-than-expected data on the labor market has added to clues that the economy continues to run at a solid pace, amplifying fears about stubborn inflation.The New York Times - 4d -
Surprising December jobs growth is denting chances of a first-half Fed rate cut
Friday’s unexpectedly big increase in December nonfarm payrolls led to a diminished market-based likelihood for any rate cut by the Federal Reserve until September, based on one method of ...MarketWatch - 4d -
U.S. payrolls grew by 256,000 in December, much more than expected; unemployment rate falls to 4.1%
Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase by 155,000 in December, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast.CNBC - 4d -
Strong December job growth could augur fewer Fed interest-rate cuts
Employers across the U.S. added a robust 256,000 jobs in December, a sign the labor market remains in good shape.CBS News - 4d -
The Fed Is in No Rush to Cut Rates
Fed officials have signaled that it will take more than one weak report to convince them that the labor market is deteriorating.The New York Times - 4d -
Fed Governor Bowman says December interest rate cut should be the last
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Thursday she supported the recent interest rate cuts but doesn’t see the need to go any further.NBC News - 5d -
Fed Governor Bowman says December interest rate cut should be the last
Bowman said Thursday she supported the recent interest rate cuts but doesn't see the need to go any further.CNBC - 5d -
Why two Fed officials doubt the need for many more rate cuts
One official warned that “progress on inflation could continue to stall.”MarketWatch - 5d -
Venezuela's Maduro could be the next dictator to fall
Assad’s defeat points to Maduro’s growing weakness and isolation.The Hill - 5d -
Fed officials saw need for ‘careful approach’ to future rate cuts
Minutes from December meeting show policymakers are concerned about US inflation risksFinancial Times - 6d -
Rate-Cut Decision Was Narrow, Fed Minutes Show
Stubborn inflation, and potential tariffs, make future rate cuts uncertain.The New York Times - 6d -
Most Fed officials were worried about higher inflation, but not enough to put rate hikes on the table, minutes of December meeting show
“Almost all” Fed officials judged that the upside risks to inflation had increased, according to minutes of the Fed’s December meeting released Wednesday.MarketWatch - 6d -
Helsinki to host summit of Baltic Sea NATO member countries next week
Yahoo News - 6d -
Fed Minutes May Show Why More Rate Cuts Will Face Hurdles
After a quarter-point cut in December, Chairman Jerome Powell said policymakers may be more cautious, since the incoming administration will create more uncertainty.Inc. - 6d -
Fed’s Waller backs more rate cuts, says he doesn’t think proposed Trump tariffs will spark inflation
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Wednesday that he doesn’t think that proposed import tariffs from the incoming Trump administration will lead to upward pressure on inflation.MarketWatch - 6d -
Senate approves committee assignments, tees up confirmation hearings next week
The Senate on Tuesday approved its organizing resolution for the 119th Congress, officially setting the composition of committees and greenlighting nomination hearings to take place in the coming ...The Hill - Jan. 7 -
A Gaza ceasefire agreement in next 2 weeks? The US is hopeful
Welcome to The Hill's Defense & NatSec newsletter {beacon} Defense &National Security Defense &National Security The Big Story A Gaza ceasefire agreement in next 2 weeks? The US is hopeful The ...The Hill - Jan. 7 -
New York Crime Rate Falls, but Number of Felony Assaults Rises Again
Killings and shootings have dropped, but headlines have been dominated by terrifying crimes, like the killing of a woman who was burned to death on the F train.The New York Times - Jan. 6 -
Bondi, Rollins, Zeldin set for confirmation hearings next week
Politico - Jan. 6 -
US hoping for Gaza ceasefire agreement in next 2 weeks: Blinken
The Biden administration says it is still hoping to secure a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hamas in its final two weeks in the White House, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Monday. ...The Hill - Jan. 6 -
Fed has hit the pause button for rates, and may only cut once this year, experts say
The Federal Reserve is going to sit on the sidelines and may only cut rates once this year, according to prominent economists attending the American Economic Association meeting in San Francisco ...MarketWatch - Jan. 6 -
ECB has been too slow to cut rates, Eurozone economists warn
Almost half of analysts polled by the FT accuse rate-setters of being ‘behind the curve’Financial Times - Jan. 5 -
Cowboys to meet with Mike McCarthy next week about coaching job; Jerry Jones says Week 18 game no factor
Dallas reportedly has until Jan. 14 to make a decision on McCarthyCBS Sports - Jan. 3 -
Chinese stock market slump deepens with bond yields hitting record lows as PBOC reportedly signals rate cuts
Economic data on tap appeared thin on Friday, while investors in Asia continue to assess China's monetary easing policy, political chaos in South Korea.CNBC - Jan. 3 -
Why the U.S. economy is still strong despite the Fed’s 2022-’23 rate hikes
Something surprising happened on the way toward the highest U.S. interest rates in more than a dozen years: Neither consumers nor businesses buckled under the weight of higher borrowing costs from ...MarketWatch - Jan. 3 -
Mikaela Shiffrin aiming to be back 'in the next week or so' following November crash
Mikaela Shiffrin is back in the gym and says she's aiming to be on snow “in the next week or so.”ABC News - Jan. 2