Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - 1 hour ago

Take political betting markets literally, not seriously

Or is it the other way around?

World - Financial Times - October 21

Where Speaker Johnson sees the GOP's path to victory: From the Politics Desk

House Speaker Mike Johnson sees traditionally Democratic constituencies as key to Republicans' path to power in Washington this election.

Trump Claims Victory: What It Means for Global Markets

Investors poured into stocks, crypto, and meme tokens overnight to position for a second Trump White House.

Business - Inc. - 6 hours ago

Trump, Senate GOP victories send markets soaring

Stocks roared out of the gate Wednesday morning following news that former President Trump has secured a second term in the White House and Republicans won a majority in the Senate. The Dow Jones ...

Politics - The Hill - 4 hours ago

Dollar weakens as investors rein in bets on Trump victory

Markets move after poll shows unexpected groundswell of support for Kamala Harris ahead of Tuesday’s election

Business - Financial Times - Yesterday

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 25

A Trump victory would end ‘normal’ politics between UK and US

Keir Starmer defends Labour activists helping Kamala Harris but if former US president wins, such activity could become diplomatic liability

Business - Financial Times - October 23

Donald Trump: America has given us a powerful mandate

Trump addresses jubilant supporters as he claims victory in the presidential election.

Reeves hints UK will urge Trump not to raise tariffs as economists fear his policies will cut growth – UK politics live

Chancellor says UK’s trading relationship with US is ‘absolutely crucial’ and promises not to be a ‘passive actor’. Another Labour politician who has criticised Donald Trump strongly in the past ...

World - The Guardian - 2 hours ago

Harris, Trump both see paths to victory as election nears

The presidential race is tight, and neither candidate has a clear lead. But in the final weekend before Election Day, both Vice President Harris and former President Trump are ready to declare ...

Politics - The Hill - 2 days ago

Billionaire investor says market is 'very convinced' of Trump victory

Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said Wednesday that the market is “very convinced” of an election victory for former President Trump. “I must say, in the last 12 days, the market and the ...

Politics - The Hill - October 17

Here's what a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win would mean for the stock market

The stock market has soared during the presidential campaign. Will it continue?

Stock market opens with record highs after Trump’s 2024 victory

The Dow Jones opened with record highs Wednesday after Donald Trump won back the White House. NBC’s Christine Romans joins TODAY to discuss how Trump’s stance on the economy and support from Tesla ...

Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites

Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter {beacon} Campaign Report Campaign Report The Big Story Trump, Harris race draws millions of dollars to politics betting sites Voters aren’t just casting ...

Politics - The Hill - October 22

Trump victory bets and strong US economy power dollar gains

Greenback enjoys strongest month in two years ahead of presidential election

Business - Financial Times - 4 days ago

How Trump’s Victory Grants Election Betting Platforms a Promising Future

Long prohibited by regulators, U.S. forecasting sites recently won the right to offer bets on national elections—a liberty Trump is unlikely to roll back after they bettors backed him to win.

Business - Inc. - 3 hours ago

Whether you vote for Harris or Trump, it’s a sure bet the stock market will thrive

Inflation could be a problem, but real growth and profits should be robust.

Business - MarketWatch - October 19

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds

Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app. US election 2024 live: latest polls, results and updates Betting markets have narrowed ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Wall Street and bitcoin soar to record highs as Trump wins US election

Dollar up and renewable energy stocks down, while shares in president-elect’s media business rise by more than a third. Analysis: Trump policies mean higher prices Business live – latest ...

World - The Guardian - 47 minutes ago

Election-betting odds are swaying some stock-market investors as Trump’s chances improve

Stock-market investors appear to be taking cues from shifts in betting markets that show a rising probability not only of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Nov. 5, but of Republicans also ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 24

Dems say they will certify a Trump victory — even the ones who think the 14th Amendment disqualifies him

If Trump wins at the polls, Democratic leaders are hoping to prevent Jan. 6 drama, despite past claims that he is constitutionally barred from office.

Politics - Politico - 5 days ago

Why software stocks could see fresh shine after Trump’s presidential victory

Analysts see the potential for a friendlier merger climate and growth in IT budgets.

Business - MarketWatch - 3 hours ago

The market could get hit hard on a Harris win — but also drop on a Trump victory, says Morgan Stanley

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. stock market, explains why markets prefer a Trump victory, and the risks from either result in the 2024 election.

Business - MarketWatch - October 21

Elon Musk hopes Trump victory will help his $44bn Twitter bet pay off

The platform’s billionaire owner has seen its value plunge as advertisers run shy, revenues drop and user numbers fall. Two years ago, there was some trepidation among advertisers, anti-hate-speech ...

World - The Guardian - October 27

Betting markets put chance of Trump win at 3-month high, but analysts express some skepticism

Donald Trump’s chance of winning the White House race has climbed to levels last seen in late July, but some analysts are questioning the latest action in the betting markets.

Business - MarketWatch - October 16

Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has him 100% convinced.

Business - CNBC - 6 days ago

Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets

Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference.

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

Trump election odds tumble on betting markets after Iowa poll shows Harris lead

Harris is now the favorite on betting site Predictit.

Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago

Six cities, one question: is China’s property market turning a corner?

From Shanghai to Guangzhou and Beijing to Foshan, buyers and agents voice concerns ahead of next phase of stimulus

World - Financial Times - Yesterday

Indonesia steps up trade protectionism with Apple and Google phone bans

South-east Asia’s largest economy pushes foreign tech groups to invest locally or lose market access

World - Financial Times - Yesterday

Harris and Trump's paths to victory

Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter {beacon} Campaign Report Campaign Report The Big Story Here are Harris and Trump’s clearest paths to victory The Electoral College system requires that ...

Politics - The Hill - October 17

5 key factors that could send Donald Trump back to the White House

From the ground game to Nikki Haley voters, there are several variables that could pave former President Donald Trump's return to the White House next week.

Trump coasts to victory in Florida

Former President Trump will win his home state of Florida, adding 30 electoral votes to his total, Decision Desk HQ projects. The Sunshine State is one that Democrats had eyed as polls showed a ...

Politics - The Hill - 18 hours ago

Trump declares victory at election watch party

Former President Donald Trump took the stage at West Palm Beach County Convention Center to speak to supporters and declare victory.

Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

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