MacKinnon or Draisaitl? Predicting Who Prevails in Tight Art Ross Trophy Race
The NHL Awards have for the most part been handed out for sometime with odds heavily favouring someone for several months now. For example, there's not much debate around the Vezina trophy as Winnipeg's Connor Hellebuyck has been leaps and bounds above anyone else or around the Jack Adams award with Spencer Carbery leading the Capitals to one of their best season's in franchise history.
The tightest race left that has some remaining value in it is not surprisingly the Art Ross trophy for the league's top point producer. A trio of candidates has emerged with Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon, Edmonton's Leon Draisaitl and Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov.
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The three are all averaging just over a point and a half per game on average with MacKinnon leading the pack with 102 points after playing one more game than Draisaitl with 67 on the season.
Kucherov has played six less games than MacKinnon and has resulted in him being ten points back in the race but a lot can change with 15 games left in the season knowing Kucherov's history of explosive hot streaks.
It's hard to say who will prevail as MacKinnon and Draisaitl have the same 1.52 point per game average. MacKinnon is listed at -145 as the current leader with Draisaitl close behind at +120 odds.
Both players will play hungry bubble teams contending for a playoff spot like the Blues and Utah Hockey Club but they will get their fair share of softball matchups against bottom ten defences like the Sharks, Blackhawks, Habs, Red Wings and Blue Jackets. Each team is also heading into a lengthy homestand before ending off the season with a series of road games.
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Futures
The Oilers could be looked at as having the edge as they'll play the Jets twice, who Draisaitl has dominated in the past with 43 points in 34 matchups, as well as the Golden Knights once, who he has also taken advantage of for 30 points in 25 matchups.
Draisaitl will also get three games to put up as many points as he can against the league's worst defence in the Sharks plus two games against the Seattle Kraken, who are tied with the Sabres for the second-worst goals against average in the NHL over their last nine games.
The German winger looks like a great value as he's been gaining ground since the start of the new year with 43 points since January 4th compared to MacKinnon's 38 through 28 games each. We can look to capitalize before it's too late and get the value before Draisaitl has big night and takes the lead.
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