Big Ten Tournament - Purdue vs Michigan Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends and Stats
Purdue (22-10, 14-7) and Michigan (22-9, 14-6) close out the day's play in the Big Ten Tournament in Indianapolis tonight.
Both of these schools struggled down the stretch. Including yesterday's win over USC, Purdue has won just three times in their past eight games. Michigan has lost their last three games.
These teams met on February 11 and Purdue escaped Ann Arbor with a 75-73 win.
Lets dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the opening tip, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Game details & how to watch Purdue vs. Michigan
- Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM EST
- Site: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- City: Indianapolis, IN
- Network/Streaming: BTN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest scores and player news. Check out our day-by-dayNCAA Basketball Schedule Page that includes live game updates.
Game odds for Purdue vs. Michigan
The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of BetMGM:
- Odds: Purdue Boilermakers (-140), Michigan Wolverines (+115)
- Spread: Boilermakers -2.5
- Total: 147.5 points
Expert picks & predictions for Purdue vs. Michigan
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the defenses to shine in this one: Under 147.5 (-110)
"Michigan is on a three-game losing streak and scored 73, 65, and 62 points in that stretch. The Wolverines scored 64 and 75 points in the two meetings with the Boilermakers this season and with both squads playing inside then out, I think we see a slow tempo and the forwards/centers battle for the majority of this contest. I like the Under 147.5 down to 145.5. The totals were 151 and 152 in the regular season, so I think it's telling the total has dropped two-to-three possessions for this meeting."
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, injuries, and the schedule.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Boilermakers & Wolverines game:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Michigan at +2.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 147.5.
Purdue vs. Michigan: Top betting trends and recent stats
- Michigan is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games against Purdue
- Michigan has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 15 games (13-18 for the season)
- Purdue is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games (17-14 for the season)
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out ourNCAA Basketball Top Trends Toolon NBCSports.com!
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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