Harris up by 5 points in key Maine district: Survey
Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 5 points in a Maine congressional district that could provide a critical electoral vote in November, according to a new poll that cuts against most predictions for the district.
The survey from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center released Wednesday showed Harris leading Trump in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District by 5 points, 49 percent to 44 percent. The lead is smaller than her lead in the entire state but is notable because of how Maine distributes its electoral votes.
Maine is one of two states, along with Nebraska, that distributes its electoral votes by the winner of each of its congressional districts. The state has a total of four votes and awards two to the winner of the state as a whole and one to the winner of each of the two districts.
The state overall and the 1st Congressional District lean more comfortably Democratic, but the 2nd District is up for grabs and voted for Trump in both 2016 and 2020 after having voted for former President Obama in 2008 and 2012.
The district only provides one vote but could be key in what is expected to be a razor-thin margin determining the winner.
The result from the poll is an improvement for Harris compared to the center’s poll last month that had Trump leading by 4 points.
But Harris is still not the favorite to take the district’s vote. Most analyses of the district have considered it to be likely voting for Trump, and Decision Desk HQ rated the district as “Likely Republican” before its election model froze following President Biden’s departure from the race.
Trump won the district by about 7 points in 2020 and 10 points in 2016.
The poll also found Harris expanding her lead in the state overall to a much more comfortable margin than some polls suggested Biden had. She leads Trump by 17 points, 55 percent to 38 percent.
Maine has mostly been a comfortably blue state at the presidential level, but Republicans began to talk about it being in play as Biden started to struggle in the polls. The center’s poll from last month after Harris joined the race had her up 8 points.
The University of New Hampshire poll was conducted among 951 likely general election voters Aug. 15-19. The margin of error for the entire sample was 3.2 points, and 4.6 points for the 2nd District.
Date: |
Topics
-
MarketWatch - Business
Will your ZIP code affect your retirement plans? Can you expect Social Security? These are key questions retirees must ask.
“It is complicated to age well in America,” says Debra Whitman, executive vice president and chief public policy officer at AARP.48 minutes ago -
The Wall Street Journal - World
Nasdaq Inches Up in Midday Trading
U.S. stocks were little changed, with the Nasdaq Composite creeping higher.1 hour ago -
CBS Sports - Sports
Hall of Fame voter reveals main reason why Patriots owner Robert Kraft has yet to be inducted
One thing is keeping Kraft from his rightful place in Canton1 hour ago -
The New York Times - Top stories
If Harris Wins North Carolina, This County Will Be the Tipping Point
For 16 years, the state has been a heartbreaker for Democrats, and so has Mecklenburg County — a reliably blue area that just hasn’t been blue enough.1 hour ago -
Wired - Tech
How to Set Up Your New TV
You got a new TV! Here's how to make it sing.1 hour ago -
The New York Times - World
Russian Forces Are Stepping Up Attacks on Pokrovsk, Ukraine Says
Bombardments are increasing in and around Pokrovsk, Ukrainian officials said, with water supplies now cut and a road overpass destroyed.2 hours ago - Ukraine -
The Wall Street Journal - World
Swinging Seniors: Older Voters Are Still Up for Grabs in 2024
Americans aged 65 and over are evenly divided between Trump and Harris and may decide who wins the White House.2 hours ago -
Wired - Tech
Amazon’s Shipping and Delivery Emissions Just Keep Going Up
A new report attempts to calculate how much damage shipping our Amazon orders is doing to the planet and how badly the company is missing its own targets.2 hours ago -
CNBC - Business
These 5 portfolio stocks crushed the volatile market since our August Monthly Meeting
Investor concerns around the AI boom, coupled with the market's sensitivity to the Fed's next policy move, have caused Wall Street to seesaw in recent weeks.2 hours ago -
VentureBeat - Tech
Voldex teams up with NFL for NFL Universe Football on Roblox
The National Football League and Voldex, a maker of Roblox games, are making NFL Universe Football on the Roblox platform.3 hours ago - NFL
More from The Hill
-
The Hill - Politics
Dangerous disinformation: Pregnancy should never be political
It is time that put politics aside and prioritize women and their well-being.25 minutes ago -
The Hill - Politics
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul reveals skin cancer diagnosis
The governor of New York has basal cell carcinoma, a common type of skin cancer. Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) announced her diagnosis to reporters Thursday following a public safety press conference in ...27 minutes ago - New York -
The Hill - Politics
Ben & Jerry's co-founders unveil Kamala Harris ice cream flavor
Ben & Jerry’s co-founders, Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield, are unveiling a new ice cream flavor, "Kamala’s Coconut Jubilee,” as part of a get-out-the-vote initiative to elect Vice President Harris ...41 minutes ago - Kamala Harris -
The Hill - Politics
Linda Ronstadt slams Trump for 'hate show' campaign rally at venue bearing her name
Linda Ronstadt is slamming former President Trump for bringing "his hate show" to an Arizona venue bearing her name. "Donald Trump is holding a rally on Thursday in a rented hall in my hometown, ...45 minutes ago - Donald Trump -
The Hill - Politics
Embattled NYPD commissioner resigns
New York Police Commissioner Edward Caban has resigned, Mayor Eric Adams (D) said Thursday at a press conference, nearly a week after the FBI seized Caban's devices in a federal investigation. ...45 minutes ago