Cruz tops Allred by 2 points in Texas Senate race polling

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is leading Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) in the Texas Senate race by 2 points in a new survey as Election Day looms.

The poll, released Tuesday by The University of Texas at Tyler, found Cruz garnering 47 percent support from likely voters compared to Allred's 45 percent. Another 3 percent supported a Libertarian candidate, while 6 percent said they were unsure or refused to answer.

The race in the Lone Star State is one of the most watched contests in 2024 because it could help determine which party controls the upper chamber next term.

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ's (DDHQ) polling aggregate, shows the race is still close, but Cruz has a 48.8 percent to 46.1 percent advantage with six days left until the election.

About 62 percent of likely voters in the state said they think the Senate race will be won through a "close election." Another 24 percent said the opposite, according to the UT Tyler survey.

Other recent polling shows Allred narrowing the gap with the incumbent as Democrats hope to keep the Senate majority.

The same poll shows former President Trump ahead of Vice President Harris in the White House race by 5 points in the state. Both presidential nominees campaigned in the state, which The Hill/DDHQ lists as "likely GOP," earlier this month.

The UT Tyler poll was conducted Oct. 14-21 among 1,129 registered voters — including 956 likely voters. The margin of error for the full sample is 3 percentage points.