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June Fed rate-hike risk looms as U.S. labor market stays strong
The once-unthinkable scenario of no interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024 is now giving way to another possibility: a slight chance of a quarter-point rate hike by June.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Gold may benefit from ‘powerful tailwind’ when Fed pivots to rate cuts, says Wells Fargo
Gold has room to rise after reaching record highs this year, as a “shifting interest-rate landscape could be a particularly powerful tailwind,” according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
This is why investors shrugged off Powell’s ‘reset’ of Fed rate-cut expectations
Investors largely took Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the outlook for interest rates in stride on Tuesday — a development that might have come as a surprise to some market watchers.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Fed shouldn’t cut interest rates to boost U.S. financial stability, IMF says
The Federal Reserve should not cut interest rates with an eye on financial stability concerns, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday, in its latest update on financial market risks.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Fed Vice Chair Jefferson says interest rates could stay higher for longer if inflation persists
Federal Reserve efforts to reduce inflation hit snagMarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Consumers’ bad feelings about a good economy shouldn’t be ignored, Boston Fed president says
In a conversation with MarketWatch, Susan Collins said she is wary of a negative self-fulfilling prophecy among pessimistic Americans.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Fresh uncertainty around Fed rate cuts exposes the stock market’s winners and losers
Higher U.S. inflation is dashing investors’ hopes for multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while opening the door to 5% Treasury yields across the board and cleaving the stock market into distinct categories of winners and losers.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Small-cap stocks ‘challenged’ as inflation pushes out Fed rate-cut expectations, warns BofA
U.S. small-cap stocks are “challenged” as Wall Street pushes out expectations for when the Federal Reserve may begin lowering interest rates due to concerns over persistent inflation, according to BofA Global Research.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
ECB signals it’s ready to cut rates before the Fed if inflation data cooperates
The European Central Bank is seen ready to cut rates as early as June if inflation data continues to cooperate.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Fed officials back cautious approach to further shrinking of its balance sheet, minutes show
According to minutes from the March 19-20 meeting, Fed officials said they did not want to repeat the 2017-2019 balance-sheet runoff, which ended after turmoil in money markets.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Economist who predicted no 2024 interest-rate cuts blames Fed for inflation resurgence
Inflation is remaining hotter than expected for longer than the Federal Reserve would like — and policy makers may have no one to blame but themselves, according to one economist.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
This JPMorgan pro says the Fed has it backward — rates need to be cut to lower inflation
The Fed and investors won’t see inflation easing until the central bank starts cutting rate says this JPMorgan strategist.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Treasury yields aren’t acting like the Fed is done hiking interest rates
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is doing something it hasn’t normally done in the past, by continuing to climb long after the Federal Reserve was presumably done with lifting U.S. interest rates.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Fed-funds futures point to doubts over June rate cut as inflation data looms
Traders in the federal-funds-futures market are showing signs of doubt that the Federal Reserve may begin lowering interest rates in June, wavering ahead of an upcoming inflation report.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Suddenly, expectations for Fed rate cuts are all over the place
The Fed has penciled in three cuts this year. The market had been pretty certain that cuts would start in June, but doubts are creeping in.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Some good news on inflation? Fed might get it with the CPI this week.
A roaring labor market and high inflation readings early this year have cast doubt on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates soon. But the March report on consumer prices might offer a ray of hope.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Bowman says inflation still too high to justify Fed rate cuts
Federal Reserve Gov. Michelle Bowman said “we are still not yet at the point” at which the central bank would be justified in cutting U.S. interest rates because of persistent inflation.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Treasurys rally as geopolitical tensions flare, Fed officials raise specter of higher-for-longer interest rates
Yields on U.S. government debt finished lower on Thursday as Israel-Iran tensions flared and a lineup of Federal Reserve policy makers pointed to the possibility of higher-for-longer interest rates to curb inflation.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Powell misreads what’s powering U.S. economy, former Fed official says
Financial conditions have eased since October and Powell is overlooking how this easing is fueling growth.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Options traders see rising risk of Fed rate hike following oil rally, solid U.S. data
A combination of healthy economic data and a rally in oil is renewing the risk of what one major Wall Street bank calls a “hawkish negative surprise” by the Federal Reserve and other central banks.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Tax Day could put a strain on money markets. Here’s what Fed will be watching.
Tax day later this month could put a strain on money markets. The Fed will be watching, a Wall Street analyst says.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Daly says there’s ‘no urgency’ for the Fed to cut U.S. interest rates
Daly stills sees ‘path’ to reduce borrowing costs in 2024MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
What will happen to bitcoin prices if the Fed cuts interest rates?
Bitcoin’s price fell Monday as Treasury yields rose and investors pondered how the Fed’s interest-rate policy path could affect the crypto market.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Three Fed interest-rate cuts this year? Yes, top banking economists say.
Top economists at big U.S. banks predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times this year — with the first reduction in June — even though inflation is unlikely to slow much further in 2024.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve -
Why a Fed rate cut in June is not yet a done deal
An interest-rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s June meeting, though now widely expected, should not be viewed as decision that has already been made, Fed watchers say.MarketWatch - Business - Federal Reserve