Latest in Economists Forecast Slowing
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France’s jobs market faces ‘tipping point’ as growth falters
Recent gains could unravel as households’ fear of unemployment soars and economists press for more reformsFinancial Times - 3d -
Trump’s tariff volatility complicates Fed’s rate messaging
US central bank risks relying too much on backward-looking data, economists warnFinancial Times - 2d -
Are we heading into a recession? Here's what the data shows
With stocks sliding into correction territory in the last week, a question emerges: Is a recession next? Here's what the data and expert economists say.NBC News - 1d -
Industrial output jumps 0.7% in February, fueled by rebound in vehicle production
Industrial production rose 0.7% in February, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday, above economists’ expectations.MarketWatch - 19h -
FirstFT: Israel launches strikes on Gaza as ceasefire breaks down
Also in today’s newsletter, traders make $16bn shorting Tesla and economists warn of US economic slowdownFinancial Times - 21h -
How close are we to a recession, and how will we know when we get there?
Here's how economists identify a recession, and where the U.S. economy currently stands amid market turmoil caused by tariff threats.CBS News - 11h -
Hollywood's DEI commitments were slipping even before Trump. Now they're vanishing fast
There's been a slow retreat for years from diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives at studios and entertainment companies, experts say.Los Angeles Times - Mar. 7 -
Donald Trump bets propel Michael Platt’s BlueCrest to 15% gain
Hedge fund turned family office eclipses rivals with currency and bond wagers on a slowing US economyFinancial Times - Mar. 10 -
Draper solves Brooksby puzzle to reach Indian Wells fourth round
Jack Draper overcomes a slow start to beat Jenson Brooksby and reach the Indian Wells fourth round.BBC News - Mar. 10 -
Japan revises fourth-quarter GDP lower, complicating BOJ's interest rate outlook
Japan's economic growth slowed to 2.2% on an annualized basis in the fourth quarter as the country grapples with tepid domestic demand.CNBC - Mar. 11 -
Stock losses gain momentum as 2025 sell-off rolls on
Markets plunged deeper into the red Tuesday as a major sell-off prompted by fears of a slowing economy rolled on.NBC News - Mar. 11 -
India's inflation rate dips to cooler-than-expected 3.61% in February, below central bank's target
The lower inflation reading could give the Reserve Bank of India room to cut rates and support its slowing economy.CNBC - 6d -
Investors buoyed by signs of cooling U.S. inflation
Wall Street breathes a sigh of relief after a new report showed inflation slowed last month by more than expected.CBS News - 6d -
Aging Women’s Brain Mysteries Are Tested in Trio of Studies
Researchers identified a gene that seems to help slow brain aging in women, and studied links between hormone therapy, menopause and Alzheimer’s.The New York Times - 6d -
US inflation fell more than expected to 2.8% in February
Figure bolsters case for cental bank to cut interest rates amid signs of slowing economic growthFinancial Times - 6d -
Chris Mason: Starmer echoes Liz Truss on reform of government
Sir Keir's argument overlaps with the former PM's - that the proliferation of arm's length bodies slow down change.BBC News - 5d -
Rochester marathoner ate 'whatever he wants' and broke a Guinness world record
Slow and steady was the mantra of this Rochester athlete who held the record for most marathons finished for four years.Yahoo Sports - 5d -
NFL free agency: Realistic Browns targets still left on the open market
The Browns have had a slow start to NFL free agency, but here are some remaining targets that could get the job doneYahoo Sports - 4d -
Wholesale price of eggs drops for 3rd week in a row
The combination of prices scaring off customers, slowed outbreaks and a later Easter this year is resulting in less demand.ABC News - 4d -
End of ‘blank cheque’ era for outside consultants in Saudi Arabia
Western firms profited as kingdom launched ‘giga-projects’ but market is slowing as Riyadh reins in spendingFinancial Times - 4d -
49ers inactive free agency puts heavy pressure on 5 2nd-year players
The 2025 NFL draft will matter a ton to the 49ers, but the 2024 draft will matter too after a slow free agency period.Yahoo Sports - 2d -
Indonesian stocks tumble 4% on concerns over economy
Jakarta index among world’s worst performers as slowing consumption and government spending rattle investorsFinancial Times - 23h -
Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could bring stagflation — and deflate his support
Trump campaigned on bringing prices down. If tariffs spike inflation and slow U.S. growth, his popularity could suffer.MarketWatch - 9h -
U.S. payroll growth totals 151,000 in February, less than expected
Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase 170,000 in February, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast.CNBC - Mar. 7 -
UK hotter than Costa del Sol on warmest weekend of the year
Temperatures topped 19.7C this weekend in Crosby near Liverpool but cold weather is back in the forecast.BBC News - Mar. 9 -
Trump’s Policies Have Shaken a Once-Solid Economic Outlook
Economic forecasts have deteriorated in recent weeks, reflecting the upheaval from federal layoffs, tariff moves and immigration roundups.The New York Times - Mar. 10 -
Delta Air Lines slashes earnings outlook on weaker U.S. demand, sending shares lower
Delta Air Lines cut its first-quarter revenue and profit forecasts, citing weaker consumer and corporate travel demand.CNBC - Mar. 10 -
Delta Says Economic Worries Are Hurting Travel Demand
The airline lowered its financial forecast for the first quarter as economic anxiety hurts demand for tickets.The New York Times - Mar. 10 -
Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Tuesday
Delta and American both cut their earnings forecasts. Oracle showed the data-center buildout is continuing.CNBC - Mar. 11 -
A big inflation report is on the way Wednesday. Here's what to expect
The consumer price index for February is forecast to show an increase of 0.3% for goods and services across the largest economy in the world.CNBC - Mar. 11 -
Bond market strains intensify for Reeves as investors await OBR’s verdict
Fiscal watchdog’s preliminary forecasts based on UK borrowing costs exclude recent rise in gilt yieldsFinancial Times - 6d -
Wholesale price measure was flat in February, compared with expected increase
The producer price index was expected to rise 0.3% in February, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast.CNBC - 5d -
Global economy takes centre stage
OECD updates growth forecasts, a clutch of central banks set interest rates and the IOC picks a new Olympics presidentFinancial Times - 2d -
Trump’s trade war will damage global growth, OECD warns
Forecasts downgraded for a dozen G20 economies and alarm sounded on ‘ratcheting up’ of trade barriersFinancial Times - 1d -
Price growth cooled more than expected in February, before Trump ramped up tariffs
The president took office promising to immediately lower inflation, but economists say his expanding trade war threatens progress on price hikes.NBC News - Mar. 12 -
Here’s the inflation breakdown for February 2025 — in one chart
The consumer price index rose 2.8% in February from 12 months earlier. Inflation decelerated but economists fear tariffs will stall progress.CNBC - 6d -
Trump's tariff theater could actually help fight inflation
The effect of President Trump's frenetic style of governance — at least when it comes to trade — represents a peculiar twist that few economists would have predicted.The Hill - 17h -
Egg Prices Have Dropped, Though You May Not Have Noticed
Wholesale egg prices are about half what they were last month. Fewer bird flu outbreaks and weakened consumer demand are contributing to the decline, economists say.The New York Times - 15h -
Egg Prices Have Dropped, Though You May Not Have Noticed
Wholesale egg prices are about half what they were last month. Fewer bird flu outbreaks and weakened consumer demand are contributing to the decline, economists say.The New York Times - 13h -
Positive Job Numbers in February Don’t Erase Worries About the Economy
Official data showed businesses added 151,000 new jobs last month, outpacing January but unlikely to allay rising fears of slowing growth.Inc. - Mar. 7