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Latest in Treasury volatility gauge plunges as bond traders navigate election, the Fed

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  • Treasury volatility gauge plunges as bond traders navigate election, the Fed

    Yields on U.S. government debt finished mixed on Friday amid lower volatility as traders absorbed the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president and the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point ...
    Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago

  • 10-year Treasury yield ends at new 3-month high as volatility gauge hits 2024 peak

    U.S. government debt sold off for a third straight session Wednesday, pushing long-dated Treasury yields further into three-month highs, as investors remained wary that the approaching Nov. 5 ...
    Business - MarketWatch - October 23

  • Traders braced for volatility and volume as US election night nears

    Banks plan staggered shifts and downtown hotel rooms for suburb dwellers to staff floors around tight race outcome
    World - Financial Times - November 4

  • The bond market is rarely this volatile outside of a crisis. Blame the U.S. election.

    Options that expire soon after the Nov. 5 point to election jitters roiling bonds
    Business - MarketWatch - October 29

  • Bond traders shake off weak jobs report, send 10-year Treasury yield to 4-month high

    Long-dated Treasury yields ended at their highest levels since early July on Friday as traders looked past October’s nonfarm-payrolls report, which came in well below expectations.
    Business - MarketWatch - November 1

  • 10-year Treasury yield ends lower after strong auction as investors await election results

    Long-dated Treasury yields erased their rise to end lower Tuesday following an auction of 10-year notes that met solid demand as investors awaited the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.
    Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

  • Bond-market ‘vigilantes’ appear to be in ‘driver’s seat’ before election, Fed meeting

    Ahead of U.S. Election Day and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, “bond vigilantes” appeared to be in “the driver’s seat” for the market, according to Yardeni Research.
    Business - MarketWatch - November 5

  • Philadelphia Fed’s factory gauge jumps in October

    Index rises to 10.3, second straight monthly gain
    Business - MarketWatch - October 17
  • Inflation Cooled Further in September, PCE Index Shows

    Inflation Cooled Further in September, PCE Index Shows

    Overall inflation slowed in September from a year earlier, though some signs of stubbornness lingered under the surface.
    Business - The New York Times - October 31

  • 10-year Treasury yield posts huge leap to 4.43% on Trump win, possible GOP Congress sweep

    The pop for bond yields comes as the Trump win carries expectations that more tax cuts and steep tariffs could widen the fiscal deficit and reignite inflation.
    Business - CNBC - 5 days ago

  • Echoes of U.K.’s 2022 bond crisis weigh on Treasury market ahead of U.S. election

    A selloff in the U.K. bond market on Thursday, triggered by concerns about planned government borrowing, sent the country’s yields higher in a manner slightly reminiscent of the 2022 gilt crisis ...
    Business - MarketWatch - October 31
  • Inflation falls to lowest level since 2021 in Fed’s preferred gauge

    Inflation falls to lowest level since 2021 in Fed’s preferred gauge

    Price increases have fallen to their lowest level in more than three years in the latest reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, strengthening the outlook for more interest rate ...
    Politics - The Hill - October 31

  • What's behind all the volatility in the bond market, plus Amazon lifts stocks

    Every weekday, the Investing Club releases the Homestretch; an actionable afternoon update just in time for the last hour of trading.
    Business - CNBC - November 1

  • Fate of postelection stock-market rally may be in the hands of bond traders

    Stock investors absorbed a sharp midweek, postelection spike in Treasury yields and sent equities to record highs on Friday. Now the question is whether they can endure a further climb in ...
    Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

  • A bond bear thinks battered Treasurys could see a year-end bounce

    Investors could see a “right-now” trading opportunity take shape in long-term Treasury bonds.
    Business - MarketWatch - 23 hours ago

  • Bitcoin and Crypto, Promoted by Trump, Brace for Election Volatility

    Many crypto investors hope that a victory for Donald Trump could propel the price of Bitcoin to new heights, though a loss could cause a fall.
    Business - The New York Times - November 5

  • Traders see good chance the Fed cuts again in December then skips in January

    Fed funds futures contracts pointed to a roughly 75% probability that the U.S. central bank would cut rates again in December.
    Business - CNBC - 4 days ago

  • U.K. borrowing costs rise in volatile trade after budget delivered

    U.K. government bond yields were volatile on Wednesday as traders initially welcomed news that the government would prioritize tax rises ahead of increased borrowing as it strives to fill a fiscal ...
    Business - MarketWatch - October 30

  • The bond market may be at risk from inflationary forces beyond the Fed’s control

    Investors remain nervous about upside risks to inflation, such as the outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election, that haven’t been priced into the bond market — and which policymakers may not be ...
    Business - MarketWatch - October 15

  • 10-year Treasury yield ends below 4-month high after Fed cuts rates again

    Yields on long-dated U.S. government debt dropped from their highest levels since early July on Thursday, after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected quarter-point interest-rate cut.
    Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago
  • Trump election win spurs US stocks to strongest week in a year

    Trump election win spurs US stocks to strongest week in a year

    S&P 500 breaks through 6,000 for first time
    Business - Financial Times - 3 days ago

  • U.K. government bond yields hit 2024 highs as traders balk at increased debt sales

    Benchmark U.K. bond yields hit their highs of the year on Thursday as investors balked at the increased borrowing set out in the government’s budget.
    Business - MarketWatch - October 31

  • UBS smashes forecasts with bumper profit, warns of volatility around U.S. elections

    The Swiss bank’s profits were boosted by the ongoing integration of wealth management accounts previously run by its main rival Credit Suisse
    Business - MarketWatch - October 30

  • Investors step up bets that US election will trigger market volatility

    Jitters sweep through bond and currency markets before presidential vote
    World - Financial Times - November 1

  • 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 3-month high as traders digest economic data

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury note hovered near a three-month high as traders combed through a fresh batch of mixed data.
    Business - CNBC - October 30

  • 2-year Treasury yield sees biggest monthly rise since February 2023

    Treasury yields finished little changed on Thursday after a closely followed inflation reading, but booked solid monthly increases.
    Business - MarketWatch - October 31

  • 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.3% as traders ignore noisy jobs report

    The 10-year Treasury yield rose higher Friday. The October jobs report showed muted job growth in a month that included hurricanes and a major strike.
    Business - CNBC - November 1

  • 10-, 30-year U.S. government debt rallies for second day on lower oil and weak manufacturing reading

    Long-term Treasury yields fell for a second day on Tuesday as traders reacted to a weaker-than-expected manufacturing reading from the New York Fed and new developments from the Middle East that ...
    Business - MarketWatch - October 15

  • Treasury Department announces new Series I bond rate of 3.11% for the next six months

    The U.S. Department of the Treasury has announced new Series I bond rates through April 2025.
    Business - CNBC - October 31

  • Three ways to play the bond market as the Fed lowers interest rates, this analyst says

    Falling interest rates will steepen the yield curve and make these credit ETFs attractive
    Business - MarketWatch - October 25

  • After Trump vs. Harris election, these bitcoin traders expect rally to $100,000

    Bitcoin options traders expect limited volatility around the U.S. presidential election on Nov. 5, but anticipate a year-end rally that could carry the crypto as high as $100,000.
    Business - MarketWatch - October 14

  • Trump Media Stock Jumps Again as Traders Bet on Election

    Shares of the Truth Social parent company continue to soar, pushing the market value of the firm above $10 billion.
    Business - The New York Times - October 29

  • Some traders see opportunity in Wall Street’s election-related anxiety

    Wall Street is still on edge ahead of Tuesday’s U.S. election. But some traders appear to be getting a head start on bets that a relief rally will take hold once the vote tallies are known.
    Business - MarketWatch - November 4

  • Oil ends higher for a fifth straight session as traders await U.S. election results

    Oil futures settled Tuesday with a fifth straight session gain as investors awaited the outcome of a contentious and close U.S. presidential election and weighed developments in the Middle East.
    Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago
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