Prediction Markets Could Reshape Elections Forever

Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood give bettors and gamblers a say on who takes the White House.

Business - Inc. - October 29

5 ways Trump could reshape the economy

Businesses are bracing for President-elect Trump and the ways he is aiming to reshape the U.S. economy during his second term. Stocks have rallied since Tuesday as traders expect a Trump ...

Politics - The Hill - November 12

How Stock, Bond and Currency Markets Could Respond to the Election

Investors are considering the candidates’ policies and historical trends to bet on where stocks, bonds and currencies are headed.

Business - The New York Times - November 5

How ‘Trump 2.0’ could push this ‘Roaring 2020s’ stock market into the 2030s

Relaxed regulatory environment and lower corporate and income taxes under “Trump 2.0” should boost stock prices, economist Ed Yardeni says.

Business - MarketWatch - November 9

How RFK Jr. could reshape U.S. health policy

President-elect Donald Trump has offered Robert F. Kennedy Jr. the Health and Human Services secretary role. Kennedy faced several controversies during his White House bid, including a conspiracy ...

A 'tidal wave' of natural gas supply — the biggest yet — will reshape global markets, says RBC Capital

The expansion is likely to lead to a state of oversupply by the end of 2026, analysts such as RBC's Anan Dhanani have projected.

Business - CNBC - October 23

This election result could pour fuel on stock-market rally — but watch out for this wild card

Of the three most likely outcomes of the U.S. presidential election, two of them would likely point to further gains for the stock market, but there’s a major wild card.

Business - MarketWatch - November 5

It’s not just election betting: Why one expert thinks prediction markets will become bigger than stocks

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Business - MarketWatch - November 14

How fierce Trump ally Kash Patel could help reshape the FBI or Justice Department

Trump ally Kash Patel, a former Defense Department official who wants to end the "Deep State," could make big changes if he's given a top spot at the FBI or DOJ.

Officials say veterans issues must retain nonpartisan focus as Washington reshapes after elections

Lawmakers, government officials and advocacy groups said Wednesday that veterans issues must continue down a nonpartisan track in January, when a new Washington emerges following the 2024 elections ...

Politics - The Hill - November 13

Could the Bond Market Stymie Trump’s Economic Plans?

Some fiscal hawks worry that Trump’s policies would increase the deficit and fuel inflation.

Business - The New York Times - November 9

Polymarket Identifies a French Trader Behind Big Trump Bets

Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.

Business - The New York Times - October 24

How will the US election affect markets?

Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week ahead

World - Financial Times - November 3

Stock market surges on Election Day

Major stock indexes and large tech firms showed gains on Tuesday.

Do the markets even care about the US election?

A look at prices and polling

World - Financial Times - November 5

Election Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.

Business - The New York Times - November 6

How the markets are reacting to Trump's 2024 election win

The markets are reacting to former President Donald Trump's presidential election win after his 2024 race against Vice President Kamala Harris. CBS News business analyst Jill Schlesinger has more.

One of the Best Marketers on the Planet Could Be Ryan Reynolds. Or Maybe Red Bull?

And not just because Red Bull spends approximately one-third of its revenue on advertising.

Business - Inc. - October 25

Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly

Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically bullish on Trump. Are gamblers about to lose a bunch of money?

Business - Inc. - October 30

Markets look past Trump tariffs, but they could be ‘life or death’ for some companies

Donald Trump’s most consistent policy commitment is to tariffs, or taxes paid by U.S. importers of foreign goods.

Business - MarketWatch - November 6

What a Republican sweep in Congress could mean for the stock market—in one chart

Stocks have posted a positive annual return in 13 consecutive years when control of Congress has been split between Democrats and Republicans.

Business - CNBC - November 7

India’s game market could grow from $3.8B to $9.2B by 2029 | Lumikai

India's game market could grow from $3.8 billion in 2024 to $9.2 billion by 2029, according to a report by Lumikai.

Tech - VentureBeat - November 11

Here's what the Trump presidency could mean for the housing market, experts say

Donald Trump wants to address the housing shortage in the U.S. But some of his promises might be hurdles in the way.

Business - CNBC - November 11

Markets are priced to perfection on the Trump trade. Here's why that could be a problem

Investors have been busy for the past several weeks bidding up prices in anticipation of what Trump will do when he takes office.

Business - CNBC - November 13

Trump Tariffs Could Hurt Shrinking Global Luxury Goods Market

Despite seeing a post-recession bump, luxury good sales are declining and may be hit hard by Trump tariffs.

Business - Inc. - November 13

The markets could have the final say on Trump’s tax cuts and tariffs

Financial markets could wind up as the final arbiter about whether he has gone too far.

Politics - The Hill - 6 days ago

Why the stock market’s ‘Trump bump’ could become a ‘Trump dump’

Are you sure you know more about the stock market than Warren Buffett?

Business - MarketWatch - 5 days ago

Nvidia’s earnings could determine the stock market’s near-term direction: BofA

The chip maker’s earnings could pose a greater risk to the S&P 500 than the jobs report, CPI or the Fed meeting, BofA anaylsts say.

Business - MarketWatch - 3 days ago

What one stock market gauge is predicting about the presidential race

One market strategist notes a pattern based on whether the S&P 500 rises or falls between the end of July and Halloween.

The 2024 election could hinge on Pennsylvania

538's final deep dive into swing states in the 2024 election focusing on Pennslyvania voters.

White Women Could Decide the Election

Also, Russia is making swift advances in Ukraine. Here’s the latest at the end of Thursday.

Top stories - The New York Times - November 1

How the election could affect Israel

The presidential election will have large implications for foreign policy. Holly Williams examines how the outcome could affect Israel.

FDA investigating 'forever chemicals' in seafood

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will be investigating the presence of "forever chemicals" in seafood, with the goal of understanding how such contamination contributes to dietary exposures ...

Politics - The Hill - Yesterday

OBR expected markets to be ‘surprised by the budget’; markets brace for US election – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news. Associated British Foods, the owner of discount clothing chain Primark, has posted a 43% rise in pre-tax profits for the last year. . ...

World - The Guardian - November 5

‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election

As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.

Business - The New York Times - October 25

Markets set for rally after U.S. elections, Barclays says

Markets will likely experience a ‘mild relief rally’ in the wake of the vote as a smooth transition starts to come into sight

Business - MarketWatch - October 28

Trump Versus Harris: How the U.S. Election Is Fueling Stock Market Returns

The S&P 500 has only seen two negative election years in the last seven decades.

Business - Inc. - October 28

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