Latest in How economists identify recessions and stagflation
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U.S. stocks plunge as Americans worry about a recession | Special Report
Stocks in the U.S. cratered as investors fret about a potential recession and the changing tariffs that have evolved into a trade war with several nations. President Trump declined to refute the ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
Fetterman: Shutdown would ‘plunge the country into chaos, risk a recession’
Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) said he believes a government shutdown would plunge the United States “into chaos” and risk sending the country into a recession. “Shut the government down, plunge the ...The Hill - 5d -
BofA says this tech stock can work even in a recession. We just bought more shares
Salesforce should be able to continue to grow despite the impact of tariffs and a possible recession.CNBC - 6d -
Recession Risks Rise Over Tariff Chaos, Polls Find
U.S. inflation risks have worsened, while recession risks are also mounting for Mexico, Canada and the U.S., the surveys found.Inc. - Mar. 7 -
Tariffs have raised the probability of a U.S. recession to around 35%: Pimco
There is a "maybe 35% probability" that the U.S. will enter a recession this year, says Alec Kersman, managing director and head of Asia-Pacific at Pimco.CNBC - 6d -
US tariffs could extend Germany's recession, says bank
Germany's central bank president says US tariffs and retaliation to them could tip Europe's largest economy into recession again.BBC News - 5d -
U.S. tariffs could thrust Germany into recession, central bank governor says
Ongoing U.S. tariffs could push Europe's largest economy into a recession, German central bank President Joachim Nagel warned.CNBC - 5d -
Trump doesn't rule out recession, rising inflation
In an interview with Fox News, President Trump acknowledged inflation could continue to rise and wouldn't say whether or not he thinks the U.S. economy could fall into a recession. Nikole Killion ...CBS News - Mar. 9 -
Stocks are falling as Trump comments on risks of a recession
Stocks are still tumbling as President Trump leaves the door open for a potential recession in the U.S. economy, and as other nations unleash retaliatory tariffs. This comes as the United Auto ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
Eye Opener: Markets plummet over recession fears
Markets plummet over recession fears amid President Trump's chaotic tariff wars with our biggest trading partners. Also, a judge blocks the Trump administration's deportation of a pro-Palestinian ...CBS News - Mar. 11 -
Tariffs are 'lose-lose' for U.S. jobs and industry, economist says: 'There are no winners here'
Tariffs aim to insulate certain sectors from foreign competition. But evidence shows they often end up losing U.S. jobs.CNBC - Mar. 10 -
This Softbank-Backed Startup Wants to Put a Professional Economist in Your Pocket
Labelbox recruits finance and economics experts to make AI platforms even better at analyzing the economy.Inc. - Mar. 11 -
Trump’s policies set to cool growth and lift inflation, economists say
FT-Booth survey also signals rising concerns over quality of US economic dataFinancial Times - 18h -
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says 'there’s going to be no recession in America'
Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick said that Americans should "absolutely not" brace for a recession as President Donald Trump plans to implement far-reaching tariffs.NBC News - Mar. 9 -
U.S. stocks plunge after Trump's comments on potential recession sparks sell-off
Fears of a recession sparked a major sell-off in stocks, following comments from President Trump. In an interview with Fox News, Mr. Trump would not rule out the possibility of a recession. Kelly ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
Why a ‘good’ CPI report on Wednesday may not be enough to turn stock-market carnage around
Wednesday’s consumer-price index report is now in sharp focus with investors hoping more clarity on stagflation concerns could help stem the stock-market selloff.MarketWatch - 6d -
2-year yield ends at highest in over 2 weeks as traders assess stagflation risk
Yields on U.S. government debt finished mixed on Monday after February retail sales came in below expectations and raised continued questions about the strength of the economy.MarketWatch - 1d -
Texas bill would make identifying as transgender a felony punishable by jail
The bill, while unlikely to pass, highlights the increasing extremism of legislation targeting trans people, especially in Texas, in recent years.NBC News - Mar. 10 -
Report: Liverpool Identify New Right-Back Target Amid Transfer Uncertainty
Liverpool Eye Ola Aina as Potential Successor to Trent Alexander-ArnoldLiverpool’s summer transfer plans may take a dramatic turn as uncertainty looms over the future of Trent Alexander-Arnold. ...Yahoo Sports - 4d -
Second body identified in Canada landfill amid search for serial killer’s victims
Marcedes Myran’s remains found in search mission after Jeremy Skibicki preyed on Indigenous women in 2022. Canadian police have confirmed the identity of a second woman whose body was dumped at a ...The Guardian - 1d -
Dick's Sporting Goods is latest retailer to forecast rocky 2025 as recession fears swirl
Dick's Sporting Goods issued weak guidance for 2025 as consumers contend with tariffs, persistent inflation and fears around a potential recession.CNBC - Mar. 11 -
Slower economic growth is likely ahead with risk of a recession rising, according to the CNBC Fed Survey
The 32 survey respondents, who include fund managers, strategists and analysts, raised the probability of recession to 36% from 23% in January.CNBC - 9h -
Americans should ‘absolutely not’ brace for recession despite bank warnings: Commerce secretary
In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick says Americans should “absolutely not” brace for a recession amid warning signs from major banks like JP Morgan and ...NBC News - Mar. 9 -
Trump doesn't rule out recession as trade war stirs uncertainty
As President Donald Trump doubles down on his escalating trade war against some of the country’s biggest economic partners, he is declining to rule out a recession as economic uncertainty grows. ...NBC News - Mar. 10 -
Markets plummet after Trump doesn't rule out recession
Markets plummeted Monday as investors expressed fear of an economic slowdown. In an interview that aired Sunday, President Trump was asked point blank if he's expecting a recession this year, and ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
Wall Street Journal warns there could be a coming 'Trump recession'
The editorial board of the Wall Street Journal is predicting that a full blown economic recession could be coming after a rough day for investors on Monday. "Stock prices have been richly valued ...The Hill - Mar. 11 -
Stephen Miller defends Trump on possible recession: Not our job to make 'prognostications'
White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller defended President Trump’s response to questions about a possible recession over the weekend and said it wasn’t the president’s job to forecast ...The Hill - Mar. 11 -
White House says U.S. is in 'period of economic transition' amid recession fears
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that the U.S. economy was in a "period of economic transition" and criticized the economic policies of the Biden administration amid ...NBC News - Mar. 11 -
Lutnick says Trump tariffs 'worth it' even if they lead to recession
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said Tuesday that President Trump’s tariff policies will be worth it, even if the economy ends up in a recession. In an interview that aired Tuesday, CBS News’s ...The Hill - 6d -
The US economy is heading for recession
Donald Trump’s policy agenda is sapping American animal spiritsFinancial Times - Mar. 9 -
Would Trump Risk a Recession?
The president still believes that his protectionist trade policies will be “great for us” in the long run, but won’t rule out short-term economic pain.The New York Times - Mar. 10 -
Is the US headed toward a recession?
{beacon} 12:30 REPORT It’s Monday. Who else cannot stop trying to mimic Parker Posey’s accent in this season of “The White Lotus?” This clip of Posey on NBC’s “Today” is all over my social media ...The Hill - Mar. 10 -
Is the US really heading into a recession?
Stock market falls, tariffs and other changes are reigniting fear of economic downturn in the US.BBC News - 6d -
Is a US recession inevitable?
Trump’s on-again, off-again trade war is creating market uncertainty and sending consumer confidence plummetingFinancial Times - 4d -
2-year Treasury yield ends at lowest level in 6 months on recession talk
Bond yields dropped sharply on Monday after President Donald Trump over the weekend shrugged off the possibility that his policies would cause a U.S. recession.MarketWatch - Mar. 10 -
Stocks sell off on growth scare, yet companies’ talk of recession is lowest since 2018
President Donald Trump’s penchant for tariffs has raised recession fears in the stock market, yet companies aren’t talking much about that growing worry.MarketWatch - Mar. 10 -
Trump on if he's expecting recession this year: 'I hate to predict things like that'
President Trump faced a slew of questions about the economic ripple effects of his tariff policy during an interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox News, including whether he worried about a looming ...The Hill - Mar. 9 -
Eye Opener: President Trump declines to rule out possible recession
President Trump doesn't rule out a possible recession while Canada's new prime minister talks tough on the trade war with the U.S. Also, House Republicans unveiled a plan to prevent a government ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
President Trump doesn't rule out a recession amid tariffs against allies
President Trump on Sunday defended his tariffs against some of the United States' allies. However, the continental trade war has rattled global markets and sparked concerns about a possible ...CBS News - Mar. 10 -
Dow plunges 890 points after Trump declines to rule out recession
The stock market kicked off the week with steep losses Monday after President Trump declined Sunday to rule out the U.S. economy slowing into recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed with ...The Hill - Mar. 10
