Latest in Gambling on 'vibes' — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
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NFL Week 9 odds, predictions, expert picks: Best bets, teasers, survivor picks, where to watch all games
CBS Sports and SportsLine break down every single NFL game in the Week 9 slateSports - CBS Sports - Yesterday -
Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets
Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based PolymarketBusiness - Financial Times - October 18 -
A messy election could end market’s era of ‘American exceptionalism’
“We can envision a post-election scenario where uncertainty rises and trust in U.S. institutions declines,” Macquarie strategist Thierry Wizman said.Business - MarketWatch - October 23 -
‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election
As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Markets set for rally after U.S. elections, Barclays says
Markets will likely experience a ‘mild relief rally’ in the wake of the vote as a smooth transition starts to come into sightBusiness - MarketWatch - October 28 -
Trump Versus Harris: How the U.S. Election Is Fueling Stock Market Returns
The S&P 500 has only seen two negative election years in the last seven decades.Business - Inc. - October 28 -
The bond market is rarely this volatile outside of a crisis. Blame the U.S. election.
Options that expire soon after the Nov. 5 point to election jitters roiling bondsBusiness - MarketWatch - 6 days ago -
U.S. election won't be an 'uneventful event' for global markets, UBS chief says
Ermotti forecasts "market movements" will take place in the wake of the upcoming U.S. elections, no matter who wins leadership of the world's largest economy.Business - CNBC - 5 days ago -
Stock-market investors should treat Trump and Harris election playbooks with caution
Wall Street makes trading elections sound as easy as falling off a log. Reality often disappoints.Business - MarketWatch - 22 hours ago -
Election-week Fed meeting won’t give markets the roadmap they want
Next Thursday, economists expect broad agreement among Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues on a decision to reduce the benchmark interest rate by a quarter-percentage point to a range of ...Business - MarketWatch - 17 hours ago -
Bond-market Trump trades suddenly at risk amid tight election race
Bond-market participants scaled back on so-called Trump trades Monday, ahead of a too-close-to-call presidential election.Business - MarketWatch - 13 hours ago -
Bond-market ‘vigilantes’ appear to be in ‘driver’s seat’ before election, Fed meeting
Ahead of U.S. Election Day and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, “bond vigilantes” appeared to be in “the driver’s seat” for the market, according to Yardeni Research.Business - MarketWatch - 17 minutes ago -
What the stock market typically does after the U.S. election, according to history
Stocks typically rise after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term choppiness first, history shows.Business - CNBC - 13 hours ago -
As the election winds down, worries of 'bond vigilantes' and inflation hit markets
Investors are preparing for a conflicting scenario in the event that Donald Trump prevails in the presidential race.Business - CNBC - 14 hours ago -
Get ready: Republican election disruption is coming
Whichever presidential candidate is leading on that night, and however many ballots still need to be counted, Donald Trump will claim victory and dare the world to dispute him.Politics - The Hill - October 14 -
Housing, Tariffs and Debt: Four Experts Debate How to Fix the American Economy
One set of writers on the left and another on the right lay out competing visions for what the next president should do.Top stories - The New York Times - October 23 -
Influencers Get Their Final Marching Orders for the Election
The Trump and Harris campaigns have built huge networks of influencers and content creators. They have one last job—getting people out to vote.Tech - Wired - October 24 -
Halloween is over, but the election litigation is getting really scary
In the lead-up to the presidential election, lawsuits have been filed in swing states, with concerns over possible systemic voting registration violations and last-minute changes to voting laws, ...Politics - The Hill - 2 days ago -
Why Isn’t Kamala Harris Running Away With the Election?
After huge shifts in the electorate, it’s baffling that the two parties are still almost exactly evenly matched.Top stories - The New York Times - October 17 -
Why the Celtics elected to waive Lonnie Walker IV
Lonnie Walker IV impressed in camp, but several factors beyond his control led to the Celtics waiving him, writes Chris Forsberg.Sports - Yahoo Sports - October 19 -
Why Gender May Be the Defining Issue of the Election
The issue is rarely directly addressed by either Vice President Kamala Harris or Donald Trump. But the 2024 contest is, in ways overt and subtle, a referendum on the role of women in American life.Top stories - The New York Times - October 23 -
Why fears of post-election violence may be inflated
Democrats are sounding the alarm that former President Trump’s harsh rhetoric in the home stretch of a tight presidential race could portend a repeat of the mass political violence that broke out ...Politics - The Hill - October 26 -
Georgia secretary of state: Election is secure, and here's why
Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R) reassured the state’s voters that the upcoming election is secure and that voters' ballots will be counted. Raffensperger said that no matter ...Politics - The Hill - 4 days ago -
Election betting: Appeals court fast-tracks CFTC challenge to Kalshi political bets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission opposes the offer of bets on political races offered in contracts by Kalshi and other event-based platforms.Business - CNBC - October 14 -
US election bets surge after court lifts ban
Traders on prediction markets narrowly favour a Trump victory over Harris next monthWorld - Financial Times - October 15 -
These two crypto funds will likely do better if Trump wins. Here’s why.
Grayscale Investments’ Digital Large Cap Fund and Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund could provide attractive opportunities to bet on Donald Trump’s victory in next month’s ...Business - MarketWatch - October 18 -
Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.Business - The New York Times - October 25 -
Robinhood is joining the election-betting party by offering wagers on Harris and Trump
With the U.S. presidential election a week away, another brokerage is letting people bet on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win.Business - MarketWatch - October 28 -
Robinhood Rolls Out Presidential Election Derivatives as Another Predictive Bet Option
After a legal ruling allowed wagering on the Nov. 5 election, another retail trading platform adds the option, this time with event contracts.Business - Inc. - October 28 -
Trump Media Stock Jumps Again as Traders Bet on Election
Shares of the Truth Social parent company continue to soar, pushing the market value of the firm above $10 billion.Business - The New York Times - 6 days ago -
The market could get hit hard on a Harris win — but also drop on a Trump victory, says Morgan Stanley
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. stock market, explains why markets prefer a Trump victory, and the risks from either result in the 2024 election.Business - MarketWatch - October 21 -
Bull market turns 2. Why fewer Fed rate cuts won’t rattle stock investors.
Even though concerns around a potential reheating of inflation have added to the uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path, it may not stop stocks from going higher, analysts said.Business - MarketWatch - October 13