Did the US election polls fail?

Polls predicted a tight race - then Donald Trump won a commanding victory. So what went wrong?

US election 2024 live: Donald Trump says ‘we made history’ as he closes in on victory with win in Pennsylvania

Latest results and reaction after Trump wins crucial swing states, leaving him just three delegates short of 270 needed. US election results 2024: live map and tracker Senate and House results ...

World - The Guardian - Yesterday

Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

We don’t yet know whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will prevail in Tuesday’s contest – but when we do, it won’t feel hard to explain. Here’s one prediction about the US election you can take ...

World - The Guardian - 6 days ago

How the media is failing us

I include myself in the under-reporting of the most consequential global stories

Business - Financial Times - October 31

What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election

A torrent of data on the presidential race seems to get us no closer to predicting the result. Is addiction to polling distracting people from the issues at stake?

World - Financial Times - October 26

Report says crowd-sourced fact checks on X fail to address flood of US election misinformation

X’s crowd-sourced fact-checking program, called Community Notes, isn’t addressing the flood of U.S. election misinformation on Elon Musk’s social media platform

Tech - ABC News - October 30

Vance says Trump didn't lose the 2020 election: 'Not by the words I would use'

WILLIAMSPORT, Pa. — In his most direct answer yet about the 2020 election results since he joined the Republican presidential ticket, Sen.

Harris and Cheney talk economy, women’s health and Trump in Michigan campaign event – US elections live

VP and former Republican congresswoman meet voters in swing state; Trump holds rally in North Carolina. Don’t miss important US election coverage. Get our free app and sign up for election ...

World - The Guardian - October 21

US presidential election updates: Polls show historic gender split between Trump and Harris voters

Kamala Harris has brushed aside suggestions her campaign is falling behind with male voters as Donald Trump appears in Nevada and Arizona. Don’t miss important US election news. Get our free app ...

World - The Guardian - October 25

Beyoncé at Kamala Harris rally says ‘time for America to sing a new song’ – US politics live

Harris campaign says crowd of 30,000 is largest to date, while Trump is delayed for rally in swing-state Michigan. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied at 48% , according to a new poll by ...

World - The Guardian - October 26

Polling has turned the US election into a game. We need to take a reality check | Peter Pomerantsev

The proliferation of opinion polls on the presidential election makes it seem more like a sport involving personalities, when what these surveys should be doing is targeting policies . In ...

World - The Guardian - October 27

US elections live: Harris addresses first-time voters as Trump performs ‘garbageman’ stunt

Democrat speaks in Wisconsin while Republican hammers Biden on Tuesday’s remarks. Don’t miss important US election coverage. Get our free app and sign up for election alerts . Tim Walz ...

World - The Guardian - October 31

Jennifer Lopez campaigns with Harris in Las Vegas, as Donald Trump is joined by Tucker Carlson at Arizona rally – live

Kamala Harris addresses supporters in Reno, saying ‘we’re fighting for a democracy’. Don’t miss important US election coverage. Get our free app and sign up for election alerts A lot of money ...

World - The Guardian - 6 days ago

How exit polls work and how NBC News uses them on election night

Exit polls, large-scale studies of voters, now include phone calls to early and mail voters as well as interviews outside polling places on Election Day.

US politics live: Women’s marches hit the streets in support of Harris as both candidates target east coast

Harris leading Trump in new Iowa poll in startling reversal, pulling ahead of Trump 47% to 44%. Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump head to North Carolina on Saturday to try to ...

World - The Guardian - 4 days ago

US presidential election updates: Kamala Harris on Saturday Night Live, Iowa polling puts Donald Trump behind

Harris makes surprise appearance ‘live from New York’, while Trump’s Republicans lose a court challenge over balloting in Fulton county, Georgia, for the 5 November election. Don’t miss important ...

World - The Guardian - 4 days ago

Trump touts health role for RFK Jr after former candidate promises to ‘remove fluoride’ from water – live updates

Kamala Harris targets youth vote in Michigan while Donald Trump heads to Georgia as US presidential election nears final hours. We have already covered the presidential nominees’ schedules but what ...

World - The Guardian - 3 days ago

US presidential election updates: Poll shows Harris ahead in early voting as Trump jokes about reporters being shot

Kamala Harris holds marginal leads over Donald Trump in swing state polls with less than 48 hours before polls close in the 5 November election. Don’t miss important US election coverage. Get our ...

World - The Guardian - 3 days ago

US elections live: Harris makes unexpected stop at DNC headquarters as millions of Americans cast their votes

Harris thanks Democratic staffers in Washington DC and says ‘we have so much work to do’ during phone-banking session. US election results 2024: live map and tracker When will we know the ...

World - The Guardian - Yesterday

Here is what my final polling data says about the US presidential election | John Zogby

The race is still on the tightest of margins, yet our data also shows some odd and surprising demographic trends. US election 2024 – latest updates US election results 2024: live map and ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Who did these undecided US voters finally pick?

The BBC speaks again to a group who have struggled to pick between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

Kamala Harris Didn’t Fail San Francisco. Progressives Like Aaron Peskin Did.

Aaron Peskin, a little-known progressive politician, bears responsibility for some of San Francisco’s biggest problems.

Top stories - The New York Times - October 16

George Conway reflects on election: America did this to itself

George Conway, a former advocate for President-elect Trump who has been outspoken against his candidacy, argued in an op-ed in The Atlantic Wednesday that America “did this to itself.” “This time, ...

Politics - The Hill - 17 hours ago

Will the polls be more accurate this election year?

Major poll providers across the country are tweaking their methods to ensure better accuracy ahead of the 2024 general election, after former President Trump's surprise win in 2016, and President ...

Politics - NBC News - October 20

Americans vote in neck and neck race

Voters head to the polls for Election Day

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