Bond market Trump trades suddenly at risk amid tight election race

Bond-market Trump trades suddenly at risk amid tight election race

Bond-market participants scaled back on so-called Trump trades Monday, ahead of a too-close-to-call presidential election.

Business - MarketWatch - 9 hours ago

Trump highlights Cruz endorsement amid tight Texas Senate race

Former President Trump highlighted his endorsement of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) in Truth Social posts early Tuesday morning, ahead of the senator's lone debate with challenger Rep. Colin Allred ...

Politics - The Hill - October 15

The bond market may be at risk from inflationary forces beyond the Fed’s control

Investors remain nervous about upside risks to inflation, such as the outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election, that haven’t been priced into the bond market — and which policymakers may not be ...

Business - MarketWatch - October 15

Reeves Puts Bond Market Over UK Ministers in High-Risk Budget

World - Yahoo News - October 19

Election 2024 live updates as Harris and Trump enter final campaign stretch

Follow live as Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump enter the final weekend of the campaign in the 2024 election, as polls remain tight.

Burst of trades inflates Trump’s margin in election prediction markets

Small group of bettors lifts odds of Republican victory to 62 per cent on cryptocurrency-based Polymarket

Business - Financial Times - October 18

‘Trump Trade’ of Large Tariffs and Deficits Looms as Market Braces for 2024 Election

As investors have focused on the potential fiscal and economic impact of the Republican candidate’s proposals, yields on Treasury debt have risen.

Business - The New York Times - October 25

Texas GOP amplifies voter fraud claims amid tight Senate race

Texas Republicans are making a preemptive push to paint the 2024 election as illegitimate and rife with fraud, a move that comes as Sen. Ted Cruz (R) fights for his political life. That rhetorical ...

Politics - The Hill - Yesterday

Democrats anxious as Trump gains ground in tight race

North America editor Sarah Smith found warning signs for Harris when speaking to voters on her own tour of battleground states.

The bond market is rarely this volatile outside of a crisis. Blame the U.S. election.

Options that expire soon after the Nov. 5 point to election jitters roiling bonds

Business - MarketWatch - 6 days ago

Bond-market ‘vigilantes’ appear to be in ‘driver’s seat’ before election, Fed meeting

Ahead of U.S. Election Day and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, “bond vigilantes” appeared to be in “the driver’s seat” for the market, according to Yardeni Research.

Business - MarketWatch - 8 hours ago

As the election winds down, worries of 'bond vigilantes' and inflation hit markets

Investors are preparing for a conflicting scenario in the event that Donald Trump prevails in the presidential race.

Business - CNBC - 10 hours ago

The Other Trump Trade That Worries Markets

Robert Lighthizer, who was a huge influence on Donald Trump’s protectionist trade policy, is again a candidate for a top role if the Republican wins next week.

Business - The New York Times - 4 days ago

‘King of debt’ Donald Trump needs to reassure the bond markets — now

Millions of investors are watching the value of their bond funds sag almost daily as concerns about the impact of Trump’s policies on the national debt grow.

Business - MarketWatch - October 26

Why the bond market may have it entirely backwards on Trump and Harris

A reduction in labor supply would weigh on the U.S. economy, and impact the bond market.

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

10-year Treasury yield dives by most in a month after Iowa poll tilts in favor of Harris

Treasury yields finished broadly lower on Monday after a key poll gave Vice President Kamala Harris an edge over former President Donald Trump ahead of Tuesday’s election.

Business - MarketWatch - 9 hours ago

Tight Race Means Election Results May Not be Clear on Nov. 5

Seven battleground states may have such close ballot results that the vote may not be decided by the time the last polls close on Tuesday.

Business - Inc. - 4 days ago

Harris and Trump, locked in tight race, seek edge among undecided voters

Presidential candidates spend Sunday trying to shore up support among must-have voting blocs. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump spent Sunday trying to shore up political support among what they ...

World - The Guardian - October 13

Kemp discusses relationship with Trump as tight Georgia race against Harris remains

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp is weighing in on his relationship with Donald Trump as efforts from the former president's campaign and Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign to swing Georgia ramp up. CBS ...

California Republican who impeached Trump locked in tight race for reelection

A California House Republican who voted to impeach former President Trump for his role in the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot is locked in a tight race for another term, according to a new poll. The ...

Politics - The Hill - 6 days ago

Trump and Harris make final appeals in Georgia as polls show tight race

As the presidential race tightens, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris campaign in Georgia, where our battleground tracker indicates a narrow lead for Trump. CBS News' ...

Trump’s tariffs pose a greater risk to markets than his tax cuts

They pose a significant threat to the global economy because of how far-reaching they are, the odds of implementation and the potential for widespread retaliation.

Politics - The Hill - October 18

Echoes of U.K.’s 2022 bond crisis weigh on Treasury market ahead of U.S. election

A selloff in the U.K. bond market on Thursday, triggered by concerns about planned government borrowing, sent the country’s yields higher in a manner slightly reminiscent of the 2022 gilt crisis ...

Business - MarketWatch - 4 days ago

Here are the stakes for stocks, bonds, gold and other markets as investors await too-close-to-call election

Investors are bracing for a range of scenarios after voters finish going to the polls on Tuesday.

Business - MarketWatch - 2 days ago

UK Budget spooks bond markets

UK borrowing costs hit the highest level this year after Budget announcements sink in

World - Financial Times - 4 days ago

US elections live: Obama ridicules Trump’s boasts on economy as Walz dismisses Republican nominee’s McDonald’s ‘stunt’

Democratic VP nominee joined by Barack Obama at Wisconsin campaign event. Don’t miss important US election coverage. Get our free app and sign up for election alerts Kamala Harris has a ...

World - The Guardian - October 22

The inflation risk for emerging markets

Fiscal indiscipline looms as the biggest threat after central bank battles to slow rising prices

World - Financial Times - October 15

US politics live: Women’s marches hit the streets in support of Harris as both candidates target east coast

Harris leading Trump in new Iowa poll in startling reversal, pulling ahead of Trump 47% to 44%. Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump head to North Carolina on Saturday to try to ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

DJT stock soars amid Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets

Trump Media's shares have soared with the former President Donald Trump's rise in the betting markets.

Opinion polls have Harris and Trump locked in a tight race. ‘Gambling polls’ say otherwise

Election betting platforms have put Trump’s chance of winning higher, and with trust in media depleting, more people are turning to them. US elections 2024 – live updates Most gamblers might ...

World - The Guardian - 4 days ago

Harris, Trump issue appeal to Americans abroad in bid for more votes in tight race

Nearly 5 million Americans living abroad are eligible to vote from overseas, representing a small but unique group that could influence the results in key swing states. While participation among ...

Politics - The Hill - 2 days ago

Trump, Harris make play for North Carolina, polls show tight race in the Tar Heel State

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are making last-minute stops in North Carolina. Though the state has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2008, the ...

Democrats confront a tougher downballot road in New York amid the Harris-Trump race

Former President Donald Trump’s promises that he’ll win New York are more empty bluster than evidence-based prediction.

U.S. Farmers Brace for New Trump Trade Wars Amid Tariff Threats

Despite their concerns, some farm operators still support the former president and prefer his overall economic plan.

Business - The New York Times - 15 hours ago

Trump and Harris trade sharp attacks as 2024 presidential race heats up

As the race in Michigan tightens, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris delivered sharp critiques of each other, with Trump making pointed comments at a charity dinner and ...

Rachel Reeves should not appease bond market vigilantes

In preparing her inaugural Budget, she would do well to ignore advice from market sages

World - Financial Times - October 15

How to help your minister feel the bond market

A gascon’s guide to gilts

World - Financial Times - October 23

Political violence has marked the 2024 race – but risks rise after election day

Experts fear those convicted over January 6 attack may act violently again – but biggest threat comes from lone actors. A year punctuated by two assassination attempts, high levels of threats and ...

World - The Guardian - 2 days ago

Latest in Bond market Trump trades suddenly at risk amid tight election race